Tue 18th Jul 2023
5.25 Beverley (12 runners)
Racing Again On Monday Evening Handicap
7½f
Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:
- Dr Rio (FR) – 388.6
- Ugo Gregory – 382.3
- Park Street – 376.8
- Storymaker – 373.7
- Shahnaz (IRE) – 369.5
- Look Back Smiling (IRE) – 364.7
- First Greyed (IRE) – 307.8
- Shes The Danger (IRE) – 281.3
- Lady Douglas – 261.0
- Indrapura Star – 223.9
- Golden Moon – 216.3
- Expert Lady – 203.4
Let’s assess the comments for each runner:
- Dr Rio (FR): Returned to winning ways over the course and distance 11 days ago. Handles soft ground and has a manageable 4lb rise in the weights. Promoted to a Class 5 race which could make life trickier.
- Ugo Gregory: Previous winner over the course and distance. Just missed out in a recent race at the same venue. May need to be ridden more patiently as he tends to race freely. Has good a chance if things pan out.
- Park Street: Won as a 40-1 outsider over the course and distance three weeks ago. Showed improvement and turned a corner. Has a 4lb higher mark but could still be competitive.
- Storymaker: Finished third in all of her novice runs. Tends to take a strong hold, which affected her performance in her handicap debut. The shorter trip may suit her better, and she’s encountering soft ground for the first time.
- Shahnaz (IRE): Struggles continue despite being potentially well handicapped. Others appear more likely to win.
- Look Back Smiling (IRE): Not entirely straightforward but performs well over 7f on soft ground. Just missed out in a recent race over an extended 1m. Has a good chance.
- First Greyed (IRE): Hard to trust after poor performances in the last four outings. Trip and ground may suit, but recent form is a concern.
- Shes The Danger (IRE): Can lack concentration, as seen in her runner-up finish at Doncaster. May face competition for the lead, and soft conditions may not be ideal.
- Lady Douglas: Has yet to finish closer than 8l and struggled on her handicap debut. Not convincing despite the potential improvement over this trip.
- Indrapura Star: Respectable fourth in a maiden race on soft ground. Poor performance on handicap debut but returns to soft ground and wears a hood. Not without hope.
- Golden Moon: Showed improvement when finishing seventh at Wolverhampton. The application of a hood may further aid his performance. Market check advised.
- Expert Lady: Down the field in qualifying runs and showed some quirks. Others are preferred.
Based on this analysis, Ugo Gregory can win this: Previous winner over the course and distance. Just missed out in a recent race at the same venue. May need to be ridden more patiently as he tends to race freely. Has good a chance if things pan out.
Tue 18th Jul 2023
5.45 Killarney (10 runners)
William Hill Ireland Maiden
1m
Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:
- Most Wanted (IRE) – 314.0
- Plunkett Street – 271.8
- Believe In Science (IRE) – 258.9
- Golden Star (IRE) – 254.6
- Awqaat (IRE) – 249.1
- Tasayad (IRE) – 228.2
- God Knows (IRE) – 225.2
- Indigo Five (IRE) – 220.0
- Coolree (IRE) – 219.8
- Chicago Style (FR) – 111.0
Let’s assess the comments for each runner:
- Most Wanted (IRE): Solid efforts in three previous maidens. Even the worst of those performances, which came over the same course and distance, would make him hard to beat in this field.
- Plunkett Street: Soundly beaten in two bumpers and two maidens at around this trip. Does not appeal as a strong contender.
- Believe In Science (IRE): A 14-race maiden. Went closest when finishing a good third in a 1m5f handicap at Leopardstown last month. Dropping back to 1m may not be ideal, but should be respected in a weak contest like this.
- Golden Star (IRE): Not a factor in a pair of maidens in May. Interesting that the champion jockey is booked, so worth keeping an eye on in the market.
- Awqaat (IRE): Finished fifth but well beaten in a heavy ground maiden at the Curragh in October. Best watched in this race.
- Tasayad (IRE): Not beaten far in a pair of maidens over further distances earlier in the summer. Needs this run to obtain a handicap mark but could be competitive and not too far away.
- God Knows (IRE): Respectable efforts in maidens at this track (4 lengths behind Most Wanted) and at Listowel over this distance. If she can replicate either of those runs, she should be in the mix.
- Indigo Five (IRE): Well beaten on her sole start in a Curragh maiden in September. Best observed on stable debut.
- Coolree (IRE): Showed promise with a couple of decent efforts in maidens last year. Finished third in a Dundalk handicap in January. Mid-division in a Leopardstown handicap on return last month and needs to find some improvement.
- Chicago Style (FR): Not a factor on debut in a bumper at this course in May. Unusual preparation for a 1m Flat maiden. Difficult to assess, but being a E100,000 yearling purchase, may be more suited to this type of race.
Based on this analysis, Most Wanted appears to be the best pick. With solid efforts in three previous maidens, even his worst performance over the same course and distance would make him difficult to beat in this weak field. Most Wanted has the highest rating and the most promising comments, positioning him as the strongest contender in this race.
Tue 18th Jul 2023
6.15 Killarney (15 runners)
William Hill Epic Boost Handicap (47-65)
1m
Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:
- Amemri – 384.0
- Lasting Peace (IRE) – 305.1
- Cherry Pink (IRE) – 287.3
- Redshore City (IRE) – 286.9
- Partisan Hero (IRE) – 316.8
- Kaydees Magic (IRE) – 256.5
- Final Check (IRE) – 246.5
- So Messi (IRE) – 250.6
- Goldmoyne (IRE) – 243.9
- Water Mint (IRE) – 232.9
- Pascalia (IRE) – 240.4
- Curzon Queen (IRE) – 252.6
- Man Of Style (IRE) – 240.7
- Coach Madden (IRE) – 188.5
- Kinda Tiny (IRE) – 214.0
- Net A Porter Queen (IRE) – 230.6
- Cletus (IRE) – 164.2
- Anaelle (IRE) – 154.4
Let’s assess the comments for each runner:
- Amemri: In action since the spring, consistently performing well. Won at Dundalk in March and Limerick last month. The mile at Tipperary may have been too far for him. Decent claims back in trip.
- Lasting Peace (IRE): Wore blinkers at Bellewstown when finishing second over this trip. The stable is in good form. Considered a leading contender despite a bad draw.
- Cherry Pink (IRE): Unlucky in a third-place finish at Roscommon, but two runs since have been below par. Not ruled out, but needs to show improvement.
- Redshore City (IRE): A ten-race maiden who has shown enough ability to be competitive. Inconclusive form over 1 mile, but cannot be dismissed if it proves suitable.
- Partisan Hero (IRE): Finished down the field in three maidens up to 1m1f. Cheekpieces are tried here, and an improved performance is expected on his handicap debut.
- Kaydees Magic (IRE): Consistent form since going handicapping. Finished close fourth in a 7f Gowran contest and less effective when ridden from the front at Limerick. Should handle the trip, but has a poor draw.
- Final Check (IRE): Showed promise in maidens and had a satisfactory handicap debut, finishing fifth in a 7f handicap at Cork. The mile distance should not be a problem, and further improvement is possible.
- So Messi (IRE): Reportedly hung left throughout his handicap debut over 1m1f at Ballinrobe but still ran respectably. Should be better suited going left-handed at Killarney, and there could be more to come.
- Goldmoyne (IRE): Showed nothing in maidens over different distances in the spring. Does not inspire confidence.
- Water Mint (IRE): Has put in a couple of decent efforts off a low mark this season. Finished second at Gowran over this trip and last month at Limerick over 1 mile behind Amemri. Leading contender and could turn the tables.
- Pascalia (IRE): Encountered little luck in running but was still slightly disappointing on handicap debut at Limerick. Cheekpieces are tried here, and improvement is expected.
- Curzon Queen (IRE): Nothing to recommend based on maidens or her handicap debut at Roscommon. Blinkers replace cheekpieces, but not a strong contender.
- Man Of Style (IRE): Average maiden form up to 1m4f and performed poorly in a Tipperary maiden hurdle. Does not make a strong case back over 1 mile.
- Coach Madden (IRE): Failed to beat a single rival in three maidens. Hard to fancy on handicap debut.
- Kinda Tiny (IRE): Showed some ability in maidens and performed decently on handicap debut with a first-time tongue-tie at Gowran. Step up in trip likely to suit, and could outperform expectations.
- Net A Porter Queen (IRE): Failed to build on initial promise, especially in handicaps. Others are more preferred.
- Cletus (IRE): Second reserve. Pulled up after losing action at Bellewstown and showed poor maiden form before that.
- Anaelle (IRE): First reserve. Poor maiden form and not an appealing choice.
Based on this analysis, the top pick would be Amemri. With consistent performances and recent wins at Dundalk and Limerick, he is well-positioned for this race. Water Mint, Lasting Peace, and Final Check are also strong contenders based on their ratings and comments. However, Amemri stands out as the most promising runner in this field.
Tue 18th Jul 2023
6.35 Southwell (5 runners)
Connie White Memorial Handicap Chase
3m1f
Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:
- Wick Green – 637.2
- Go On Chez – 505.1
- Landofsmiles (IRE) – 441.6
- Brief Times (IRE) – 352.2
- Organdi (FR) – 326.2
Let’s assess the comments for each runner:
- Wick Green: Has a record of 3 wins in 5 starts over fences for the new stable. Won over the course and distance (good ground) two weeks ago. Up in grade and carrying more weight due to the jockey’s claim, but still needs to be taken seriously.
- Go On Chez: Has a strong strike-rate of 6 wins in 11 starts over fences, including a win at this course and distance. Posted a career-best effort when finishing close/clear second at Aintree (3m, good) in May. A 5lb rise in the weights needs to be considered, but there is potential for further improvement.
- Landofsmiles (IRE): A five-time chase winner who made a successful return from a 486-day absence with a 10-length victory at Uttoxeter (3m, good) in May. Fell in the latest outing but can be competitive if everything goes according to plan.
- Brief Times (IRE): Easily won a three-runner chase in November but has been below form since, including a last-place finish in a nine-runner race at Market Rasen (2m5f, good) last month. Running off a good mark for the first attempt at 3m, but needs to find improvement.
- Organdi (FR): Now 5lb lower than when winning gamely at Warwick (3m1f, good) in September. Achieved a third-place finish at Cartmel (3m5f, good) two starts ago, which was a solid effort. However, she was uncompetitive at Uttoxeter last time and has become somewhat unreliable.
Based on this analysis, Wick Green should go close. With a strong record over fences and a recent win over the course and distance, Wick Green is in good form and should be taken seriously. Go On Chez however could be hard to beat if his progress continues and he looks the one to be on here.
Tue 18th Jul 2023
7.20 Killarney (9 runners)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap
1m3f
Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:
- Grecian Slipper (IRE) – 437.3
- Mollys Gamble (IRE) – 423.0
- Zola Sakura (IRE) – 404.9
- Satin – 376.0
- Marvelosa (IRE) – 360.0
- Beautiful Chaos (IRE) – 355.7
- Chocolat Blu (IRE) – 354.2
- Signora Bellissima (IRE) – 350.6
- Aurifodina (IRE) – 314.0
Let’s assess the comments for each runner:
- Grecian Slipper (IRE): Has run well in pattern races and handicaps. Just denied in a previous handicap race at Down Royal. Wore cheekpieces for the first time last time out.
- Mollys Gamble (IRE): Both wins have come at the track, including a C&D handicap win on soft ground. Ran decently at Ballinrobe last time over 1m5f. Likely to be a major player at her favorite track.
- Zola Sakura (IRE): Won easily at Naas last season on soft ground. Has had decent runs in Listed races recently but wasn’t at her best over 1m4f. This trip suits her better.
- Satin: Showed improved form this year, including winning a 1m maiden at Listowel. Finished just behind Grecian Slipper at Down Royal last time over a slightly shorter distance. A repeat performance would put her in contention.
- Marvelosa (IRE): Won a Sligo maiden over the same distance in May and has been running well since. Looked unlucky at the Curragh over 2m last time. Capable of being involved in the finish.
- Beautiful Chaos (IRE): Won a C&D maiden on soft ground last October. Needs to improve on recent efforts but returning to this track might help, especially if there’s rain.
- Chocolat Blu (IRE): Dundalk maiden winner over 1m2.5f last December. Ran well at Ballinrobe on return over a slightly shorter distance. Expected to have improved from that run and should be competitive.
- Signora Bellissima (IRE): Won and finished close second in 1m2f handicaps at Leopardstown this season. Below form in recent outings at Navan in cheekpieces. Headgear left off for this race, and a bounce-back performance is required.
- Aurifodina (IRE): Dual winner over 1m in nurseries last year. Ran decently at Navan last time, finishing 7.25l behind the winner. Down only 1lb in the weights, but needs more to be competitive.
Based on this analysis, Grecian Slipper stands out as the best pick in this race. She has consistently performed well in pattern races and handicaps, and her recent second-place finish at Down Royal suggests she is in good form. Mollys Gamble, Zola Sakura, and Satin also have good chances based on their comments.
Tue 18th Jul 2023
7.40 Southwell (10 runners)
Vickers.Bet App Novices Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m½f
Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:
- Young Merlin (IRE) – 474.4
- Ve Day (IRE) – 416.5
- Grand Scheme (IRE) – 329.2
- Book of Secrets (IRE) – 266.5
- Lucky Draw – 221.2
- Il Cima (FR) – 220.6
- Moo Moos Milan – 217.9
- Bolberry Down (IRE) – 195.4
- My Boy Grizzle (IRE) – 167.9
- Dee Day Landing – 138.9
Let’s assess the comments for each runner:
- Young Merlin (IRE): Made a winning stable and hurdle debut over the course and distance three weeks ago. The form of that race has been advertised by the runner-up. Likely to have more to offer and commands respect.
- Ve Day (IRE): Showed promise on stable and hurdle debut, winning at Musselburgh. Hasn’t replicated that performance but finished second at Stratford, which was respectable. Good each-way claims.
- Grand Scheme (IRE): Developed into a useful Flat racer and showed improvement in the fourth-place finish on stable and hurdle debut at Hexham. Needs further improvement but has potential over hurdles.
- Book of Secrets (IRE): Made the frame in all four hurdle starts for the previous trainer but has struggled since joining the current stable. Tendency to race too freely and risky in first-time cheekpieces.
- Lucky Draw: Has shown improvement over hurdles, finishing second in two 2m handicaps. Tendency to race too freely is a concern, but good chance on the figures.
- Il Cima (FR): Showed minor promise in the first two hurdling starts but likely to be better suited to low-grade handicaps.
- Moo Moos Milan: Tailed off on debut at Worcester and best watched in this race.
- Bolberry Down (IRE): Second off a lowly mark in a Fontwell handicap but has struggled since. Tough assignment for this race.
- My Boy Grizzle (IRE): Not disgraced on hurdling debut but pulled up in subsequent starts. First-time tongue tie and refitted hood may make a difference, but chances are uncertain.
- Dee Day Landing: Hasn’t shown significant promise in four hurdle runs and not a strong contender.
Based on this analysis, Young Merlin appears to be the best pick in this race. With a recent winning debut over the course and distance, form that has been supported, and the potential for more improvement, Young Merlin commands respect. Ve Day and Grand Scheme also have reasonable chances based on their comments. However, Young Merlin stands out as the top choice.
Tue 18th Jul 2023
9.00 Nottingham (8 runners)
Follow Us On Twitter At BetRhino Handicap
1m½f
Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:
- Calypso (IRE) – 411.7
- Cariad – 386.5
- Zarabanda (IRE) – 356.1
- Dandy Maestro – 354.8
- Jack Daniel (IRE) – 331.7
- Star Zinc (IRE) – 331.1
- Lions Dream (FR) – 319.6
- Classic Speed (IRE) – 304.3
Let’s assess the comments for each runner:
- Calypso (IRE): Improved RPR with each handicap run this year. Chased home an improver at Hamilton in his latest outing. Needs more to defy the current mark but it’s possible.
- Cariad: Yet to win on turf but has three AW wins. Finished second over the course and distance last month on fast ground, so she may need to prove herself on slower ground.
- Zarabanda (IRE): Won a Redcar novice last autumn. First two starts this season were decent, but she was well beaten at Carlisle last time after returning with a cut. Not ruled out.
- Dandy Maestro: Three wins last season, including over the course and distance. Ran well for second over the course and distance in May. May not have been suited by the fast ground in the disappointing run seven weeks ago. Has a chance in this race.
- Jack Daniel (IRE): Won a 1m handicap on soft ground at Thirsk in May. Was reportedly unsuited by the ground at Doncaster in the previous outing. A revival could be possible.
- Star Zinc (IRE): Finished down the field in three turf outings but won decisively on Tapeta last month. Now wearing cheekpieces.
- Lions Dream (FR): Won a 1m2f race on the AW a year ago. Has shown promise in four starts for the current yard but hasn’t fulfilled market expectations. Below par in the previous run at Pontefract. New headgear given a try in this drop in class.
- Classic Speed (IRE): Finished just over 4l behind a strong field on debut last summer. Hasn’t matched that performance since, including a disappointing run at Ascot in May. Gelded since then and still has potential.
Based on this analysis, Calypso appears to be the best pick in this race. With consistent improvement in handicap runs this year and a recent second-place finish, Calypso has a good chance to perform well. Cariad, Zarabanda, and Dandy Maestro also have reasonable chances based on their comments. However, Calypso stands out as the top choice.
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