Analysis based on the TimeWise Rankings for my pick of the rest of Saturday’s races. (In race-time order)

22nd Jul 2023

horse racing

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
3.05 Newmarket (July) (9 runners)
Visit racingtv.com Handicap
6f

Just A Spark – 504.9
Equiano Springs – 463.7
Abate – 435.7
Mokaatil – 400.6
Capotes Dream (IRE) – 394.2
Hover On The Wind (IRE) – 385.8
Almaty Star (IRE) – 375.0
Epic Express – 317.5
Beach Buoy (IRE) – 307.1

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Just A Spark – Progressive at 5f on AW, took form to a new level winning over C&D last month. 3lb higher mark now, but shouldn’t be ruled out.
Equiano Springs – Good strike-rate at Newmarket tracks, including a C&D win. Encouraging Haydock fourth, too free at York last time. Big run expected at this track.
Abate – Front-running wins at Hamilton and Haydock this summer. Two wins from three starts over C&D, a strong contender.
Mokaatil – Slipped to a handy mark, ran decently when third at Nottingham last month. Consider on this drop in class.
Capotes Dream (IRE) – Has shown promise off reduced mark this season, return to 6f should be in his favor.
Hover On The Wind (IRE) – Yet to win a race but consistent in five starts for James Ferguson. Now with blinkers after wearing cheekpieces last time, gelded since last run.
Almaty Star (IRE) – Ran into smart sorts in first three starts, disappointing as odds-on favorite at Doncaster. Gelded and goes in hood for handicap debut, still has potential.
Epic Express – Won a 6f handicap at Rowley course in May, not in same form at Yarmouth last month. Needs personal best upped to Class 4.
Beach Buoy (IRE) – Spring a 33-1 surprise on debut, disappointing in his next two starts. Returns from seven months off and needs to prove himself.

Summarizing their chances:

Just A Spark – Progressive and coming off a C&D win, has a good chance to be competitive despite the 3lb higher mark.
Equiano Springs – Good strike-rate at Newmarket tracks, and with encouraging runs, he’s expected to have a big run at this track.
Abate – Front-running wins and a strong record over C&D, making him a strong contender.
Mokaatil – Slipped to a favorable mark and could be competitive in this drop in class.
Capotes Dream (IRE) – Showing promise this season and the return to 6f could suit him well.
Hover On The Wind (IRE) – Consistent but yet to win a race, now with blinkers and gelded.
Almaty Star (IRE) – Has potential but needs to prove himself in a handicap debut.
Epic Express – Needs to find top form upped to Class 4.
Beach Buoy (IRE) – Spring a surprise on debut but needs to improve after a disappointing run.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Just A Spark has the best jockey strike rate, which adds to his chances.
Mokaatil has an excellent sire for this track, which could be a positive factor.

Based on the analysis, Just A Spark seems to have a strong chance given the recent form and a good jockey strike rate. Equiano Springs and Abate are also contenders with favourable records at the track and previous performances. However, Just A Spark appears to be the most appealing choice for this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
3.10 Curragh (8 runners)
Barberstown Castle Sapphire Stakes (Group 2)
5f

Let’s start by ranking the runners in the 3.10 Curragh race by their total ratings:

Go Athletico (FR) – 644.9
Art Power (IRE) – 602.0
Ladies Church – 586.7
Ano Syra (IRE) – 501.5
Moss Tucker (IRE) – 467.5
Lady Tilbury – 421.7
White Lavender (IRE) – 414.3
Maria Branwell (IRE) – 411.9

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Go Athletico (FR) – Bought for E165,000 and won a Listed sprint at Deauville. Defeated Ano Syra in Irish debut. Respected contender.
Art Power (IRE) – Unbeaten in three runs at the Curragh, with impressive wins in Group races. Fourth in the July Cup but expected to perform well in this 5f race.
Ladies Church – Won this race last year and has solid form in stakes races. Won a 3l Naas race against Moss Tucker two months ago.
Ano Syra (IRE) – Progressive handicapper with victories in 5f/6f races. Solid form in stakes races, including a second-place finish in the Group 2 Greenlands Stakes behind Art Power.
Moss Tucker (IRE) – Ended last season with a 6f course win. Upset odds-on Tenebrism at Naas and was second to Ladies Church at Naas. Below best in 6f Greenlands Stakes.
Lady Tilbury – Useful three-time winner, placed in Listed races at Naas and Cork, won by Ladies Church and Go Athletico, respectively. Big rise in class.
White Lavender (IRE) – Second in last year’s Abbaye. Showed form when landing a 5f Group 3 at Longchamp. Best form on very soft ground.
Maria Branwell (IRE) – Smart juvenile in Britain last year, including a third-place finish in the Group 2 Queen Mary. Touched off in a C&D premier handicap. Up against strong competition at this level.

Summarizing their chances:

Go Athletico (FR) – Comes off an impressive Listed sprint win and previously defeated Ano Syra. A respected contender.
Art Power (IRE) – Unbeaten at the Curragh and with four Group wins in Ireland. Expected to perform well in this 5f race.
Ladies Church – Previous winner of this race, with solid form in stakes races. Recent 3l Naas win against Moss Tucker.
Ano Syra (IRE) – Progressive handicapper with solid form, including a second-place finish to Art Power in the Group 2 Greenlands Stakes.
Moss Tucker (IRE) – Ended last season with a course win and upset Tenebrism at Naas. Second to Ladies Church at Naas, but below best in the Greenlands Stakes.
Lady Tilbury – Useful winner with decent placed form in stakes races. Faces a big rise in class.
White Lavender (IRE) – Showed form in a 5f Group 3 win at Longchamp but performs best on very soft ground.
Maria Branwell (IRE) – Smart juvenile in Britain but faces strong competition and had mixed fortunes in recent races.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Art Power has a number of system notes in his favor, including being unbeaten at the Curragh, a top trainer at this track, and a top jockey strike rate.
Go Athletico has several system notes indicating his suitability for this race, including being unbeaten at this distance and on this going.

Based on the analysis, Art Power seems to be the strongest contender, with his unbeaten record at the Curragh, strong performances in Group races, and several system notes in his favour. Go Athletico also has a good chance, with his impressive Listed sprint win and relevant system notes. However, Art Power stands out as the top pick for this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
3.40 Newmarket (July) (13 runners)
Lettergold Handicap
1m

Let’s start by ranking the runners in the 3.40 Newmarket (July) race by their total ratings:

Hafeet Alain (IRE) – 584.3
Dutch Decoy – 543.9
One Nation – 528.0
Havana Blue – 516.7
First View (IRE) – 487.7
Saxon King – 479.1
Bear Force One – 464.7
Bopedro (FR) – 458.4
Maysong – 450.3
Liberty Lane (IRE) – 417.6
Bass Player (IRE) – 403.8
Indemnify – 393.0
Justice Protecol – 319.3

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Hafeet Alain (IRE) – Won over C&D last month and remains favorably treated. Needs to contend with potential competition for the lead.
Dutch Decoy – 2-2 over C&D and consistently performs well. Expected to run his race and a strong contender.
One Nation – Won twice over 7f last summer and started the year with commendable performances at Meydan. However, finished last in the Britannia at Royal Ascot. Needs to bounce back.
Havana Blue – On a hat-trick after two wins on the Rowley Mile. Pedigree raises doubts about the extra furlong.
First View (IRE) – Won twice last season but hasn’t shown much in recent starts. Cheekpieces return, but more improvement needed.
Saxon King – Won twice this season but finished 12th in the Britannia at Royal Ascot. Respected for previous form.
Bear Force One – C&D winner but well-held in the Royal Hunt Cup at Ascot last month. Needs to bounce back.
Bopedro (FR) – Successful from 1lb lower on the Rowley Mile and has run well in some races, including a sixth-place finish at Royal Ascot.
Maysong – Ended a losing run and won at Sandown but finished behind Dutch Decoy and Indemnify at the same C&D recently. Needs to bounce back.
Liberty Lane (IRE) – Easily won as a 2yo and ran well when runner-up on Newmarket reappearance. Struggled at the Dante and needs to settle better.
Bass Player (IRE) – Won on debut but hasn’t replicated that form. Tongue-tied in recent starts, but others are preferred.
Indemnify – Unexposed 4yo who won twice for Roger Varian. Fifth of 15 on stable debut at Sandown, but needs more improvement.
Justice Protecol – Four-time winner on dirt in the winter but unproven on turf. First start in 133 days.

Summarizing their chances:

Hafeet Alain (IRE) – Comes off a C&D win and remains favorably treated. A strong contender.
Dutch Decoy – Has a perfect record over C&D and consistently runs well. A strong contender.
One Nation – Had commendable performances at Meydan but disappointed in the Britannia. Needs to bounce back.
Havana Blue – Bidding for a hat-trick, but pedigree raises doubts about the extra furlong.
First View (IRE) – Won twice last season but needs to show more improvement.
Saxon King – Won twice this season but finished 12th in the Britannia. Respected for previous form.
Bear Force One – C&D winner but needs to improve from his recent performances.
Bopedro (FR) – Successful on the Rowley Mile and has run well in some races. A major contender.
Maysong – Ended a losing run and won at Sandown but finished behind some rivals in recent C&D race.
Liberty Lane (IRE) – Won as a 2yo and ran well on reappearance. Needs to settle better.
Bass Player (IRE) – Won on debut but hasn’t replicated that form. Others are preferred.
Indemnify – Unexposed 4yo with some promise, but needs more improvement.
Justice Protecol – Four-time winner on dirt, but unproven on turf. May need this run.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Bopedro has relevant system notes, including being a top prize money winner in this race and having a profitable stable at this track.
One Nation has multiple system notes in his favor, such as a good strike rate for the trainer and jockey and being suited by the going.
Dutch Decoy also has positive system notes, including being unbeaten over C&D and having the best jockey strike rate in the race.

Based on the analysis, Dutch Decoy stands out as the strongest contender, with a perfect record over C&D and consistent performances. Bopedro also has promising system notes and previous good form, making him a major contender. However, Dutch Decoy seems to have the edge in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
3.56 Ripon (8 runners)
Sky Bet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival Handicap
1m2f

Let’s start by ranking the runners in the 3.56 Ripon race by their total ratings:

Dungar Glory (IRE) – 506.5
Cosmos Raj – 451.2
Blueflagflyinghigh (IRE) – 397.4
Gareeb (IRE) – 376.1
Baltic Voyage – 374.5
Casilli – 355.3
Poets Dawn – 348.0
Tabuk (IRE) – 333.5

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Dungar Glory (IRE) – Made all over C&D and at Leicester in her first two starts this season. Disappointing in her hat-trick bid at Beverley recently and needs to prove herself again.
Cosmos Raj – Triple course winner and won over C&D last time at 1m. Up 3lb for the narrow success, but still feasibly treated. Has won on good to firm and good to soft.
Blueflagflyinghigh (IRE) – Off the mark at the seventh attempt with a clear win in a C&D handicap last month. Bit disappointing off the revised mark at Newmarket but still has potential and could do well back at this track.
Gareeb (IRE) – 3yo filly who made a winning reappearance in a 1m handicap at Southwell (AW). Had a major blip at Musselburgh but got back on track with a creditable third behind Dungar Glory over C&D last time. Unexposed at this trip.
Baltic Voyage – Promising fourth in the Convivial Maiden at York on his second start, but hasn’t progressed since and has been well-held in middle-distance handicaps. Needs to find more on the drop back in trip.
Casilli – Five of her six wins have come at Beverley, and one came over C&D. Now 2lb lower than her last success but hasn’t been at her best this season and needs to improve.
Poets Dawn – Eight-time winner who handles most ground. Went close off 2lb higher over C&D last month but has finished down the field in his last two runs. Comes with risks attached.
Tabuk (IRE) – All seven runs have been at Dundalk, scoring on his step up to an extended 1m2f. Now switches to turf for a new yard. Has potential at this trip.

Summarizing their chances:

Dungar Glory (IRE) – Has to prove herself again after a disappointing run. Not easy to predict.
Cosmos Raj – Triple course winner and comes off a narrow win over C&D. Still feasibly treated and versatile with ground conditions.
Blueflagflyinghigh (IRE) – Off the mark at C&D last month but disappointed at Newmarket. Still has potential and could perform well back at this track.
Gareeb (IRE) – Won on reappearance and showed promise when third behind Dungar Glory over C&D. Unexposed at this trip.
Baltic Voyage – Promising start to his career but hasn’t progressed in middle-distance handicaps. Needs to find more on this drop back in trip.
Casilli – Has a good record at Beverley but needs to raise her game after a lackluster season.
Poets Dawn – Handles most ground and came close over C&D last month, but not easy to predict and has recent unimpressive runs.
Tabuk (IRE) – Scored on his step up in trip at Dundalk but now switches to turf for a new yard. Has potential but comes with uncertainties.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Dungar Glory (IRE) has positive system notes, including a good 30-day strike rate for the trainer and being from a profitable stable at this track.
Casilli has relevant system notes, including being a beaten favorite in the last race, holding up as a racing style, and improving since the last run over C&D.
Blueflagflyinghigh (IRE) has positive system notes, including being unbeaten on this surface, having a high jockey strike rate at the track, and being suited by the surface.

Based on the analysis, Cosmos Raj appears to be the strongest contender. He is a triple course winner, coming off a recent win over C&D, and still seems feasibly treated with the step back up in trip. Blueflagflyinghigh also has potential and may perform well back at this track, making him a viable option. However, Cosmos Raj’s form and versatility with ground conditions make him the top pick for this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
4.00 Cartmel (9 runners)
Hadwins Handicap Chase
2m1½f

Let’s begin by ranking the runners in the 4.00 Cartmel race by their total ratings:

Jackhammer (IRE) – 388.0
Tontos Spirit – 386.4
Well Go Again (IRE) – 358.4
Hungry Tiger (IRE) – 343.2
Ardera Cross (IRE) – 309.3
Bells Express (IRE) – 241.8
Glan Y Gors (IRE) – 239.3
Ensel Du Perche (FR) – 224.0
Bandit D’Ainay (FR) – 154.3

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Jackhammer (IRE) – Sprung a surprise on the Flat at Hamilton and reverts to fences for the first time since finishing runner-up at Musselburgh in November 2021. Uncertain form but potential.
Tontos Spirit – A Cartmel regular with eight course wins. Out of sorts this year but showed improvement with a staying-on fourth over C&D last time. Claimer ridden and 2lb lower in weight.
Well Go Again (IRE) – Won over hurdles at Market Rasen and has mixed chasing with Flat racing recently. Wasn’t beaten far (fourth) in a recent race at Market Rasen and has possibilities.
Hungry Tiger (IRE) – Made a successful return to fences when a game and determined all-the-way course winner. Raised 4lb since, and his rider is no longer eligible to claim, facing a tougher task over this shorter trip. Soft ground not an issue.
Ardera Cross (IRE) – A veteran, especially good at Ayr. Ran well until weakening after the final fence over C&D last time, closely matched with Glan Y Gors and Tontos Spirit.
Bells Express (IRE) – Seeking a first win and has cheekpieces added. Wasn’t always fluent when finishing fifth on chasing debut.
Glan Y Gors (IRE) – Won this race last year from a 6lb higher mark. Gave notice of a return to form when runner-up over C&D last time. Has merits and worth considering.
Ensel Du Perche (FR) – Broke the maiden at the 23rd attempt under front-running tactics at Market Rasen. Handles softer conditions and should handle the weight increase.
Bandit D’Ainay (FR) – No win since his French days and is out of the handicap. Safer to consider other options.

Summarizing their chances:

Jackhammer (IRE) – Uncertain form but has potential. Difficult to predict.
Tontos Spirit – Cartmel regular with some improvement shown in the last race. Lower weight with claimer ridden.
Well Go Again (IRE) – Mixed chasing with Flat racing and showed promise in recent races.
Hungry Tiger (IRE) – Successful return to fences but faces a tougher task with higher weight.
Ardera Cross (IRE) – Veteran with good Ayr record. Showed promise last time at C&D.
Bells Express (IRE) – Seeking first win, and added cheekpieces could bring improvement.
Glan Y Gors (IRE) – Last year’s race winner with a good return to form last time.
Ensel Du Perche (FR) – Broke maiden under front-running tactics and handles softer conditions.
Bandit D’Ainay (FR) – Out of form and out of the handicap.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Tontos Spirit has positive system notes, including the best jockey strike rate in the race and the best distance strike rate.
Ardera Cross has relevant system notes, including being a front-runner and a top prize money winner in the race.
Hungry Tiger has positive system notes, including a good run last time and a horse that is progressing.

Based on the analysis, Tontos Spirit seems to have favourable conditions and a good chance in this race. Being a Cartmel regular with positive system notes and a good performance last time, Tontos Spirit appears to be the best pick for this race. However, keep an eye on Glan Y Gors, last year’s race winner, who showed a return to form recently and could also be a strong contender.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
4.15 Newmarket (July) (14 runners)
Ric And Mary Hambro Aphrodite Fillies
Stakes (Fillies & Mares Listed)
1m4f

Let’s start by ranking the runners in the 4.15 Newmarket race by their total ratings:

Truthful (IRE) – 552.9
Ghara – 543.5
Time Lock – 540.2
Novakai – 524.3
Lmay (IRE) – 521.2
Sound Angela – 504.0
Star Fortress (IRE) – 489.0
Belt Buckle – 484.9
Climate Friendly – 482.7
Heavenly Breath – 459.5
Perfect Prophet – 446.0
Cloudbreaker – 441.2
Wickywickywheels (IRE) – 425.0
Aiming High – 414.2

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Truthful (IRE) – Made a winning debut and improved further to win a novice race. Open to improvement.
Ghara – Off the mark in a maiden but needs to improve for the fitting of a hood.
Time Lock – Consistent performer, with a good fourth-place finish in a Group 2 race at Haydock. Strong contender.
Novakai – Highly tried after a successful debut. May improve for the longer trip.
Lmay (IRE) – Won a maiden but couldn’t manage a good result in the Group 2 Ribblesdale. Hood now given a try.
Sound Angela – Proven at this level and comes off a strong second-place finish in a Listed contest.
Star Fortress (IRE) – Third in a similar contest over C&D but not in great form recently.
Belt Buckle – Lightly raced, unexposed, but others look more solid.
Climate Friendly – Off the mark in a novice and didn’t run badly in a Group 2 Ribblesdale.
Heavenly Breath – Runner-up in Group 3/Listed company in France but needs to improve.
Perfect Prophet – Best effort in Group 2 May Hill but hasn’t shown much since returning.
Cloudbreaker – Performed well in recent starts but needs more to trouble some of the stronger contenders.
Wickywickywheels (IRE) – Listed winner at Abu Dhabi but hasn’t won since and finished behind Time Lock recently.
Aiming High – Well-held at Goodwood and appears to be out of her depth in this race.

Summarizing their chances:

Truthful (IRE) – Open to improvement and a strong contender.
Ghara – Needs to improve with the hood fitted.
Time Lock – Consistent performer and a strong player in this race.
Novakai – Highly tried, but could improve for the longer trip.
Lmay (IRE) – Needs to improve with the hood given a try.
Sound Angela – Proven at this level and a strong contender based on form.
Star Fortress (IRE) – Needs to show better form to be competitive.
Belt Buckle – Unexposed but others look more solid.
Climate Friendly – Showed promise in a novice but needs to improve.
Heavenly Breath – Needs to improve to challenge the stronger contenders.
Perfect Prophet – Struggling to match previous form.
Cloudbreaker – Needs more to trouble the top contenders.
Wickywickywheels (IRE) – Struggling to find form and faces stronger opposition.
Aiming High – Out of her depth in this race.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Truthful (IRE) has multiple system notes, including being unbeaten in various aspects and having a top trainer at this track.
Novakai has a relevant system note about possibly being better suited by the longer trip.

Based on the analysis, Truthful (IRE) appears to be the strongest contender, with multiple positive system notes and open to improvement. Sound Angela also looks competitive based on her form, and Time Lock is a consistent performer and a strong player in the race. However, Truthful (IRE) stands out as the best pick for this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
4.20 Curragh (11 runners)
Comer Group International Curragh Cup (Group 2)
1m6f

Let’s start by ranking the runners in the 4.20 Curragh race by their total ratings:

Rosscarbery (GER) – 709.4
Emily Dickinson (IRE) – 642.0
Okita Soushi (IRE) – 517.5
Yashin (IRE) – 509.0
Point King (IRE) – 445.4
Young Ireland (IRE) – 420.5
Sionnach Eile (IRE) – 404.4
Amusement (IRE) – 397.1
Run For Oscar (IRE) – 377.1
Gooloogong (IRE) – 327.1
John Alexander (IRE) – 275.6

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Rosscarbery (GER) – Three-time Group 3 winner, consistent performer, but best form on quicker ground.
Emily Dickinson (IRE) – Group 3 winner and impressive on return. Looks like a big player with favorable conditions.
Okita Soushi (IRE) – In good form, narrowly won a Royal Ascot handicap. Might not want rain-softened ground.
Yashin (IRE) – Narrowly beat Point King in a Group 3, might improve for the run. May not want testing ground.
Point King (IRE) – Listed winner over this trip but hasn’t built on that performance. Concerns about soft ground.
Young Ireland (IRE) – Only a maiden win to his name, likely out of his depth in this race.
Sionnach Eile (IRE) – Progressive last summer but not in the same form this season. Needs a career-best to contend.
Amusement (IRE) – Won a handicap on return, holding her own at Pattern level, but needs to improve further.
Run For Oscar (IRE) – Cesarewitch winner, hit the frame in the Queen Alexandra, but needs a step up in form.
Gooloogong (IRE) – Won a maiden on heavy ground but faces a tough task in this Group 2 race.
John Alexander (IRE) – Won on handicap debut but struggled at this level and tailed off in a Group 2.

Summarizing their chances:

Rosscarbery (GER) – Consistent performer, but best form on quicker ground. Could be competitive.
Emily Dickinson (IRE) – Impressive on return, has good form at this level, and favors the conditions. A strong contender.
Okita Soushi (IRE) – In good form but might not want rain-softened ground.
Yashin (IRE) – Narrowly won a Group 3, could improve, but ground conditions may be a concern.
Point King (IRE) – Listed winner but hasn’t built on that performance. Soft ground is a worry.
Young Ireland (IRE) – Out of his depth in this race and not likely to stay the trip.
Sionnach Eile (IRE) – Progressive last summer but not in top form this season. Needs a career-best.
Amusement (IRE) – Has been holding her own at Pattern level, but needs to improve further.
Run For Oscar (IRE) – Has some good form, but needs a step up to challenge the stronger contenders.
Gooloogong (IRE) – Won a maiden but faces a tough task in this race and is up in trip.
John Alexander (IRE) – Struggled at this level and unlikely to be competitive.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Emily Dickinson (IRE) has multiple positive system notes, including a Group/Graded Best OR in the race and strong jockey-trainer combinations.
Rosscarbery (GER) has relevant system notes, including being a three-time Group 3 winner and consistent performances.

Based on the analysis, Emily Dickinson (IRE) appears to be the strongest contender with impressive form, good ratings, and favourable conditions. Rosscarbery (GER) is also a competitive option given his consistent performances. However, Emily Dickinson (IRE) stands out as the best pick for this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
4.25 Market Rasen (11 runners)
Try Unibets New Acca Boosts Novices
Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m5½f

Let’s begin by ranking the runners in the 4.25 Market Rasen race by their total ratings:

Sobegrand – 527.7
Cheltenam De Vaige (FR) – 445.7
Baikal – 339.8
Sforza Castle (IRE) – 263.3
Fulgurant (FR) – 257.1
Buck Of Maine (FR) – 245.2
Grand Auld Tune (IRE) – 233.6
Roll With It (IRE) – 229.8
Le Bayou (FR) – 217.3
Moro Rock (IRE) – 209.3
Conquer The Breeze (IRE) – 205.1

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Sobegrand – Made a clear-cut success at Stratford on good ground. Improved since a gelding operation and open to further progress.
Cheltenam De Vaige (FR) – 0-13 over hurdles but a multiple chase/point winner. Should find this race much easier than the prestigious hunter chase he contested last month. Could be a contender.
Baikal – Caused a surprise in a modest Worcester maiden but was safely held in a novice race at the same venue. Vulnerable under the penalty.
Sforza Castle (IRE) – Arguably ran better than the form suggests on both hurdling starts. Not ruled out each-way.
Fulgurant (FR) – Displayed promise in a soft-ground Irish point but struggled in a bumper and was remote on hurdling debut. Tongue-tie added.
Buck Of Maine (FR) – Made the frame in two bumpers but has been deserted by the jockey today.
Grand Auld Tune (IRE) – Managed only fourth in a soft-ground point bumper but is with a good stable for rules career. Market support could bring him into contention.
Roll With It (IRE) – Placed in two good bumpers on good to soft ground. Needs to transfer that form to hurdling.
Le Bayou (FR) – 1-40 on the Flat, struggled off basement mark on last starts. Hard to recommend on hurdle debut.
Moro Rock (IRE) – Not disgraced in three bumpers but needs to improve significantly on hurdle debut.
Conquer The Breeze (IRE) – Showed some ability on Irish Flat starts and had a decent hurdle debut at Perth. Others have stronger credentials.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Sobegrand has multiple positive system notes, including being a recent winner, having good going percentage, and a strong jockey-trainer combination.
Baikal has system notes indicating that the horse is progressing, has a decent strike rate in this NH type, and similar conditions to its last win.
Cheltenam De Vaige (FR) has several relevant system notes, such as a good going percentage, a strong jockey-trainer combination, and being a top prize money winner in the race.

Based on the analysis, Sobegrand appears to be the best pick for this race. With recent improvement and a clear-cut success in its previous outing, Sobegrand has a strong chance to win this Novices Hurdle race at Market Rasen.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
4.30 Ripon (7 runners)
Ripon Bell-Ringer Handicap
1m4f

Let’s start by ranking the runners in the 4.30 Ripon race by their total ratings:

Chillingham (IRE) – 605.8
Pride Of Priory – 517.8
Charging Thunder – 438.2
Dark Jedi (IRE) – 406.6
Sir Rumi (IRE) – 404.5
Thundering – 394.1
Mr Curiosity – 381.5

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Chillingham (IRE) – Has a commanding handicap win at Thirsk and may resume progress back at this trip after a strong hold at Royal Ascot.
Pride Of Priory – Has won five of his first nine starts, but finished down the field in his last four runs. Has some questions to answer after a break and his peak form has come on fast ground.
Charging Thunder – Last win was 12 months ago at Newmarket off a higher mark. Respectable effort with a third at Ayr recently. Could be in the mix with new headgear.
Dark Jedi (IRE) – Mixed performances this season, with a sixth-place finish at Ayr. His last success was off this mark at Doncaster and won this race in 2021. Not ruled out.
Sir Rumi (IRE) – Won at Epsom and had a good third at Ascot in the past, but form has cooled in the last two runs. Needs to bounce back near his best.
Thundering – Won at Newcastle and had close finishes on Tapeta and turf, but hasn’t been at the top of his game this season. Well-treated based on past form.
Mr Curiosity – Dual turf winner, catching the eye with a staying-on third at Chester last week. Interesting back up in trip.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Chillingham (IRE) has several positive system notes, including being suited by the surface, distance, going, and track. Also, has a good jockey-strike rate and a strong jockey-trainer combination.
Mr Curiosity has the system note of being a clear top on the going percentage.
Pride Of Priory has relevant system notes, such as having a good 30-day strike rate for the trainer and being the top prize money winner in this race.

Based on the analysis, Chillingham (IRE) appears to be the best pick for this race. With a commanding handicap win at Thirsk and the potential to resume progress back at this trip, Chillingham seems well-suited for this race at Ripon. The positive system notes further strengthen his credentials, making him the top choice for this Handicap race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
4.35 Cartmel (6 runners)
William Hill Epic Value Handicap Chase
2m5f

Let’s start by ranking the runners in the 4.35 Cartmel race by their total ratings:

Croagh Patrick (IRE) – 375.5
Post No Bills (IRE) – 371.5
Jelski (GER) – 359.2
Follow Your Arrow (FR) – 301.5
A Cheap Thrill (IRE) – 218.0
Kellyiscool (IRE) – 206.2

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Croagh Patrick (IRE) – Consistent performer, lost a shoe when reeled in late in first-time blinkers at Market Rasen. Has form on heavy ground and could perform well at this unique track.
Post No Bills (IRE) – Second-best at Aintree last month, and has previously won over C&D. Has tackled soft ground in points but has primarily raced on a sound surface.
Jelski (GER) – Showed good form with a gritty win over 3m1f at Cartmel last month. A three-time course winner, handles soft and heavy ground.
Follow Your Arrow (FR) – In reasonable order, runner-up at Hexham and third at Cartmel recently. Back over a more suitable trip, and remains competitively weighted.
A Cheap Thrill (IRE) – Failed to win for previous trainer, fell on recent stable debut at Market Rasen. Unlikely to be a strong contender.
Kellyiscool (IRE) – Yet to win over hurdles, didn’t offer much on stable debut at Perth last time. Previously hit the frame in a beginners’ chase at Gowran Park. Any positive market move would instill more confidence.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Jelski (GER) has several positive system notes, including being suited by the trip and having a good strike rate for the trainer and jockey at the track.
Post No Bills (IRE) has relevant system notes, such as having a decent strike rate in this type of National Hunt (NH) race and being the top prize money winner in this race.
Croagh Patrick (IRE) has strong system notes, including having a good strike rate for the jockey and being unbeaten over this distance.

Based on the analysis, Croagh Patrick (IRE) seems to have the best chance in this race. Despite a difficult win record, he has shown consistency and has form on heavy ground, which could be advantageous at Cartmel. The relevant system notes further support his credentials, making him the top pick for the William Hill Epic Value Handicap Chase.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
4.50 Newmarket (July) (10 runners)
Every Race Live On Racing TV Confined Handicap
1m2f

Let’s rank the runners in the 4.50 Newmarket race by their total ratings:

I Still Have Faith – 454.3
Moush – 390.8
Bohemian Breeze (IRE) – 360.2
Kodiman (IRE) – 334.1
Ala Kaifi – 302.9
Twoforthegutter (IRE) – 287.2
Another Dimension – 279.8
Major Major (IRE) – 268.8
Twilight Guest – 258.6
Clenched – 242.9

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Ala Kaifi – Showed a similar level of form in three starts, going down by a short head in a Doncaster novice. Least exposed in the field, and needs to find more in handicapping.
Another Dimension – Showed promise in both starts last autumn but hasn’t performed well this year. Needs to settle better back up in trip and has stamina to prove.
Bohemian Breeze (IRE) – Showed ability as a 2-year-old but hasn’t built on it in three handicaps since returning. Finished fourth of ten on first start since being gelded.
Clenched – Made a promising debut but proved disappointing in three subsequent starts. Taking a big step up in trip on stable debut.
I Still Have Faith – Improved with the fitting of a hood, finishing runner-up twice and winning at Nottingham. Only 2lb higher and looks promising.
Kodiman (IRE) – Still to build on the promise of his debut second at Southwell. A fair effort when third at Lingfield recently.
Major Major (IRE) – Showed some ability on his second start but was beaten a long way in both outings since returning. Needs major improvement.
Moush – In the frame in seven of his nine starts, including a third-place finish at Haydock. Likely to run his race, but further probably suits him better.
Twilight Guest – 0-10, but placed in three of his last four starts. The return to a more galloping track may suit him.
Twoforthegutter (IRE) – Well held in his first four starts but improved with cheekpieces and finished third at Nottingham. Each-way claims if the headgear continues to work.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Ala Kaifi has multiple system notes, including being in very good form and suited by the going.
I Still Have Faith has positive system notes, such as being in mighty form and having a top jockey strike rate in the race.
Moush has system notes indicating he has the best jockey strike rate in the race and has a top trainer this month in this race.

Based on the analysis, I Still Have Faith looks like the most promising contender for the Every Race Live On Racing TV Confined Handicap at Newmarket. With a recent win and consistent performances, along with positive system notes, he seems to have a good chance of success in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
5.00 Market Rasen (9 runners)
Unibet Moneyback Races Every Week Handicap Hurdle
2m1f

Let’s rank the runners in the 5.00 Market Rasen race by their total ratings:

Adamaris (IRE) – 534.7
Nadim (IRE) – 481.2
Tio Mio (IRE) – 408.0
Rakhine State (IRE) – 388.0
John The Baptist (IRE) – 371.1
Enthused (IRE) – 347.6
Beaumesnil (FR) – 303.0
Mcgowan’s Pass – 249.8
Magna Moralia (IRE) – 240.5

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Adamaris (IRE) – Four-time Flat winner in Ireland. Made a winning handicap hurdle debut over C&D (good) recently. Cheekpieces refitted.
Nadim (IRE) – Low-mileage 4-year-old. Won a conditional jockeys’ handicap in first-time cheekpieces at Stratford. Avoids a penalty here.
Tio Mio (IRE) – Fair Flat-racer when in form. Making handicap hurdle debut with Sean Bowen as the jockey.
Rakhine State (IRE) – Usually runs over further distances but won a 2-mile chase at Perth recently. Very well handicapped on old form.
John The Baptist (IRE) – Showed promise over hurdles for the new stable in March/April. Had a wind operation after the latest run.
Enthused (IRE) – Won at Huntingdon and finished second in a higher-grade race at Stratford recently. In good form and off the same mark.
Beaumesnil (FR) – Unexposed 6-year-old. Clear second in a Hexham novice and debuts with first-time cheekpieces.
Mcgowan’s Pass – In the frame in five consecutive starts. Finished second at Uttoxeter last month but has a modest strike-rate.
Magna Moralia (IRE) – Runner-up twice over 2m4f here this season. Mixed record over hurdles and may not be suited by the drop back in trip.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Adamaris has several positive system notes, including horse is progressing, trainer has a good 30-day strike rate, and similar conditions to last win.
Enthused has positive system notes, such as good runs last time, acts on the going, and the yard has a good strike rate at this distance.
Nadim has favorable system notes, including a trainer with a good 30-day strike rate, a trainer with a good strike rate with the jockey, and the best jockey strike rate in the race.
Rakhine State has a system note indicating he is on a winnable mark.

Based on the analysis, Adamaris appears to be the strongest contender for the Unibet Moneyback Races Every Week Handicap Hurdle at Market Rasen. With a recent winning debut over hurdles and positive system notes, including a progressing form and top-rated total, Adamaris seems to have a good chance of success in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
5.05 Ripon (14 runners)
Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap
1m

Let’s rank the runners in the 5.05 Ripon race by their total ratings:

Innse Gall – 481.6
Spirit Catcher (IRE) – 453.2
Young Fire (FR) – 446.0
Wobwobwob (IRE) – 423.7
Imperial Sands (IRE) – 421.8
Hortzadar – 414.7
Baltimore Boy (IRE) – 409.1
Carolus Magnus (IRE) – 390.5
Garden Oasis – 387.8
Copper And Five – 364.8
Golden Melody (IRE) – 357.1
Cassy O (IRE) – 338.4
King Triton (IRE) – 335.7
Another Batt (IRE) – 330.5
Floral Splendour – 315.5

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Innse Gall – Four-time turf winner, solid record this season, effective on slow ground, and could be a factor with his closing style.
Spirit Catcher (IRE) – Front-runner, knocking on the door in recent runs, interesting on the drop back in grade, and versatile ground-wise.
Young Fire (FR) – Three wins in his last seven starts, feasibly treated, and a big player if he gets the breaks on the drop back in grade.
Wobwobwob (IRE) – Suited by good or slower ground, vulnerable on the step back up in trip, and fades in recent starts.
Imperial Sands (IRE) – Four-time AW winner, bold bid when clear second in the last run, and looks on a workable mark.
Hortzadar – Hard to predict, good record over this C&D, could bounce back with a big run back at this track.
Baltimore Boy (IRE) – Won at Newcastle last year, looks well handicapped on that form, mixed record this season.
Carolus Magnus (IRE) – Last win off 1lb lower, several creditable efforts last season, big drop back in grade, and has a bit to prove for the new yard.
Garden Oasis – Four-time C&D winner, got back on the scoresheet last month, needs to find more back at this track.
Copper And Five – Ended a long losing run in May, bit to prove again back up in grade, cheekpieces added.
Golden Melody (IRE) – Up and down form this season, finished well in a Class 4 event two weeks ago.
Cassy O (IRE) – Went close last month but not at the same level in the last three starts.
King Triton (IRE) – Won a Thirsk novice in 2021, struggled in both runs this season.
Another Batt (IRE) – Defied a higher mark in 2021, 0-10 since and not made a serious impact in recent runs.
Floral Splendour – Good second at Beverley last month but has a patchy profile and was last when favorite last time.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Imperial Sands has positive system notes, including a front-runner, top trainer this month in this race, and on a winnable mark.
Carolus Magnus has a system note indicating he was unbeaten in this class.
Spirit Catcher has system notes showing he has the best going percentage and is suited by the going.
Baltimore Boy has a system note regarding a good draw and the best jockey strike rate in the race.

Based on the analysis, Innse Gall appears to be the most promising contender in the Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap at Ripon. With the highest total rating, a solid record this season, and effectiveness on slow ground, Innse Gall seems to have a strong chance of performing well in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
5.10 Cartmel (5 runners)
William Hill Pick Your Places Handicap Chase
3m1½f

Let’s rank the runners in the 5.10 Cartmel race by their total ratings:

Whataboutyeh (IRE) – 401.7
Lights Are Green (IRE) – 386.4
Colemanstown Lad (IRE) – 259.4
Eagle Terrace – 233.1
An Marcach (IRE) – 222.1
Chain Smoker – 176.3

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Whataboutyeh (IRE) – Built on earlier promise when winning over C&D, less effective over hurdles in a subsequent run, positive claims from a higher mark on return to fences.
Lights Are Green (IRE) – Won back-to-back staying races, chased home Whataboutyeh over C&D last time, now 6lb worse off.
Colemanstown Lad (IRE) – Still seeking a first win, just touched off by a 100-1 winner, didn’t jump well and unseated rider in the latest start.
Eagle Terrace – 1-31 career, no standout recent form, switches back to fences for stable debut.
An Marcach (IRE) – 1-38 career, sole win came over fences, pulled up in two of the last three starts, unappealing.
Chain Smoker – 1-10 career, failed to muster an RPR in excess of 53 in recent starts, pulled up in the latest start, competes out of the handicap.

Summarizing their chances:

Whataboutyeh seems to be in good form and has positive claims on return to fences.
Lights Are Green has been performing well and has a chance to be in the mix despite being worse off against Whataboutyeh.
Colemanstown Lad is yet to win but showed promise and has potential.
Eagle Terrace’s recent form is not convincing, and it’s best to wait for any market support.
An Marcach and Chain Smoker have less appealing profiles and are less likely to contend in this race.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Lights Are Green has positive system notes, including being the top prize money winner in this race, a decent strike rate in this NH type, acts on the going, and has improved since the last run over C&D.
Colemanstown Lad has system notes indicating the top trainer this month in this race and a good 30-day strike rate for the trainer.
Whataboutyeh has multiple positive system notes, such as being the most recent winner in the race, unbeaten at this distance, the yard having a good strike rate at this distance, and the best distance strike rate in this race.

Based on the analysis, Whataboutyeh appears to be the best choice for the William Hill Pick Your Places Handicap Chase at Cartmel. With the highest total rating and multiple positive system notes, Whataboutyeh’s strong form and potential for improvement on return to fences make him a promising contender in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
5.20 Newbury (10 runners)
British EBF Premier Fillies Handicap (Str)
1m

Let’s rank the runners in the 5.20 Newbury race by their total ratings:

Sparks Fly – 581.8
Rowayeh (IRE) – 548.8
Ana Gold – 498.3
Orchid Bloom – 495.3
Dont Tell Claire – 494.9
Eximious (IRE) – 457.3
Conservationist – 452.5
Wind In Your Sails (IRE) – 393.4
Tango Tonight – 384.9
Maggies Way – 368.2

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Sparks Fly – Fantastic run in 1m and 1m2f handicaps, winning six races on good to soft or slower. Wasn’t inconvenienced by a further rise in weight and class, suggests going up in weight again won’t be a problem, but needs plenty of rain.
Rowayeh (IRE) – Won her qualifying run at Beverley and had a successful handicap debut at Sandown, showing potential. Up 5lb but going in the right direction.
Ana Gold – Mostly consistent in handicaps without winning one for the previous yard. Won convincingly at Beverley 14 days ago but faces a tougher race now with an increased mark.
Orchid Bloom – Won at Newmarket on sole 2yo start, ran well in two novices since, and could improve back in a handicap for the winning yard.
Dont Tell Claire – In cracking form at this level, narrowly went down in the Kensington Palace at Royal Ascot. Hard to rule out with a top jockey onboard and blinkers replacing cheekpieces.
Eximious (IRE) – Sole win in a 7f novice, ran well in a handicap over that trip but didn’t finish strongly over 1m at Royal Ascot. Has something to prove at this trip and on slower ground.
Conservationist – Usually leads and performs best on good to soft and soft ground. Held on well in a race at Haydock but now 5lb higher, needs more but open to improvement.
Wind In Your Sails (IRE) – Made the running for a Thirsk novice win but struggled on handicap debut over 1m2f. Still has some potential back at 1m.
Tango Tonight – Won a 7f AW maiden but has limited track appearances since. Needs to step up back at this level after a poor performance in Listed company on her return.
Maggies Way – Won a Nottingham handicap on reappearance but couldn’t raise her game in Listed company. Has more realistic claims back in a handicap.

Summarizing their chances:

Sparks Fly has been in fantastic form and seems to handle the step up in weight and class, but needs favorable ground conditions.
Rowayeh shows potential and could improve further in handicaps.
Ana Gold faces a tougher race after a convincing win but is consistent in handicaps.
Orchid Bloom could improve back in a handicap and has room for development.
Dont Tell Claire is in cracking form and is hard to rule out with a strong jockey and blinkers on.
Eximious has something to prove at this distance and ground.
Conservationist performs best on good to soft and could still improve.
Wind In Your Sails has potential back at 1m.
Tango Tonight needs to step up in a competitive race.
Maggies Way has realistic claims back in a handicap.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Sparks Fly has several positive system notes, including being unbeaten at this distance, acts on the going, in very good form, unbeaten in this race code and class, and has the best distance strike rate in this race.
Rowayeh has positive system notes, such as the trainer having a good strike rate at the track and yard doing well in handicaps.
Dont Tell Claire has system notes indicating she is in very good form, the jockey has a good strike rate in the last 30 days, and is the top prize money winner in this race.

Based on the analysis, Sparks Fly stands out as the best choice for the British EBF Premier Fillies Handicap at Newbury. With the highest total rating and multiple positive system notes, Sparks Fly’s fantastic form and potential for further improvement make her a strong contender in this race, provided the ground conditions suit her.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
5.25 Newmarket (July) (10 runners)
Join Racing TV Now Handicap
7f

Let’s rank the runners in the 5.25 Newmarket race by their total ratings:

Star Of Orion (IRE) – 494.9
Nizaaka (FR) – 477.2
Final Watch – 475.1
Candle Of Hope – 472.0
Mitrosonfire – 462.2
First Folio – 440.1
Meishar (ARG) – 404.1
Soar Above – 386.4
Rich – 367.5
Siam Fox (IRE) – 366.2

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Star Of Orion (IRE) – Has been running well in defeat since returning and is 3lb lower now. Respectable performance in the Bunbury Cup over C&D last time.
Nizaaka (FR) – Completed a C&D hat-trick last summer but has had an uneven form since then. Failed to beat a rival in the last run.
Final Watch – Won over C&D eight days ago. Unraced on ground faster than good, so ground conditions may be a factor.
Candle Of Hope – Made the frame in Listed company and was fifth of 29 runners in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot on handicap debut. Shaped like the return to this trip would suit.
Mitrosonfire – Beat Star Of Orion narrowly over C&D last August. May have needed the last run, but needs to improve further.
First Folio – Well beaten in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot, dropping out after showing early speed. Back off the last winning mark, but others appeal more.
Meishar (ARG) – Mixed bag in five starts at Meydan. 0-11 on turf and may need this race after a break.
Soar Above – Won over 6f at Newmarket and eight successes on the Kempton AW. Fairly treated but uncertain if these conditions will suit.
Rich – Lightly raced since a successful debut. Hasn’t built on encouraging reappearance and finished well behind Candle Of Hope at Royal Ascot.
Siam Fox (IRE) – Made all on Yarmouth reappearance but held in subsequent races.

Summarizing their chances:

Star Of Orion (IRE) is in good form and could be competitive with the current weight.
Nizaaka (FR) needs to find better form to be competitive in this race.
Final Watch won recently but may not prefer ground faster than good.
Candle Of Hope has shown potential and has a leading chance with a return to this trip.
Mitrosonfire needs to improve to be a top contender.
First Folio dropped out after early speed in the last run and others have more appeal.
Meishar (ARG) may need this race after a break and has limited turf success.
Soar Above’s success has mostly come on the Kempton AW, and it’s uncertain if these conditions will suit.
Rich has not shown enough improvement from the successful debut.
Siam Fox (IRE) may struggle against this competition.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Meishar (ARG) has positive system notes for being in very good form and in mighty form.
Star Of Orion (IRE) has system notes indicating that he is unbeaten in this class and has the best jockey strike rate at the track.
Candle Of Hope has the best distance strike rate in this race and has improved since the last run over C&D.

Based on the analysis, Candle Of Hope stands out as the best choice for the Join Racing TV Now Handicap at Newmarket. With a strong rating and positive system notes, including the best distance strike rate in this race, Candle Of Hope’s performance in Listed company and recent handicap debut at Royal Ascot suggest that a return to this trip will suit. The horse has leading claims, and the only concern would be ground conditions, which need to be monitored.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
5.40 Ripon (7 runners)
Ripon Racecourse Stable Staff Championships
Confined Handicap
6f

Let’s rank the runners in the 5.40 Ripon race by their total ratings:

South Dakota Sioux (IRE) – 396.0
Thornaby Pearl – 353.0
Glendown (IRE) – 331.7
Wreck It Ryley (IRE) – 329.8
Zegos Surprise (IRE) – 286.5
Strength n Honour – 261.3
Miss Willows – 229.0

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

South Dakota Sioux (IRE) – Won two handicaps this season but has not matched that form in three runs since. Still has something to prove on slow ground.
Thornaby Pearl – Well treated on best form from last season. Promising sixth at Doncaster on reappearance. Return to forecast slower ground is a positive.
Glendown (IRE) – Off the mark at the tenth attempt with a narrow success in a C&D handicap. Open to more progress and respected.
Wreck It Ryley (IRE) – Sole win came on AW in February. Mixed record since but showed promise with a close fifth at Pontefract last time. Unexposed on turf and a big player if he can build on the last run.
Zegos Surprise (IRE) – Fair fifth at Hamilton on Thursday. Out of the weights in this race and has a 1-22 record.
Strength n Honour – Scored at Catterick on final start last season. Quiet in three runs this term but caught the eye with late headway at Wolverhampton. Interesting on the switch back to turf.
Miss Willows – Well held in all four runs, including handicap debut at Newcastle on AW last month. Needs improvement back on turf.

Summarizing their chances:

South Dakota Sioux (IRE) has shown good form this season but needs to prove himself on slow ground.
Thornaby Pearl is well treated and showed promise on reappearance, with the return to slower ground in his favor.
Glendown (IRE) has recently won a C&D handicap and is open to more progress, making him a respected contender.
Wreck It Ryley (IRE) has a mix record but impressed with a close fifth at Pontefract last time. He could be a big player if he can continue improving on turf.
Zegos Surprise (IRE) is out of the weights and has a 1-22 record, making her less appealing in this race.
Strength n Honour has been quiet this season but showed potential at Wolverhampton, and the switch back to turf might work in his favor.
Miss Willows needs improvement back on turf and hasn’t shown much promise in her recent runs.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Thornaby Pearl has system notes indicating similar conditions to his last win and a good run last time.
Wreck It Ryley (IRE) also has system notes for a good run last time.
South Dakota Sioux (IRE) has positive system notes for being the top prize money winner and having the best jockey strike rate in this race.

Based on the analysis, Glendown (IRE) stands out as the best choice for the Ripon Racecourse Stable Staff Championships. With a recent victory in a C&D handicap and the potential for further progress, Glendown has a strong chance to continue performing well. The horse’s total rating is the highest among the competitors, and there are no significant concerns or unfavourable system notes that would diminish its chances in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
6.15 Doncaster (7 runners)
Childrens Air Ambulance Apprentice Handicap
5f

Let’s rank the runners in the 6.15 Doncaster race by their total ratings:

Beau Roc – 461.1
Burj Malinka (IRE) – 378.5
Stone Of Destiny – 375.4
Speedacus (IRE) – 321.0
Miss Belladonna – 300.1
Blazing Hot – 293.2
Mrs Trump (IRE) – 273.5

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Beau Roc – Consistent and won a 5f handicap at Bath strongly. Unraced on slower than good ground.
Burj Malinka (IRE) – Won twice over 5f on slow ground last season and is back to the last winning mark. Running creditably in defeat this year and should make a bold bid.
Stone Of Destiny – Wasn’t beaten far over the extended 5f at Doncaster last week. Effective on slower than good ground.
Speedacus (IRE) – Showed retained ability with a Chepstow win and effective on slower ground. Ran decently in a Chester Class 3 race.
Miss Belladonna – Three wins on AW but gone close twice on fast turf. Untried on slower than good ground.
Blazing Hot – 6-22 on AW but yet to win in 20 turf attempts. Second at Pontefract last month, but that hasn’t been a springboard to better things.
Mrs Trump (IRE) – 0-9 record but runner-up twice at Beverley. Return to 5f might be in her favor, and she handled heavy ground in the past.

Summarizing their chances:

Beau Roc is consistent and in good form, but the rise in weight and lack of experience on slower than good ground are concerns.
Burj Malinka (IRE) has good form over 5f on slow ground and is back to the last winning mark. Running creditably and should be in contention.
Stone Of Destiny showed promise over the extended 5f at Doncaster and is effective on slower than good ground. A repeat performance should put him in the mix.
Speedacus (IRE) has shown ability with a recent win at Chepstow and should handle the slower ground. The drop in grade is favorable.
Miss Belladonna has potential on fast turf, but her ability on slower than good ground is uncertain.
Blazing Hot’s AW form is better than on turf, and he has yet to show his best on turf.
Mrs Trump (IRE) has been a runner-up twice at Beverley and handles slower ground. The return to 5f could work in her favor.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Beau Roc has favorable system notes for the best jockey strike rate at the track, and Burj Malinka (IRE) has the top going percentage.
Stone Of Destiny has relevant system notes for being a hold-up horse and potentially better suited by this trip.
Miss Belladonna’s dam handled heavy ground, which could be a positive if the conditions worsen.

Based on the analysis, Burj Malinka (IRE) stands out as the best choice for the Childrens Air Ambulance Apprentice Handicap. With good form over 5f on slow ground and running creditably this season, he looks set to make a bold bid at a track and distance that suits him. The horse’s total rating is the second-highest among the competitors, and there are no significant concerns or unfavorable system notes that would diminish its chances in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
6.30 Haydock (9 runners)
Steve Yarborough Memorial Handicap
1m2½f

Let’s rank the runners in the 6.30 Haydock race by their total ratings:

Billy Roberts (IRE) – 404.3
Aldbourne (IRE) – 363.3
Precision Storm – 351.9
Jewel Maker (IRE) – 339.2
Bushfire – 304.0
Dont Look Back – 293.8
Equion – 290.3
Benadalid – 249.9
Loom Large (IRE) – 249.2

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Billy Roberts (IRE) – Veteran who handles good to soft/soft ground but lacks consistency. Has won over C&D in the past but may have something to prove now.
Aldbourne (IRE) – Hammered for two easy wins last autumn but has struggled this season, including a disappointing performance as a favorite behind Don’t Look Back. Needs to bounce back to form.
Precision Storm – Most wins have come on the AW, and he has been kept to good and quicker surfaces. He has never been rated this high on turf and might find it tough to overcome.
Jewel Maker (IRE) – Last year’s C&D win came off a higher mark, but he doesn’t arrive in similar form this time. Can handle any ground, and a sliding mark might help him eventually.
Bushfire – Sole win came on heavy ground, and he showed promise in a recent race not run to suit him on soft ground. One of the likelier contenders.
Dont Look Back – Lacks consistency but has a comfortable win on heavy ground at Doncaster in the spring. Can be expected to perform better at this lower level after a break.
Equion – Surprised with a win on Tapeta last time. Has a mixed history with this longer trip and will need to improve on his previous run on soft ground.
Benadalid – Wins have all come in the summer and went close off tonight’s mark on his comeback in the spring on heavy ground. Has reasons for optimism returning from a break.
Loom Large (IRE) – Ex-Irish gelding who has finished well beaten in two runs for his new yard. Needs to show more, and there’s nothing to suggest he likes slow conditions.

Summarizing their chances:

Billy Roberts (IRE) has the highest rating, but his inconsistency is a concern. He has experience on soft ground, which might work in his favor.
Aldbourne (IRE) has struggled this season, and Precision Storm has mostly performed well on the AW, so they might face challenges on turf.
Jewel Maker (IRE) has the potential to take advantage of a sliding mark but needs to regain form. Bushfire looks like one of the stronger contenders with his promising recent performance.
Dont Look Back has the potential to perform better at this level on heavy ground, and Equion could follow up on his recent Tapeta win but needs to improve on soft ground.
Benadalid has shown potential in the past and could be optimistic coming back from a break, while Loom Large (IRE) needs to show more in his new yard.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Aldbourne (IRE) has favorable system notes for being suited by the going, having the best jockey strike rate at the track, and having a top trainer at this track.
Billy Roberts (IRE) has relevant system notes for being a hold-up horse, and Benadalid has the top prize money winner in this race.

Based on the analysis, Aldbourne (IRE) stands out as the best choice for the Steve Yarborough Memorial Handicap. Despite some struggles this season, the horse’s past performances show promise, especially on heavy ground. With favourable system notes and a rating second only to Billy Roberts (IRE), Aldbourne (IRE) seems like a strong contender to bounce back to winning form in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
7.00 Haydock (11 runners)
Jodie Murphs Hens At The Turf Fillies Handicap
5f

Let’s rank the runners in the 7.00 Haydock race by their total ratings:

Destinys Spirit – 381.5
All In The Hips (IRE) – 380.3
Thunder Star – 360.9
Shesadabber – 345.6
Secret Mistral – 343.0
So Sleepy – 316.8
Family Ties (IRE) – 314.4
Woobay (IRE) – 303.0
Sugar Hill Babe (IRE) – 284.6
Loco Lobo – 269.1
Lolas Moment – 238.1

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Destinys Spirit – Progressed well last year and won over C&D on heavy ground off a higher mark. Had traffic trouble behind All In The Hips last time and should be considered.
All In The Hips (IRE) – Lacks consistency but back on the mark off which she won over 5f on soft ground in the spring. Arrives in good form, making her a contender.
Thunder Star – Debut C&D win came on good to soft, but her family prefers faster going. Bounced back on good to firm recently with a 5lb higher mark to overcome.
Shesadabber – Speedy mare who prefers softer ground. Been in decent form for her new yard this year but all five wins came over undulating courses off lower marks.
Secret Mistral – Showed solid efforts over 6f at Haydock last summer, but tends to hang left. Workable mark based on latest evidence at Windsor.
So Sleepy – Poor performances after winning on Polytrack debut. Underwent wind surgery and wearing a hood for the first time. Plenty to prove on slower ground.
Family Ties (IRE) – Facing an easier race and down 3lb. Has a previous win at the track, but needs improvement from this year’s runs.
Woobay (IRE) – Shaped better on good to soft ground last time but still has something to build on. Preferable over this shorter trip.
Sugar Hill Babe (IRE) – Longstanding maiden with unimpressive runs back from a break.
Loco Lobo – Well beaten on handicap debut. Only holds outside claims.
Lolas Moment – Exposed maiden with little chance.

Summarizing their chances:

Destinys Spirit has shown progress and is a contender based on her C&D win on heavy ground.
All In The Hips (IRE) arrives in good form and has a chance to perform well again on soft ground.
Thunder Star’s recent form on good to firm is promising, but she needs to cope with a higher mark.
Shesadabber prefers softer ground but has been in decent form this year.
Secret Mistral has potential based on her previous efforts over 6f at Haydock.
So Sleepy needs to prove her ability on slower ground after wind surgery.
Family Ties (IRE) has a previous win at the track but needs to improve from this season’s runs.
Woobay (IRE) showed promise on good to soft ground last time and might do better over this shorter trip.
Sugar Hill Babe (IRE) and Loco Lobo are less likely to be competitive.
Lolas Moment is an exposed maiden with little chance.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

So Sleepy has system notes for being the best distance strike rate in this race and having a top trainer at this track.
Thunder Star has system notes for being well bred on her dam’s side and improving since her last run over C&D.
All In The Hips (IRE) has system notes for being a hold-up horse, having a jockey with a .25% strike rate at the track, and being on a winnable mark.

Based on the analysis, Destinys Spirit stands out as the best choice for the Jodie Murphs Hens At The Turf Fillies Handicap. With a high rating and a promising C&D win on heavy ground, she has shown her potential. All In The Hips (IRE) and Thunder Star also have chances, but Destinys Spirit seems like the most likely candidate to perform well in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
7.45 Doncaster (12 runners)
Rewarding Race For Loyal Steeds Handicap
7f

Let’s rank the runners in the 7.45 Doncaster race by their total ratings:

Game Set (IRE) – 508.4
Hickory (IRE) – 471.6
Atrium – 449.1
Brazen Bolt – 431.0
Maywake – 411.9
Chola Empire – 408.7
Sir Thomas Gresham (IRE) – 407.4
Gweedore – 396.3
Danzan (IRE) – 392.2
Woven – 392.1
Mudamer (IRE) – 380.1
Tribal Wisdom (IRE) – 306.2

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Game Set (IRE) – Won a good-ground C&D novice and is considered very promising. Lacks experience but is well treated.
Hickory (IRE) – Won his first three starts and got his career back on track with a good second at Redcar.
Atrium – Ended last year with a soft-ground win. Hasn’t been competitive this year but might stage a revival in calmer waters.
Brazen Bolt – Won twice over 7f last summer and made a good return to turf with a second-place finish over 6f.
Maywake – Placed in competitive handicaps around 7f in all five starts this year. Likely to be in the mix again.
Chola Empire – Effective on both AW and turf, performing creditably in his recent outing.
Sir Thomas Gresham (IRE) – Returned after a long absence and showed ability with second-place finishes at Ascot and Newbury. High on the shortlist.
Gweedore – Bit up and down but produced a creditable third-place finish at York. Comfortable in muddy conditions.
Danzan (IRE) – Bounced back to form with a win at Thirsk but finished seventh at Chester. Yet to win at a mark in the 80s.
Woven – Ended a long losing streak with a win on his course reappearance but failed to build on it in his subsequent outings.
Mudamer (IRE) – Made a solid start with this yard, finishing third and second in his last two starts.
Tribal Wisdom (IRE) – Runner-up three times in novice company but struggled in handicaps lately. Dropping in trip now.

Summarizing their chances:

Game Set (IRE) is very promising and well treated but lacks experience.
Hickory (IRE) has a good chance after getting back on track with a second-place finish.
Atrium might stage a revival if the race is less competitive.
Brazen Bolt made a positive return to turf and might perform well.
Maywake has been consistently placing and should be in contention.
Chola Empire is a consistent performer but needs to raise his game.
Sir Thomas Gresham (IRE) showed ability after a long absence and is high on the shortlist.
Gweedore is a bit inconsistent but has a creditable recent third-place finish.
Danzan (IRE) won recently but faces a tougher challenge from a higher mark.
Woven ended a losing streak but hasn’t built on it in subsequent races.
Mudamer (IRE) has been consistent in recent starts.
Tribal Wisdom (IRE) has struggled in handicaps and is dropping in trip.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Atrium has system notes for being in very good form and having a jockey with a strike rate greater than 25% in the last three days.
Hickory (IRE) has system notes for being unbeaten on this going, clear top on going percentage, acting well on this type of track, and having the best jockey strike rate at the track.
Game Set (IRE) has an extensive list of system notes, including being unbeaten on this surface, in very good form, on a winnable mark, and having the highest distance strike rate in this race.

Based on the analysis, Game Set (IRE) stands out as the best choice for the Rewarding Race For Loyal Steeds Handicap. With a high rating, promising potential, and multiple positive system notes, Game Set (IRE) looks like a strong contender to win this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
8.00 Haydock (6 runners)
Charnock Richard Handicap
7f

Let’s rank the runners in the 8.00 Haydock race by their total ratings:

Elvenia (IRE) – 412.3
Snuggle – 388.3
Lady Mojito (IRE) – 346.6
Royal Dress (IRE) – 342.2
Bossy Parker (IRE) – 324.8
Mr Squires (IRE) – 299.4

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Bossy Parker (IRE) – Showed improvement in nurseries last summer but has struggled recently and may need more help from the handicapper.
Elvenia (IRE) – Missed the second half of 2022 and performed poorly in two starts back. Down 2lb but hard to recommend.
Kentucky Bluegrass – Started the season with a win and improved in the next race under a penalty. Open to further improvement.
Lady Mojito (IRE) – Got upset on comeback but showed promise in a recent fifth-place finish at Haydock.
Mr Squires (IRE) – Won a Tapeta novice last autumn but has struggled in two runs back. His current mark may flatter him.
Royal Dress (IRE) – A soft-ground 6f winner in the spring and came back to that level in her latest run. Half-sister to performers over longer distances.
Snuggle – Consistent performances this year and handled going beyond sprint trips in his last race. The return to softer ground should help.

Summarizing their chances:

Elvenia (IRE) hasn’t shown good form in recent races and may struggle in this contest.
Snuggle has been consistently performing well this year and should be considered a strong contender, especially with the return to softer ground.
Lady Mojito (IRE) showed promise in her last race at Haydock and could be in the mix if she builds on that performance.
Royal Dress (IRE) has shown potential as a soft-ground winner and could handle the longer trip.
Bossy Parker (IRE) has struggled lately and needs to find improvement to be competitive.
Mr Squires (IRE) won a novice race last year but hasn’t shown the same form recently.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Elvenia (IRE) has system notes for the jockey having the best strike rate at the track and the trainer being the top trainer at the track.
Bossy Parker (IRE) has system notes for the trainer’s success in the last 30 days and being a top trainer in the race this month.
Kentucky Bluegrass has system notes for being in very good form, with the trainer having a perfect record for days since last race.
Lady Mojito (IRE) has system notes for the sire being the top sire in the race for this track.
Snuggle has system notes for being in very good form and the trainer having a top strike rate in the race this month.

Picking the best based on analysis:

Considering the analysis, Snuggle stands out as the best choice for the Charnock Richard Handicap. With consistent performances this year, a successful attempt at a longer trip, and the benefit of softer ground, Snuggle is likely to be a strong contender in this race. The relevant system notes further support his chances, making him the preferred pick for this event.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
8.15 Doncaster (13 runners)
Hird Group Handicap (Rnd)
1m

Let’s rank the runners in the 8.15 Doncaster race by their total ratings:

Back From Dubai (IRE) – 428.2
Powerful Response (IRE) – 396.1
Kodebreaker (IRE) – 380.8
Free Step (IRE) – 371.9
Handel (USA) – 362.4
Lockdown Lass – 361.6
Zafaan (IRE) – 350.4
War Defender – 319.1
Maffeo Barberini (IRE) – 307.6
Gypsy Whisper – 300.5
Big Dutchie (IRE) – 261.2
Medina Gold (FR) – 244.0
Mudlahhim (IRE) – 242.0

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Back From Dubai (IRE) – C&D winner who returned to form on soft ground at Beverley. Shortlisted off a 5lb higher mark.
Powerful Response (IRE) – On the upgrade, showing fine form over 1m and soft ground, and has every chance of the hat-trick.
Kodebreaker (IRE) – Consistent at this level and ran well on soft ground in the spring.
Free Step (IRE) – Wins have come on fast surfaces, and pedigree doesn’t suggest soft ground suits. Faces a deeper field.
Handel (USA) – Finally got off the mark and ran well on soft ground in Ireland. Has a chance to repeat the performance.
Lockdown Lass – Won at Chester off 2lb lower but will need to settle better from a wide stall.
Zafaan (IRE) – Previously won over C&D but needs to settle better without the headgear on softer ground.
War Defender – Best effort in a while but has a patchy record on good to soft/soft ground.
Maffeo Barberini (IRE) – Poor efforts this year over further distances, and may prefer Back From Dubai as the stable’s best chance.
Gypsy Whisper – Won this race last year but most of her best form is on good or quicker ground.
Big Dutchie (IRE) – Longstanding maiden with little form on soft ground.
Medina Gold (FR) – Shown little in three runs and needs to improve.
Mudlahhim (IRE) – Wins have come on AW and has been on the downgrade recently.

Summarizing their chances:

Back From Dubai (IRE) is a C&D winner and comes into this race in good form on soft ground. He has a strong chance off a higher mark.
Powerful Response (IRE) is on the upgrade and has shown fine form on soft ground, making him a top contender for the hat-trick.
Kodebreaker (IRE) has been consistent at this level and should handle the soft ground well.
Free Step (IRE) may struggle in this deeper field, especially on the softer ground.
Handel (USA) has a chance to perform well again, given his recent victory and past success on soft ground.
Lockdown Lass has a wide stall to overcome but could still be in the mix if she settles better.
Zafaan (IRE) needs to settle better without headgear on the softer ground.
War Defender’s form suggests he may find it challenging to win on good to soft/soft ground.
Maffeo Barberini (IRE) has shown poor form this year, and Back From Dubai is the yard’s better chance.
Gypsy Whisper won this race last year but has better form on good or quicker ground.
Big Dutchie (IRE) is a longstanding maiden and may struggle in this field.
Medina Gold (FR) has shown little in her previous runs.
Mudlahhim (IRE) has been on the decline and may not be a strong contender in this race.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Handel (USA) has system notes for being in very good form and in mighty form.
Back From Dubai (IRE) has system notes for the best jockey strike rate in the race, the days since last race being perfect for the yard, and being the top prize money winner in this race.
Powerful Response (IRE) has system notes for the yard’s 7-day form being good and being in very good form.
Free Step (IRE) has system notes for being a hold-up horse.
Gypsy Whisper has system notes for the sire performing well with first-time headgear.
Zafaan (IRE) has system notes for being unbeaten on this surface.
Maffeo Barberini (IRE) has system notes for having the best distance strike rate in this race and the last race working out well.

Picking the best based on analysis:

Based on the analysis, Back From Dubai (IRE) seems to be the best choice for the Hird Group Handicap at Doncaster. He is a C&D winner, in good form on soft ground, and benefits from the best jockey strike rate in the race and positive system notes. With the recent form and the support from system notes, Back From Dubai has a strong chance to perform well and could be the one to beat in this contest.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
8.45 Doncaster (10 runners)
Thanks For Supporting Childrens
Air Ambulance Handicap
1m4f

Let’s rank the runners in the 8.45 Doncaster race by their total ratings:

Hedonista (IRE) – 395.7
Latin Verse – 392.9
Graham – 382.3
Moogie – 374.8
Owners Dream – 369.5
Double Oban – 363.5
Baileys Khelstar (FR) – 362.6
Captain Potter – 302.5
Cosmic Soul (IRE) – 299.9
Golden Move – 283.7

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Hedonista (IRE) – Progressive with a recent good third-place finish. Previous form has been franked, making her a contender, and she’s eased 1lb.
Latin Verse – Got off the mark earlier and had a respectable third-place finish in his last outing. Blinkers are left off for this race.
Graham – Has been improving steadily since going handicapping. Scored at Salisbury and came in a clear second at Newbury, with another bold showing expected despite a 2lb rise.
Moogie – Looked promising on debut with a win but disappointed in the last outing. Gets another chance on her handicap debut.
Owners Dream – Consistent performer with a good third-place finish on his handicap debut at Haydock. He has form on soft ground and the longer trip is a plus.
Double Oban – Achieved a breakthrough victory at Leicester and was not discredited in a recent fourth-place finish. Proven on soft ground.
Baileys Khelstar (FR) – Improving Cloth Of Stars gelding with a recent win at Beverley. Up 4lb but still not taken lightly.
Captain Potter – Got back on track with a fourth-place finish at Pontefract in his final run for the previous trainer. Starting out for a new yard off a 3lb lower mark.
Cosmic Soul (IRE) – Son of Sea The Stars with fair form in three outings. Gelded since the last run and enters handicap company for the first time.
Golden Move – Shown promise in his three runs so far and steps into handicaps over a longer distance.

Summarizing their chances:

Hedonista (IRE) comes into the race in good form and her recent third-place finish suggests she can be competitive here. The previous form has been confirmed, and she’s eased 1lb, which makes her a strong contender.
Latin Verse has previous winning form and was not disgraced in the last outing. With blinkers off, he has a chance to make an impact in this race.
Graham has been improving steadily in handicaps and performed well in his recent outings. Despite a 2lb rise, he is expected to put in another bold showing.
Moogie looked promising on debut but disappointed in the last run. This handicap debut is a chance for her to redeem herself.
Owners Dream is a consistent performer and posted his best effort on his handicap debut. He has form on soft ground and should be considered as a strong player with the longer trip in his favor.
Double Oban achieved a breakthrough victory and wasn’t discredited in the last run. Being proven on soft ground, he remains in the picture.
Baileys Khelstar (FR) is improving and recently got off the mark in a Beverley handicap. Despite a 4lb rise, he shouldn’t be taken lightly.
Captain Potter had a decent fourth-place finish in his last run and starting with a new yard on a 3lb lower mark makes him interesting.
Cosmic Soul (IRE) is gelded and enters handicap company for the first time. It remains to be seen how he performs in this field.
Golden Move has shown promise in his runs, and stepping into handicaps over a longer distance could bring out his potential.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Latin Verse has system notes for being the top prize money winner in this race.
Moogie has system notes for being unbeaten over this track direction, having the top trainer at this track percentage, and acting on this type of track.
Cosmic Soul (IRE) has system notes for having the best jockey strike rate at the track.
Double Oban has system notes for having the best distance strike rate in this race and being unbeaten at this distance.
Graham has system notes for being in very good form, in mighty form, and the second-last race working out well.
Owners Dream has system notes for being in very good form.
Baileys Khelstar (FR) has system notes for having the best jockey strike rate in the race.
Captain Potter has system notes for being the first run for a new yard.

Picking the best based on analysis:

Based on the analysis, Hedonista (IRE) stands out as the best choice for the Thanks For Supporting Childrens Air Ambulance Handicap at Doncaster. She is progressive, in good form, and her recent third-place finish has been franked. Being eased 1lb gives her an advantage, making her a strong contender in this race.

Sat 22nd Jul 2023
9.00 Haydock (5 runners)
Killington Lake Handicap
1m

Let’s rank the runners in the 9.00 Haydock race, Killington Lake Handicap, by their total ratings:

Pol Roger (IRE) – 395.3
Pearl Eye – 376.2
Tango Man – 371.3
Reidh (IRE) – 320.3
Timely Escape – 308.5

Assessing the notes and comments for the runners:

Pol Roger (IRE) – Won twice as a 2-year-old, including at Haydock. Bounced back with a creditable fourth-place finish in first-time cheekpieces at Ayr in soft conditions. Still easing in the ratings, which could be advantageous.
Pearl Eye – C&D winner on good to firm ground in May. Performed well in defeats at Pontefract (third) and Newmarket (runner-up) since. Fitted with cheekpieces for the first time and now 6lb above the last winning mark. Prowess in testing conditions is unknown.
Tango Man – Twice placed in novice company with a tongue-tie. Not a match for the progressive Poet Master over 7f at Haydock in the last outing. Steps up in trip for the handicap debut in softer conditions.
Reidh (IRE) – Twice placed but seeking a first win. Reasonably consistent, with some troubled runs. 3lb lower now, but untested on ground softer than good.
Timely Escape – Steadily improving in racing. Recently upped to 1m2f in a Doncaster novice, finishing not too far behind. Drops back to 1m for the handicap debut.

Summarizing their chances:

Pol Roger (IRE) has shown good form in the past, including a win at Haydock. His recent fourth-place finish in cheekpieces suggests he could build on that performance, especially with the easing rating. He’s a strong contender in this race.
Pearl Eye won over C&D in May and has been performing well in defeats. The addition of cheekpieces is a new factor to consider, and the unknown factor is how he will handle softer conditions. Nonetheless, he remains a competitive choice.
Tango Man has been placing in novice company and will make his handicap debut at a longer trip in softer conditions. His pedigree suggests the distance may suit him, making him a likely candidate for consideration.
Reidh (IRE) has been consistent but is still seeking a first win. He has faced some trouble in previous races and is untested on softer ground. While he’s not to be ruled out, he may need a bit more to be competitive here.
Timely Escape has been steadily improving but hasn’t won yet. He has experience at longer distances but drops back to 1m for the handicap debut. His performance with the hood will be interesting to watch.

Mentioning relevant system notes:

Tango Man has system notes for having a jockey with a .25% strike rate at the track, being in progress, acting on this type of track, having the best jockey strike rate at the track, and having a top sire in this race for this track.
Pearl Eye has system notes for having the best distance strike rate in this race, being in very good form, being in mighty form, being with the top trainer at this track percentage, and being beaten favorite in the last run.
Pol Roger (IRE) has system notes for having the best going percentage.
Timely Escape has system notes for having a stable that has been profitable at this track, a perfect number of days since the last race for this yard, and having a good run last time.

Picking the best based on analysis:

Based on the analysis, Pol Roger (IRE) stands out as the best choice for the Killington Lake Handicap at Haydock. He has a strong rating and showed promise with a recent fourth-place finish in first-time cheekpieces. Being eased in the ratings, he looks set for a competitive performance in this race, especially given his past success at Haydock.

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TimeWise Chronicles

Analysis based on the TimeWise Rankings for my pick of the rest of Saturday’s races. (In race-time order)

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Analysis based on the TimeWise Rankings for my pick of the rest of Saturday’s races. (In race-time order)

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