Sat 22nd Jul 2023
1.50 Newbury (6 runners)
bet365 Stakes (Listed) (Registered
As The Steventon Stakes)
1m2f

1. Ranking of Runners by Rating:

1. Highland Avenue (IRE) – 635.7
2. Al Aasy (IRE) – 607.5
3. Oviedo (IRE) – 515.5
4. Phantom Flight – 470.7
5. Dancing Magic (IRE) – 403.7
6. Epic Poet (IRE) – 169.2

2. Assessment of Notes & Comments:

• Al Aasy (IRE): Classy performer with impressive Group 3 wins over 1m4f at Newbury. Won a Listed event at Ascot on sole 2022 start. Caught too far back in his last outing at Newmarket and could perform better back at Newbury.
• Dancing Magic (IRE): Good third in a 1m Newmarket Group 3 but struggled with the step up to 1m2f in recent outings. Needs to settle better.
• Epic Poet (IRE): Showed promise in France, including a Listed win at Compiegne and a third-place finish in a Group 3 at Longchamp. Making a stable debut after a break without any headgear. Market interest might indicate his chances.
• Highland Avenue (IRE): Proven his ability with a second-place finish in the Diomed at Epsom and a fourth-place finish in the Wolferton at Royal Ascot. Likely to put up a bold show.
• Oviedo (IRE): Improved with the step up in trip, winning the Zetland Gold Cup at Redcar. Prominent in the Group 3 Hampton Court at Royal Ascot but hanging left under pressure. Not fully exposed but has some ground to make up based on figures.
• Phantom Flight: Impressive winner at last year’s York Ebor festival. Found life tougher in Listed company but competitive at this level. Finished fourth at Newmarket in the latest outing.

3. Summary of Chances:

Highland Avenue and Al Aasy (IRE) stand out as the top contenders in this race based on their high ratings and recent performances. Both have shown class and form at this level. Oviedo, Phantom Flight, and Dancing Magic (IRE) have shown promise in their respective performances but may need to improve to challenge the top two. Epic Poet (IRE) is an interesting newcomer to the stable and might be worth watching closely to see how he performs in the market.

4. Relevant System Notes:

• Al Aasy (IRE) qualifies for multiple positive systems, indicating his potential.
• Highland Avenue (IRE) has been in good form since returning from a long absence and merits attention.

5. Best Pick Based on Analysis:

Considering the rankings and assessment of notes, Highland Avenue (IRE) appears as the best pick. He has consistently performed well since his return and has shown good form in recent outings. Al Aasy (IRE) also poses a strong threat with his classy performances. However, Highland Avenue’s recent form and performances at the venue make him the top choice in this Listed race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
2.05 Market Rasen (15 runners)
Unibet Horserace Betting Operator
Of The Year Handicap Hurdle
2m5½f

1. Ranking the runners from highest to lowest rating:
2. Appreciate (IRE) – Total: 519.9
3. Pardon Me – Total: 434.3
4. Rolypolymoly – Total: 408.8
5. Cabrakan (IRE) – Total: 390.5
6. Misty Mani – Total: 370.4
7. Sea The Clouds (IRE) – Total: 361.5
8. Pink Eyed Pedro – Total: 354.3
9. Fennas Loss (IRE) – Total: 350.7
10. Malina Ocarina – Total: 349.1
11. Coal Fire (IRE) – Total: 341.4
12. Oceanline (IRE) – Total: 285.6
13. Wavering Down (IRE) – Total: 284.2
14. Cousu Main (FR) – Total: 282.3
15. Lighthouse Mill (IRE) – Total: 276.1
16. Dream Jet (IRE) – Total: 200.2
17. Assessment of notes & comments for the runners:

• Appreciate: Good 6-16 strike-rate over hurdles, current mark requires a career-best effort, untapped potential over this trip.
• Pardon Me: Reverted to hurdling with back-to-back wins, still well handicapped on older form, 252-day absence may have affected momentum.
• Rolypolymoly: Won two 2m juvenile hurdles last summer, satisfactory return to action on the Flat, tries a new trip on handicap hurdle debut.
• Cabrakan: Clear second when back over hurdles, didn’t run badly when fifth at Newton Abbot, needs to handle the extended trip.
• Misty Mani: Dual 2m2f course winner last year, looked out of sorts over C&D recently.
• Sea The Clouds: Low-mileage 6yo, kept on well for fourth at Warwick, moves up in trip with something to prove.
• Pink Eyed Pedro: Better known as a chaser, returned from a one-year absence with a narrow win, also ran well when second, respected.
• Fennas Loss: Made all to win at Hexham last month, still unexposed over this sort of trip.
• Malina Ocarina: Won by 5l at Southwell in May but was a disappointing favorite over the same C&D last month.
• Coal Fire: Safely held in first two handicaps, fared better when second at Stratford this month, needs to improve.
• Oceanline: Won a Worcester novice on stable debut, ran well to a point at Uttoxeter three weeks ago.
• Wavering Down: Looked the most likely winner at Uttoxeter last month, 2lb rise manageable, can cope with some rain.
• Cousu Main: Gave a good account on stable debut, clear second at Hexham, unexposed over this sort of trip.
• Lighthouse Mill: Suffered a slump in form last season but made progress since the spring, came good over hurdles with a clear-cut success at Stratford.
• Dream Jet: Displayed promise in two of his three qualifying runs in Ireland, today’s stable/handicap debut, market reference recommended.

1. Summary of their chances:

Appreciate and Pardon Me are two strong contenders with good recent form. Appreciate has untapped potential over this trip, while Pardon Me is well handicapped based on older form.

Rolypolymoly, Cabrakan, and Misty Mani have potential to be in the mix if they show improvement or handle the trip.

Sea The Clouds, Pink Eyed Pedro, Fennas Loss, and Malina Ocarina need to show better form or handle the conditions to be competitive.

Coal Fire, Oceanline, Wavering Down, Cousu Main, Lighthouse Mill, and Dream Jet may need to improve or have some factors in their favor to be considered serious contenders.

4. Relevant system notes:

• Cousu Main: Good run last time, could be better suited by this trip, yard has a good strike rate at this distance, top trainer at this track.
• Appreciate: Trainer has a decent strike rate in this NH type, similar conditions to last win, best jockey strike rate at track.
• Pink Eyed Pedro: Top prize money winner in this race, could be better suited by this trip, yard has a good strike rate at this distance.
• Fennas Loss: Most recent winner in the race, excellent sire for this track, good run last time, could be better suited by this trip.
• Sea The Clouds: Acts on this type of track, similar conditions to last win, goes well in this track’s direction, beaten favorite last time.
• Cabrakan: Trainer has a decent strike rate in this NH type, best jockey strike rate in the race, jockey has a good strike rate last 30 days.
• Pardon Me: Trainer has a good strike rate last 7 days, good run last time, two good runs NH, jockey has a good strike rate last 14 days.
• Malina Ocarina: Beaten favorite last time, could be better suited by this trip, trainer has a good 30-day strike rate.

4. Pick based on analysis:

Based on the analysis, my pick for this race would be Appreciate (IRE). He has shown good potential over hurdles and has a good strike rate. His current form and potential over the extended trip make him a strong contender. Pardon Me could be a solid each-way option given her good recent form and being well handicapped.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
2.25 Newbury (15 runners)
Mettal UK Handicap
2m½f

1. Ranking of Runners by Rating:

1. Novel Legend (IRE) – 563.0
2. Postileo (IRE) – 513.7
3. Nathanael Greene – 513.4
4. Sweet William (IRE) – 500.1
5. Zinc White (IRE) – 490.0
6. Solent Gateway (IRE) – 480.1
7. Euchen Glen – 479.0
8. Rainbow Dreamer – 477.1
9. Aztec Empire (IRE) – 432.1
10. Hadrianus (IRE) – 431.4
11. The Grand Visir – 430.8
12. Geremia (IRE) – 423.9
13. Stay Well – 422.5
14. Apparate – 403.0
15. Cormier (IRE) – 383.2

2. Assessment of Notes & Comments:

• Novel Legend (IRE): Improved since running over 1m4f with good form on softish ground. Lacked finishing kick in the 2m4f Ascot Stakes, but dropping back to 2m on good ground could suit. Must be considered.
• Postileo (IRE): Disputed the lead in a 1m6f handicap at Royal Ascot but struggled on good ground. Performs best with some give underfoot, so rain would be welcomed.
• Nathanael Greene: Benefited from the return of cheekpieces when a staying-on fourth in the Northumberland Plate. Shouldn’t be far away if the new blinkers have a positive effect.
• Sweet William (IRE): Unexposed gelding from a top yard. Very well handicapped based on close second to a subsequent Group-placed horse. Intriguing candidate now raised in distance for his handicap debut.
• Zinc White (IRE): Maintained a good record in staying handicaps, including winning the Chester Cup consolation race. Performance on good ground at Royal Ascot wasn’t as strong, but conditions easing could improve his chances.
• Solent Gateway (IRE): Showed his best form when making all at Haydock. Finished midfield in the 2m4f Ascot Stakes. High mark poses a challenge in this strong handicap.
• Euchen Glen: Winless streak continues. Flashes of good form at around 2m, but may need a staying trip these days. Others are preferred.
• Rainbow Dreamer: Prolific on the AW and performed well in conditions races. Looks up against it in this turf race with a lower mark.
• Aztec Empire (IRE): Won twice on Kempton AW and delivered a career-best performance in the Northumberland Plate. Reportedly unsuited by soft ground on a previous outing at Newbury.
• Hadrianus (IRE): Competitive in shorter Listed races but struggled in the 2m Queen’s Vase. Staying potential in his pedigree might suit this distance.
• The Grand Visir: Solid form at shorter trips and likely to be competitive in this race.
• Geremia (IRE): Often a slow starter with a risky running style. Comes into this race with higher class and faces deeper competition.
• Stay Well: Looked back to his best with a third-place finish at Kempton, but his first attempt beyond 1m4f is a question mark.
• Apparate: Three wins for Roger Varian. Showed promise with a close second at Doncaster over 1m4f, and 2m may suit.
• Cormier (IRE): Grand servant to his connections. Shaped nicely at Chester but not given many chances over this distance.

3. Summary of Chances:

Novel Legend (IRE) and Sweet William (IRE) appear to be the top contenders based on their ratings, recent performances, and system notes. Novel Legend’s improvement on softish ground and dropping back to 2m on good ground make him a strong candidate. Sweet William’s unexposed status and well handicapped position suggest he could be a contender in this race. Postileo (IRE) and Nathanael Greene also have solid chances, while others may need to step up to challenge the top contenders.

4. Relevant System Notes:

• Novel Legend (IRE) qualifies for multiple positive systems, indicating his strong potential in this race.
• Sweet William (IRE) has intriguing factors for his handicap debut and is well fancied by the system notes.

5. Best Pick Based on Analysis:

Based on the rankings, assessment of notes, and system qualifiers, Novel Legend (IRE) emerges as the best pick for this race. His improvement on softish ground and the drop back to 2m on good ground could be favorable factors. The system notes also back up his chances, making him a strong selection for the Mettal UK Handicap at Newbury.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
2.40 Market Rasen (14 runners)
Unibets Zero% Mission Summer Handicap
Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m1f

Based on the ratings provided, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

1. Dancila (IRE) – 536.2
2. Manor Park – 512.4
3. Everyonesgame (IRE) – 501.1
4. Gavin – 500.6
5. Myristica (IRE) – 475.9
6. Clear The Runway (IRE) – 472.1
7. Byzantine Empire – 459.9
8. Castel Gandolfo (IRE) – 459.8
9. Belvedere Blast (IRE) – 449.0
10. Glorious Zoff (IRE) – 445.4
11. Too Friendly – 399.7
12. Nibras Gold (IRE) – 363.8
13. No Recollection – 359.5
14. Earth Company (IRE) – 275.4

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

• Dancila (IRE) is a very useful Flat winner and has shown potential over hurdles. Good ground is ideal for this horse, and it has missed engagements on soft ground in the past.
• Manor Park is a six-time hurdle winner and comes into this race in form after a recent win at Newton Abbot. However, a 3lb rise in the weights might be challenging for him.
• Everyonesgame (IRE) enjoys good ground, but the forecast rain might not be ideal. It has shown progress and won its last race at Worcester with some ease.
• Gavin has had recent success in Class 4 handicaps but faces a tough challenge here, being 1lb out of the weights and not liking softening ground.
• Myristica (IRE) has notable Flat form and has been dominant in minor hurdles for mares. Now handicapping, it seems to go on most ground and has a competitive mark.
• Clear The Runway (IRE) had a strong 2021 with seven wins but has struggled since returning from a break. It has much to prove in this race.
• Byzantine Empire has shown promise with three hurdle wins but needs goodish ground, which might be an issue with the forecast.
• Castel Gandolfo (IRE) was a runner-up last year off a slightly lower weight. It has struggled recently and might not appreciate the forecasted rain.
• Belvedere Blast (IRE) has been in good form since the blinkers were added, winning its last three races over 2m on good ground. Brian Hughes has a positive strike-rate for this yard.
• Glorious Zoff (IRE) heads into the race in form but faces a rising mark and would not prefer softening ground.
• Too Friendly has been front-running and winning well, but there might be competition for the lead, and softening ground is not ideal.
• Nibras Gold (IRE) returned to form after a break and wind surgery but regressed in the last race. Cheekpieces are now added.
• No Recollection won its last race at Worcester but can be inconsistent. It is 1lb out of the weights and faces a strong handicap.
• Earth Company (IRE) has struggled recently in both hurdle and chase races, and this race represents a tough return to hurdles.

Based on the analysis, Belvedere Blast (IRE) seems to be in excellent form and has a positive jockey strike-rate for the yard. It has been unbeaten since the addition of blinkers and has won on good ground, which suits the forecast. Therefore, Belvedere Blast (IRE) appears to be the one with the best chance in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
3.00 Newbury (12 runners)
bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3)
6f

Let’s rank the runners in the 3.00 Newbury race, bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3), by their total ratings:

1. Lezoo – 614.3
2. Shouldvebeenaring – 581.2
3. Mitbaahy (IRE) – 577.7
4. Annaf (IRE) – 576.8
5. Cold Case – 574.1
6. Commanche Falls – 572.4
7. Rumstar – 553.7
8. Ehraz – 526.6
9. Rohaan (IRE) – 498.5
10. Diligent Harry – 496.4
11. Shartash (IRE) – 457.3

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

1. Lezoo – Showed great form as a juvenile, with wins in a Group 3 and the Group 1 Cheveley Park. Non-stayer in the 1,000 Guineas on return but had a letdown in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup over 6f. Trainers report her to be in good form.
2. Shouldvebeenaring – Dual Listed winner at 6f and 7f. Aimed high in Group 1 races in the last two starts but faces talented sprinters in this class.
3. Mitbaahy (IRE) – Progressed well over 5f as a 3yo, including a Group 3 course win. His eighth-place finish in the Group 1 King’s Stand at Ascot suggests that returning to 6f might be beneficial.
4. Annaf (IRE) – All five wins on AW, and yet to win on turf. Showed good form when just 1l behind Commanche Falls in a Group 2 at York. Did well with a third-place finish in the Group 1 King’s Stand at Ascot.
5. Cold Case – Made the running for two of his last three wins at 6f on good to soft/good ground. Performance was not ideal at Haydock in May, but he remains competitive based on earlier results.
6. Commanche Falls – Top-class sprint handicapper, who has moved smoothly into different types of races. Just held by Garrus in Newmarket Group 3 and an excellent third in a York Group 2.
7. Rumstar – Escaped humble beginnings in 2yo season, ending with a Group 3 win at Newmarket. Showed potential with a fifth-place finish in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup at Ascot.
8. Ehraz – Talented sprinter, unlucky not to win a C&D Listed race last May. Did well in the Commonwealth Cup after, but had some excuses in recent runs, including the first-time blinkers.
9. Rohaan (IRE) – Slow start to the year, but signs of improvement over 5f at Ascot. Excels at that track, but previous run at Newbury did not go as planned.
10. Diligent Harry – 5-9 strike rate on AW, but yet to win on turf. Was narrowly beaten in this race two years ago but held well in it last July. Recent runs on grass suggest others may be more likely.
11. Shartash (IRE) – Won a Group 2 over 6f at the Curragh as a 2yo. Needs an extra push in this competitive company.

Summarizing their chances:

• Lezoo showed great form as a juvenile and should not be underestimated despite a disappointing run in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup. Her form and trainers’ reports suggest she could bounce back.
• Shouldvebeenaring has dual Listed wins but will face tough competition in this class.
• Mitbaahy’s progress over 5f as a 3yo and his Group 1 King’s Stand run indicate that returning to 6f might suit him.
• Annaf’s close finish behind Commanche Falls and his third-place run in the Group 1 King’s Stand are promising signs for a strong performance.
• Commanche Falls is a top-class sprint handicapper, and he could have a big say in this race.
• Rumstar has potential and showed promise with a fifth-place finish in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup.
• Ehraz is talented, but the first-time blinkers add an element of uncertainty to his performance.
• Rohaan has shown signs of improvement but faces strong competition.
• Diligent Harry has a good AW strike rate but has yet to break through on turf.
• Shartash won a Group 2 as a 2yo but may need an extra push in this competitive field.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

• Commanche Falls has system notes for having the best jockey strike rate at the track and being on a winnable mark.
• Ehraz has system notes for being a hold-up horse.
• Mitbaahy has system notes for being a hold-up horse and unbeaten in this days since the last race group.
• Rohaan has a system note for being a hold-up horse.
• Lezoo has system notes for being unbeaten in this Group/Grade, having the top trainer at this track percentage, and being with the top trainer at this track.

Picking the best based on analysis:

Based on the analysis, Commanche Falls stands out as the best choice for the bet365 Hackwood Stakes at Newbury. He is a top-class sprint handicapper who has performed well in recent races and has the best jockey strike rate at the track. His competitive performance in the Group 2 and Group 1 races indicates that he can make a strong impact in this Group 3 race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
3.15 Market Rasen (16 runners)
Unibet Summer Plate Handicap Chase
(Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)
2m6½f 

Based on the provided information, I will rank the runners from highest to lowest by their ratings:

1. Chief Black Robe (IRE) – Total Rating: 568.6
2. Francky Du Berlais (FR) – Total Rating: 518.1
3. Presentandcounting (IRE) – Total Rating: 504.9
4. Courtland (IRE) – Total Rating: 444.9
5. Saint Arvans (FR) – Total Rating: 437.1
6. La Domaniale (FR) – Total Rating: 436.8
7. Hang In There (IRE) – Total Rating: 433.6
8. Gloire Dathon (FR) – Total Rating: 427.1
9. And The New (IRE) – Total Rating: 425.3
10. Northern Bound (IRE) – Total Rating: 403.1
11. Tardree (IRE) – Total Rating: 391.1
12. Born Famous (IRE) – Total Rating: 384.4
13. Fix At All (FR) – Total Rating: 383.3
14. Killer Clown (IRE) – Total Rating: 367.0
15. Railway Hurricane (IRE) – Total Rating: 307.2
16. Broken Ice (IRE) – Total Rating: 260.0

Assessment of the notes & comments for the runners:

1. Chief Black Robe (IRE): Much-improved 7yo with 4 wins over fences this season.
2. Francky Du Berlais (FR): Two-time winner of this race, in good form.
3. Presentandcounting (IRE): Good-ground specialist with a strong career strike rate.
4. Courtland (IRE): Resurgent 8yo, three wins this season.
5. Saint Arvans (FR): Inconsistent, but has two wins this year.
6. La Domaniale (FR): Close second in this race last year, in good form.
7. Hang In There (IRE): Productive in small-field novice chases, recent form mixed.
8. Gloire Dathon (FR): Impressive in spring, latest rise demands more.
9. And The New (IRE): Improved with cheekpieces, C&D winner, 5lb higher now.
10. Northern Bound (IRE): Inconsistent, better on left-handed tracks.
11. Tardree (IRE): Pulled up recently, brushed aside in last C&D chase.
12. Born Famous (IRE): Ex-Irish mare, 4-4 for new stable, out of the weights today.
13. Fix At All (FR): In good form in hunter chases, creditable second at C&D.
14. Killer Clown (IRE): Inconsistent, well handicapped but not reliable.
15. Railway Hurricane (IRE): Battling Tipperary novice chase winner, tough task here.
16. Broken Ice (IRE): Modest strike-rate over fences, lacks pace in recent outings.

Summary of their chances:

1. Chief Black Robe (IRE) – In excellent form, a strong contender.
2. Francky Du Berlais (FR) – Two-time winner of this race, a likely contender.
3. Presentandcounting (IRE) – Good-ground specialist, possibilities for a place.
4. Courtland (IRE) – Resurgent, part of a strong stable, chances to place.
5. La Domaniale (FR) – Close second in this race last year, can’t be ruled out.
6. Hang In There (IRE) – Productive in the past, recent form uncertain.
7. Gloire Dathon (FR) – Impressive in spring, may progress further.
8. And The New (IRE) – Improved with cheekpieces, C&D winner, could be competitive.
9. Saint Arvans (FR) – Inconsistent, but has won twice this year.
10. Northern Bound (IRE) – Inconsistent, better suited to left-handed tracks.
11. Tardree (IRE) – Recent form not encouraging, unlikely to be a top contender.
12. Born Famous (IRE) – In prime form but carrying a penalty and out of weights.
13. Fix At All (FR) – In good form, but today’s race is stronger.
14. Killer Clown (IRE) – Well handicapped but not reliable, risky choice.
15. Railway Hurricane (IRE) – Tough task, needs a career-best to contend.
16. Broken Ice (IRE) – Modest strike-rate over fences, unlikely to challenge.

Relevant notes from the system:

• Francky Du Berlais (FR) has won the last two editions of this race and has good recent form.
• Hang In There (IRE) has a productive spell in small-field novice chases and performs well on good ground.
• La Domaniale (FR) was a close second in this race last year and is in good form.
• Chief Black Robe (IRE) is much improved and unbeaten over fences.

Based on the analysis, Francky Du Berlais (FR) seems to be the strongest contender with a good chance to win the race, given his previous success in this event and good recent form. However, Chief Black Robe (IRE) is also in excellent form and could be a strong challenger.

3.35 Newbury (21 runners)
Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race)
5f

1. Relief Rally (IRE) – Rating: 636.1
   Notes: Won first two starts and narrowly missed in the Group 2 Queen Mary. Fillies have a good record in this race.
2. Son Of Corballis (IRE) – Rating: 541.8
   Notes: Only defeat in the National Stakes at Sandown; won a Listed race at Tipperary. Among the better options based on ratings.
3. Bobsleigh (IRE) – Rating: 506.3
   Notes: Won a valuable race at Epsom and performed well in a strong Coventry at Royal Ascot. Entitled to persuasive form claims at this level.
4. Rosario (IRE) – Rating: 501.9
   Notes: Beat subsequent winner Heed The Call at Ffos Las; 2021 winner Gubbass won this race after a debut win.
5. Beenham (IRE) – Rating: 467.1
   Notes: Won at Goodwood but off since disappointing in a Listed race in May; held by Juniper Berries in their previous clashes.
6. Ziggys Phoenix (IRE) – Rating: 462.2
   Notes: Exposed filly with plenty to find even on her winning form; not likely to be a strong contender.
7. World Of Darcy (IRE) – Rating: 459.6
   Notes: Debut win at Pontefract and placed second in the Listed National Stakes; trainer turns to headgear to improve performance.
8. Heed The Call (IRE) – Rating: 442.4
   Notes: Won two minor races and placed behind Juniper Berries and Rosario in previous races; placed at best if lucky.
9. La Guarida (IRE) – Rating: 419.9
   Notes: Impressive win at Goodwood but disappointed in the Chesham; unraced over 5f and entered in the Group 1 Moyglare.
10. Juniper Berries – Rating: 418.6
    Notes: Held Relief Rally on Queen Mary form; 7lb pull should make it interesting; among the major players.
11. The Camden Colt (IRE) – Rating: 411.7
    Notes: Close third at Pontefract but has no right to challenge Bobsleigh based on previous clashes; not a strong contender.
12. Call Glory (IRE) – Rating: 410.0
    Notes: Won in a seller at Goodwood; surprising if she wins more races, but unlikely to be a strong contender here.
13. Liv My Life (IRE) – Rating: 392.6
    Notes: Positively ridden win at Chester, but limited at this level compared to Relief Rally and Juniper Berries.
14. Payment In Kind (IRE) – Rating: 391.4
    Notes: Raced prominently before a narrow defeat over 6f at Newbury; no maiden has won this race in recent times.
15. Dapperling (IRE) – Rating: 368.9
    Notes: Accounted for a subsequent winner at Lingfield, but that form is not strong enough for this race.
16. Crooked Crown – Rating: 341.3
    Notes: Made it third-time lucky at Chepstow, but has a lot to find on the figures; not a strong contender.
17. Fengari – Rating: 340.5
    Notes: Won a very ordinary soft-ground maiden but outclassed on what she’s shown; unlikely to be competitive.
18. Relentless Warrior (IRE) – Rating: 329.4
    Notes: Standout effort was a second at Bath; hasn’t progressed much from that and is behind some of these runners.
19. Instant Recall – Rating: 305.9
    Notes: Ran okay when second at Haydock, but needs to improve significantly to be competitive in this field.
20. Mr Baloo (IRE) – Rating: 277.7
    Notes: Ran okay in an Ascot nursery but not competitive enough in this company.
21. Jolly Sailor – Rating: 231.8
    Notes: Comfortably held in maidens; has a lot to find on the form.

Summary:
Based on the ratings and form, Relief Rally (IRE), Son Of Corballis (IRE), and Bobsleigh (IRE) stand out as strong contenders. Juniper Berries and Rosario (IRE) also have good chances based on their previous form. La Guarida (IRE) and World Of Darcy (IRE) could be dangerous, and Beenham (IRE) might also have a shot.

From the system notes, some key points to consider are:

• Relief Rally has a great record, is unbeaten in 5f races, and fillies have a good record in this race.
• Bobsleigh has persuasive form claims at this level and was in good form at Epsom and Royal Ascot.
• World Of Darcy will be wearing headgear, which might improve her performance.

Based on my analysis, I would pick Relief Rally (IRE) as the best option. She has a strong rating, unbeaten in 5f races, and has a good record. The system notes also highlight her potential, making her a strong contender for the race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
3.45 Curragh (8 runners)
Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Fillies Group 1)
1m4f

1. Ranking the runners from highest to lowest rating:
2. Savethelastdance (IRE) – Total: 650.3
3. Warm Heart (IRE) – Total: 576.4
4. Bluestocking – Total: 540.1
5. Lumiere Rock (IRE) – Total: 511.8
6. Be Happy (IRE) – Total: 484.2
7. Library (IRE) – Total: 454.2
8. Azazat (IRE) – Total: 450.4
9. Comhra (IRE) – Total: 343.9
10. Assessment of notes & comments for the runners:

• Savethelastdance: Impressive winner in Cheshire Oaks, conditions are right, hard to beat.
• Warm Heart: Solid form, handles slow ground, needs more progress to beat Savethelastdance.
• Bluestocking: Won a Salisbury novice, good runs in defeat, each-way player if handling different conditions.
• Lumiere Rock: Competitive in Group 3 races, met trouble in running, may get closer to Warm Heart, handles ease in the ground.
• Be Happy: Won a Cork maiden on debut, running well in defeat, but form has been knocked.
• Library: Career-best win at 1m2f, disappointed as a beaten favorite in a 1m6f Group 3, may be on pacemaking duty.
• Azazat: Getting better with each run, has a bit to find with top contenders.
• Comhra: Stayed on well for third in the Irish 1,000 Guineas, each-way claims, should stay the new trip.

1. Summary of their chances:

Savethelastdance and Warm Heart appear to be the top contenders based on their recent form and ratings. Savethelastdance has shown impressive form, winning the Cheshire Oaks and performing well in the Oaks. Warm Heart has been consistent, winning a Listed race and a Group 2 in the Ribblesdale. Both horses handle slow ground.

Bluestocking and Lumiere Rock could be strong each-way contenders, given their competitive performances in Group races.

Azazat and Comhra have shown potential, but they may have a bit to find to challenge the top two.

Be Happy and Library are considered outsiders in this field, with Library potentially being used for pacemaking duties.

4. Relevant system notes:

• Azazat: Suited by going, acts on this going and type of track, in very good form, horse is progressing.
• Be Happy: Good run last time, beaten favourite in last race, could be better suited by this trip.
• Bluestocking: Acts on this going and type of track, trainer has a good strike rate, horse is progressing.
• Comhra: Top sire in this race for this track.
• Library: Unbeaten on this surface, acts well on this surface, beaten favorite in last race, suited by the surface.
• Lumiere Rock: Goes well in this track’s direction, good run last time, acts on this going and type of track, in very good form.
• Savethelastdance: Jockey has a good strike rate, top jockey strike rate at the track, Group/Graded best OR in the race, unbeaten in the days since the last race group, in mighty form, horse is progressing, acts on this going and type of track.
• Warm Heart: On a roll, unbeaten at this distance, acts on this going and type of track, in very good form, horse is progressing, unbeaten over this track direction, best distance strike rate in this race.

4. Pick based on analysis:

Considering the impressive form and strong ratings, my pick for this race would be Savethelastdance. She has shown great potential and her recent performances make her a strong candidate for victory. Warm Heart could be a solid each-way option based on her consistent form and ability to handle the conditions.