Sun 23rd Jul 2023
2.20 Stratford (10 runners)
Ardencote Spa Mares Handicap Hurdle
2m2½f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Miss Fedora (IRE) – 383.6
2. Never No Trouble – 334.9
3. Maria Magdalena (IRE) – 293.8
4. Prime Time Lady – 284.0
5. Coastal Sun (FR) – 283.2
6. Fabreze (IRE) – 280.9
7. Quiet Thunder (IRE) – 268.5
8. Noonie – 250.8
9. Lady Gwen – 239.1
10. Born To Please – 236.7

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Miss Fedora (IRE): Still a maiden but bumped into an improver at Fontwell, effectively 5lb lower now with a new jockey, should go well.
• Never No Trouble: Running well over hurdles, won a maiden and went close in three handicaps, should be on the scene.
• Maria Magdalena (IRE): Without a win since 2019, very consistent in the past, but has been below par in recent starts, now goes in blinkers.
• Prime Time Lady: Two novice wins in May 2022, unpredictable this year, but a repeat of her second at Warwick brings her into contention.
• Coastal Sun (FR): Won a claiming hurdle previously, respectable fourth over C&D, not overly convincing.
• Fabreze (IRE): Won comfortably at Uttoxeter, struggled over longer distance, now 5lb higher.
• Quiet Thunder (IRE): Sole win came in a non-handicap here last summer, not progressed much since.
• Noonie: Maiden under both codes, has ability but was tailed off in a low-grade Uttoxeter handicap.
• Lady Gwen: 0-8 for the current trainer, frustrated when beaten favorite for a maiden, but has the ability to be competitive off this mark.
• Born To Please: Decent run for third here last week, frustrating without a win since 2020.

Summary of Their Chances:
Miss Fedora (IRE) has been running well and effectively lowered in the weights with a new jockey, making her a strong contender. Never No Trouble has shown good form in hurdles and should be in the mix. Maria Magdalena (IRE) has been inconsistent but dangerous to dismiss. Prime Time Lady is unpredictable but has potential to be competitive. Coastal Sun (FR) and Fabreze (IRE) have won previously but need to prove themselves. Quiet Thunder (IRE) and Noonie are yet to win and face challenges in this race. Lady Gwen has the ability to be competitive on debut for a new trainer. Born To Please has been frustrating and without a win since 2020.

Relevant System Notes:

• Miss Fedora (IRE) qualifies for multiple systems, indicating potential value.

Based on Analysis:
Considering the strong ratings, recent form, and relevant system notes, Miss Fedora (IRE) stands out as the best pick for this mares handicap hurdle. With her consistent performances and effectively lower weight, she has a good chance to perform well and potentially secure a win in this race.

Sun 23rd Jul 2023
2.35 Newton Abbot (7 runners)
Brendon Soper Memorial Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m1f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Max Of Stars (FR) – 477.6
2. Secret Sauce (IRE) – 443.2
3. Hourless – 435.5
4. Sgian Dubh (FR) – 372.3
5. Logistical (IRE) – 280.7
6. Hadley Park – 248.2
7. Kilcummin (IRE) – 212.1

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Hadley Park: Showed ability on the AW but weakened quickly in his hurdle debut, might improve if more relaxed here.
• Hourless: Nothing special on the Flat, but impressive over hurdles, winning readily at Hexham, needs to be taken seriously.
• Kilcummin (IRE): Showed some ability on the Flat but was well behind Max Of Stars on last month’s hurdle debut, wearing a tongue-tie now.
• Logistical (IRE): Moderate results on the Flat, made a low-key hurdle debut, had a subsequent wind operation for potential improvement.
• Max Of Stars (FR): Showed good form, winning by a huge margin over C&D, will be hard to catch if replicates her latest performance.
• Secret Sauce (IRE): Ended Flat career with a win in Ireland, possibilities in hurdles if jumps well for the new stable.
• Sgian Dubh (FR): Achieved good RPRs on the Flat, can be competitive if transferring the form to hurdles.

Summary of Their Chances:
Max Of Stars (FR) has been in excellent form and stands as a strong contender, especially if the going remains good. Secret Sauce (IRE) has potential after a successful Flat career and could be competitive in the hurdle race. Hourless impressed on his hurdle debut and deserves attention. Sgian Dubh (FR) showed good form on the Flat and could be a strong challenger in this race. Hadley Park needs to improve from his previous hurdle debut, while Logistical (IRE) and Kilcummin (IRE) have some ground to make up based on their recent performances.

Relevant System Notes:

• Hourless qualifies for multiple systems, indicating potential value.

Based on Analysis:
Considering the high rating, impressive hurdle debut, and relevant system notes, Hourless appears as the best pick for this juvenile hurdle race. If he replicates his recent performance, he should be a serious contender for the victory. However, keep an eye on Max Of Stars (FR) as she has shown excellent form, and Secret Sauce (IRE) could also be a strong challenger with potential in this hurdle event.

Sun 23rd Jul 2023
2.52 Stratford (13 runners)
Allan Atkinson Memorial Handicap Hurdle
3m2½f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Saxon Queen – 407.5
2. Bright Sunbird (IRE) – 340.8
3. Top Man (IRE) – 300.6
4. Racing Spirit – 279.4
5. Prison Break (IRE) – 253.3
6. Classic Concorde (IRE) – 251.4
7. Testflight – 241.4
8. Ernesto (GER) – 231.3
9. Orchestrated (IRE) – 220.9
10. Daybreak Boy (IRE) – 220.8
11. Corrany (IRE) – 218.6
12. Saved By The River (IRE) – 194.0
13. Dakota Beat (IRE) – 193.0

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Bright Sunbird (IRE): Dual hurdle winner on good ground last summer, has possibilities if bouncing back from a recent disappointing performance.
• Classic Concorde (IRE): Three-time winner in pointing scene, bounced back with a runner-up finish on hurdle return, each-way contender.
• Corrany (IRE): Sole win came over fences, but recent form and pulling up in voided race raise concerns.
• Dakota Beat (IRE): Made a return to form with a sixth-place finish, doubtful if he can build on it over this longer trip.
• Daybreak Boy (IRE): Useful in Ireland, but poor performances since joining the current yard, returning from a long absence.
• Ernesto (GER): Well handicapped, but little sign of improvement since his return from a break.
• Orchestrated (IRE): Known as a chaser, returns to hurdles after a year away, 0-4 in this sphere.
• Prison Break (IRE): Two-time Flat winner, doubtful stayer over this distance after finishing fourth in the same race last time.
• Racing Spirit: Hasn’t won since 2020, ran well in June, but well behind Classic Concorde at Worcester.
• Saved By The River (IRE): Ex-Irish maiden, early days with the new yard, needs to settle well in first-time blinkers for this longer trip.
• Saxon Queen: Lightly raced, went close at Ffos Las, and won at Newton Abbot, may have more to offer.
• Testflight: 0-10, exposed, has run decent races but never been beyond 2m3f.
• Top Man (IRE): Well handicapped based on winning form, but quiet since returning from a long absence.

Summary of Their Chances:
Saxon Queen has shown potential with recent performances and could continue to improve. Bright Sunbird (IRE) and Classic Concorde (IRE) are contenders if they can bounce back from recent disappointments. Top Man (IRE) is well handicapped but needs to find his form after a long absence. Racing Spirit and Prison Break (IRE) are capable of running well, but stamina might be a concern for Prison Break. The remaining runners have either been inconsistent or are returning from breaks, making their chances uncertain.

Relevant System Notes:

• Classic Concorde (IRE) qualifies for multiple systems, indicating potential value.

Based on Analysis:
Considering the high rating and recent form, Saxon Queen stands out as the best pick for this handicap hurdle race. Classic Concorde (IRE) is worth considering for an each-way bet, given his recent runner-up finish and potential value based on system notes. However, Saxon Queen appears to be the most solid choice to potentially secure the victory in this race.

3.05 Newton Abbot (5 runners)
Linda And Martin 35th Wedding Anniversary
Mares Handicap Chase
3m2f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Cresswell Queen – 464.7
2. Honey Im Good (IRE) – 449.0
3. Brianna Rose (IRE) – 407.3
4. Paris Dixie – 355.9
5. Just Hannah (IRE) – 225.4

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Brianna Rose (IRE): Placed on four of her six starts over hurdles last season, won easily on chasing debut at Uttoxeter, unexposed over fences, effective on good to soft ground.
• Cresswell Queen: 2-5 over fences, won over C&D on good ground last month, 3lb rise manageable but may struggle on ground slower than good to soft.
• Honey Im Good (IRE): Won a Chepstow hunter chase and a handicap chase at Newton Abbot, versatile regarding ground, carries a 7lb penalty for recent win.
• Just Hannah (IRE): Failing to justify market support in maiden hurdle, underwhelming stable debut over hurdles, has a point win in her favor, but needs to prove herself over fences.
• Paris Dixie: Mixed record over hurdles, won impressively over 3m2f at Newton Abbot in the autumn, respectable run on return from layoff at Stratford, prospects reliant on adapting well to chasing.

Summary of Their Chances:
Cresswell Queen has shown good form over fences with a recent C&D win, though she might find it challenging on slower ground. Honey Im Good looks strong with recent victories and versatility regarding ground. Brianna Rose is unexposed over fences and performed well in her chasing debut.

Paris Dixie has possibilities if she adapts well to chasing, while Just Hannah needs to show more after a disappointing stable debut over hurdles.

Relevant System Notes:

• Brianna Rose is unexposed over fences, having won her chasing debut, and she qualifies for several positive systems.

Based on Analysis:
Considering her recent form and unexposed status over fences, Brianna Rose stands out as the best pick for this mares’ handicap chase. Honey Im Good is another strong contender with her recent victories and adaptability to ground conditions. Cresswell Queen has a chance if the ground remains good or better, but Brianna Rose’s potential gives her the edge as the top choice for this race.

Su

Sun 23rd Jul 2023
3.22 Stratford (6 runners)
Rosemary Gasson Big Birthday Celebration
Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
2m1f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Sir Tivo (FR) – 575.2
2. Blueberry Wine (IRE) – 457.1
3. Romanor – 447.5
4. Cracking Destiny (IRE) – 436.1
5. Feel The Pinch – 425.8
6. Mercian Prince (IRE) – 406.1

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Sir Tivo (FR): In good form, has a good jockey strike rate, and the trainer has a good strike rate with this type of race.
• Blueberry Wine (IRE): Progressive chaser with a good strike rate, lost little in defeat last time, but getting high in the weights.
• Romanor: Running well, best seen off a strong pace, and the jockey has a high strike rate at the track.
• Cracking Destiny (IRE): Unbeaten at this track, in good form, and has a top trainer at this track.
• Feel The Pinch: Effective in small fields, won over fences before, but finished well held in the last run.
• Mercian Prince (IRE): Dangerous front-runner but recent runs haven’t been his best.

Summary of Their Chances:
Sir Tivo is in excellent form and has a good chance of winning this race. Blueberry Wine and Romanor are also strong contenders with good recent form. Cracking Destiny has the advantage of being unbeaten at the track and is another major player. Feel The Pinch might struggle considering the heavy ground in the recent run, and Mercian Prince needs to bounce back to his best.

Relevant System Notes:

• Sir Tivo has been in good form and is a front runner.
• Romanor has a high success rate with the track-proven jockey and is on a winnable mark.
• Cracking Destiny has a decent strike rate in this NH type, unbeaten at this track, and is in good form.

Based on Analysis:
Considering the recent form, system notes, and potential race dynamics, Sir Tivo seems to be the strongest pick for this handicap chase. Blueberry Wine, Romanor, and Cracking Destiny are all capable of challenging for victory as well. However, Sir Tivo’s excellent form and potential tactical advantage as a front runner make him the top choice for this race.

Sun 23rd Jul 2023
3.35 Newton Abbot (6 runners)
Kathy Furneaux Remembering Deanos
Beeno Handicap Hurdle
3m3f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Sandalwood (FR) – 436.8
2. Jack The Farmer – 306.3
3. Nickelsonthedime (IRE) – 304.4
4. Wearapinkribbon (IRE) – 212.1
5. Itsaboutime (IRE) – 217.5
6. Janeslittlevoice – 130.6

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Sandalwood (FR): Well fancied winner last time, has the best jockey strike rate in the race, and is the furthest traveled for the race.
• Jack The Farmer: Coming off a ready win at Worcester, handles good to soft ground, but may not suit genuine soft ground.
• Nickelsonthedime (IRE): Won a race at Warwick and gave a good account when second over C&D, versatile regarding ground.
• Itsaboutime (IRE): Teenager with two wins in the past, but has been well beaten on recent appearances, and is out of the weights.
• Wearapinkribbon (IRE): Responded well to first-time blinkers, yet to win since 2020, and competes from 5lb out of the weights.
• Janeslittlevoice: Unplaced in all eight hurdling starts, not seen since February 2022, and is 8lb out of the weights.

Summary of Their Chances:
Sandalwood is the highest-rated horse in the race and won comfortably in his recent outing. Jack The Farmer and Nickelsonthedime are also in good form and have the potential to challenge for victory. Wearapinkribbon and Janeslittlevoice face challenges being out of the weights and not in the best recent form, respectively. Itsaboutime might struggle considering recent form and weight conditions.

Relevant System Notes:

• Sandalwood is well fancied, has the best jockey strike rate, and is the furthest traveled for the race.
• Jack The Farmer handles good to soft ground but may not suit genuine soft ground.

Based on Analysis:
Sandalwood stands out as the top pick for this handicap hurdle based on his rating, recent form, and the relevant system notes. Jack The Farmer and Nickelsonthedime are also contenders with good recent performances. However, Sandalwood’s strong recent win and positive system notes make him the best choice for this race.

Sun 23rd Jul 2023
3.52 Stratford (5 runners)
Ladies Day Winners Novices Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m½f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Carrigeen Kampala (IRE) – 550.1
2. Titanium Moon – 531.2
3. Prelinsia (IRE) – 209.1
4. The Tiger Tank (IRE) – 207.3
5. The Punt – 148.1

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Carrigeen Kampala (IRE): Much improved since returning from a break, won three minor hurdles on the bounce, and beat male opposition under a double penalty over C&D a month ago.
• Titanium Moon: Fair flat-racer, progressing nicely over hurdles, and made light work of the opposition when doubly penalized at Cartmel.
• Prelinsia (IRE): Three defeats in bumpers, questionable what she achieved when third of six in the latest.
• The Tiger Tank (IRE): No more than minor promise in four Irish bumpers, little known about performance in hurdles.
• The Punt: Runner-up in a bumper at Newton Abbot, inferior form so far over hurdles.

Summary of Their Chances:
Carrigeen Kampala and Titanium Moon stand out as the top contenders in this race. Carrigeen Kampala has shown significant improvement, winning three minor hurdles in a row and beating male opposition under a penalty. Titanium Moon is a fair flat-racer and progressing well over hurdles, with an impressive performance at Cartmel. Prelinsia and The Tiger Tank have less promising form and are likely to struggle. The Punt’s form has been decent in bumpers but has not translated well to hurdles.

Relevant System Notes:

• Carrigeen Kampala has a high level of performance, unbeaten over C&D, has the best distance strike rate, and is the top prize money winner in this race.
• Titanium Moon has a decent strike rate in this NH type, goes well on this shape course and going, and has a high jockey strike rate in the race.

Based on Analysis:
Carrigeen Kampala looks to be the best pick for this race, considering the impressive recent performances, unbeaten record over C&D, and positive system notes. Titanium Moon is also a strong contender with good form and system notes. However, Carrigeen Kampala’s recent performances make him the top choice for this race.

Sun 23rd Jul 2023
4.05 Newton Abbot (4 runners)
Racing Partnership Novices Limited
Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
3m2f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Farouk De Cheneau (FR) – 560.4
2. Landen Calling (IRE) – 405.6
3. Yes No Maybe So (IRE) – 317.5
4. Master Sam Bellamy – 177.9

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Farouk De Cheneau (FR): 2-2 for the new stable this season, including a win at Newton Abbot over 2m5f on good ground. Obvious claims, but confidence may be dented if the ground softens.
• Landen Calling (IRE): Dual hurdle winner, easy success in first chase at Bangor (3m, good), and ran well to finish second at Aintree (3m1f, good) behind a good horse. Should cope well if conditions deteriorate.
• Master Sam Bellamy: Failed to complete his last three points and was pulled up on rules return in May. 25lb out of the weights here, set for another struggle.
• Yes No Maybe So (IRE): Useful hurdler in the past, won four times in 2020. Recent efforts in hurdling have been underwhelming. Reverts to chasing on a tempting mark, but previous run over fences did not go well. Quite versatile regarding ground, but risky.

Summary of Their Chances:
Farouk De Cheneau and Landen Calling appear to be the main contenders in this race. Farouk De Cheneau has been in good form, winning 2 out of 2 for the new stable and has obvious claims. Landen Calling has shown promise in both hurdles and chases, with a recent easy success at Bangor and a good run at Aintree. Master Sam Bellamy is significantly out of the weights and seems set for a struggle. Yes No Maybe So has a tempting mark for chasing but carries some risk due to recent underwhelming hurdling performances.

Relevant System Notes:

• Farouk De Cheneau has a high strike rate in this NH type and is the most recent winner in the race.
• Landen Calling has a high jockey strike rate in the race and is unbeaten over the fence type.
• Yes No Maybe So has the best distance strike rate in this race and is the top prize money winner in this race.

Based on Analysis:
Farouk De Cheneau seems to be the best pick for this race. He has been in excellent form, winning both starts for the new stable and has a high strike rate in this NH type. Landen Calling is also a strong contender with a good run in his first chase and unbeaten over the fence type. However, Farouk De Cheneau’s recent performances and system notes make him the top choice for this race.

Sun 23rd Jul 2023
4.22 Stratford (7 runners)
Marion Wright Memorial Novices Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
2m3½f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Opening Bid – 516.7
2. Norley (IRE) – 491.0
3. Sophosc (IRE) – 399.2
4. Gold Link (FR) – 336.5
5. Go Fox – 314.7
6. Magistrato (FR) – 228.5
7. Tremwedge – 167.5

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Opening Bid: Resurgent 8-year-old with three consecutive wins in good-ground chases, including a 12-length victory at this course and distance. Handles good to soft ground but unproven on soft.
• Norley (IRE): Won over hurdles and fences in April and was a close second in a Bangor chase last month. Genuine soft ground could be a concern, but goes well for jockey Beau Morgan.
• Sophosc (IRE): Flat and dual hurdle winner, but out of form on the Flat and not bred for chasing. Performs best on good or faster ground.
• Gold Link (FR): Returned from a long absence with encouraging hurdle run, followed by a respectable fourth on chasing debut. Had a disappointing run after a wind operation at Worcester but remains of interest.
• Go Fox: Won two good-ground races in June but fell in a recent C&D event won by Opening Bid. Needs dry conditions to perform well.
• Magistrato (FR): Won a Warwick chase and had respectable runs for a new stable. Some quirks, but persuasive, especially on good ground.
• Tremwedge: Useful hurdler but has been disappointing over fences since joining the current yard.

Summary of Their Chances:
Opening Bid and Norley appear to be the top contenders in this race. Opening Bid is in resurgent form, winning three consecutive chases, while Norley has shown promise in recent races. Sophosc’s form on the Flat has been unconvincing, and Gold Link had a mixed performance after returning from a long absence. Go Fox needs dry conditions to shine, and Magistrato may have some quirks but performs well on good ground. Tremwedge has been disappointing over fences.

Relevant System Notes:

• Opening Bid is the most recent winner in the race and has a high strike rate in this NH type.
• Norley has the best jockey strike rate in the race and is unbeaten over hurdles and fences.

Based on Analysis:
Opening Bid stands out as the best pick for this race. He is in great form, winning three consecutive chases, and has a high strike rate in this NH type. Norley is also a strong contender with good performances in recent races and unbeaten over hurdles and fences. Considering their ratings and system notes, Opening Bid seems to have the edge in this race.

Sun 23rd Jul 2023
4.35 Newton Abbot (8 runners)
Happy 70th Birthday Steve Robinson
Novices Handicap Hurdle
2m1f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Getaway Tom (IRE) – 331.8
2. Sassified (IRE) – 328.4
3. Bala Brook – 287.0
4. Tallys Son – 268.2
5. Marley Head (IRE) – 247.6
6. Cumhacht (IRE) – 225.3
7. Ollys Folly – 206.2
8. Allez Allez Dancer – 171.3

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Allez Allez Dancer: Has been a well-beaten outsider in all three hurdling starts. Making handicap debut with a recent wind op, but significant improvement is needed.
• Bala Brook: Out of a sister to Cue Card. Runner-up in both hurdling starts at this course. Drops in trip for the handicap debut, and open to further improvement.
• Cumhacht (IRE): Placed three consecutive times in the spring, with one close second in a handicap. Recent form has been a bit off, but the current mark might be workable. Handles good to soft ground.
• Getaway Tom (IRE): Suited by the drop back to 2m, winning at Uttoxeter. Possible further progress despite a weight hike. Handled soft ground in one of his bumpers.
• Marley Head (IRE): Unplaced in all five hurdling starts but made good headway in the straight at Worcester before weakening. Drop back in trip might suit.
• Ollys Folly: 0-15 over hurdles and 0-61 overall. Well handicapped but not showing much recently. Once placed on soft ground on the Flat.
• Sassified (IRE): Fair flat-racer with good to heavy ground form. Travelled strongly and won at this course last month. A manageable 6lb rise in the weights.
• Tallys Son: 0-10 over hurdles and 1-52 overall. Showed promise when second over C&D but was below that form at Southwell. The forecast rain may not be in his favor.
• Vision Of Hope: 2-5 since switching to handicap hurdles. Recorded another PB when second at Worcester. Likely to give another good account, but unproven on ground slower than good.

Summary of Their Chances:
Getaway Tom and Sassified are the top contenders based on ratings. Getaway Tom showed promise with a recent win at Uttoxeter and handles soft ground. Sassified is a fair flat-racer with form on varying ground and comes into this race after a convincing win at this course.

Relevant System Notes:

• Getaway Tom is rated highly for maintaining a high level of performance and has the best jockey strike rate in the race.
• Bala Brook has shown good form at this course and goes well on this going.
• Vision Of Hope has a good strike rate in handicap hurdles and performed well at Worcester recently.

Based on Analysis:
Considering the ratings and system notes, Getaway Tom seems to have the best chances in this race. He has shown promise with recent performances, handles soft ground, and has a top jockey on board. Sassified is also a strong contender with good flat form and a recent win at this course, but Getaway Tom’s performance and ratings give him the edge.

Sun 23rd Jul 2023
4.52 Stratford (9 runners)
Grace & Dotty Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)
2m½f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Jeudidee (FR) – 437.5
2. Minella Rescue (IRE) – 361.5
3. Tineggiori (FR) – 360.0
4. Thirtyfour Thirty – 328.2
5. Footloose Man – 239.0
6. Gregorian Diamond (IRE) – 231.8
7. Generous Valentine – 165.2
8. Spirittappergoode – 96.3
9. Moon Royale (IRE) – 70.2

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Footloose Man: Not far away in two good-ground bumpers. May have improvement if the pace is stronger.
• Generous Valentine: Was beaten at Worcester on good ground and hasn’t achieved much so far.
• Gregorian Diamond: Finished runner-up at Newton Abbot, and the winner of that race has won again. New trainer uses a tongue-tie.
• Jeudidee (FR): Won at Warwick comfortably. This race looks stronger, but likely to be a contender.
• Minella Rescue (IRE): Completed for the first time in a point bumper and finished third at Tipperary. Bought for a significant sum and could be competitive.
• Moon Royale (IRE): Debutant with limited information, likely best to watch.
• Phantom Gold: Bought after winning a point bumper on fast ground. The form doesn’t look strong, but potential for improvement.
• Spirittappergoode: Showed little in previous bumpers and returning from a long absence.
• Thirtyfour Thirty: Won at Worcester and has since changed trainers. Shows ability.
• Tineggiori (FR): Overcame trouble in running at Hexham and has potential.

Summary of Their Chances:
Jeudidee is the top-rated horse and comes into this race with a recent win at Warwick, which should make him a strong contender. Minella Rescue also shows promise with a previous third-place finish in a point bumper, and the new purchase may perform well here. Tineggiori is another contender, with the potential to improve based on the upgraded performance at Hexham.

Relevant System Notes:

• Jeudidee is considered to be on a winnable mark with a decent strike rate in this NH type.
• Thirtyfour Thirty is noted to be in good form, having recently won and being the most recent winner in the race.

Based on Analysis:
Considering the ratings and system notes, Jeudidee appears to be the best pick for this race. With a strong rating and a recent win, he is likely to be a leading contender. Minella Rescue also shows promise and should be considered as a competitive option. Tineggiori, with the potential to improve, could be another horse to watch out for in this race.

Sun 23rd Jul 2023
5.10 Newton Abbot (9 runners)
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Chase
2m5f

1st Rank by Rating:

1. Miladygrace – 359.0
2. Abaya Du Mathan (FR) – 342.6
3. Finalshot – 329.6
4. Scrumpy Boy – 269.7
5. Seymour Promise (IRE) – 233.4
6. Forget You Not (FR) – 217.5
7. Justshortofabubble – 207.7
8. Master Mead – 189.0
9. Cheers Delboy (IRE) – 147.3

Assessment of Notes & Comments for the Runners:

• Abaya Du Mathan (FR): Eight chase wins, but needs to bounce back from a lesser effort in his last race. Could cope better on softer ground.
• Cheers Delboy (IRE): Ran well in defeat at Warwick and handles good to soft, but remains unconvincing overall.
• Finalshot: Returned from a break with two good efforts and versatile ground-wise.
• Forget You Not (FR): Back in good form with a third-place finish at Newton Abbot, but the longer trip and forecast rain are concerns.
• Justshortofabubble: Still a maiden after 20 races, not competitive in his last three chases, and competes from out of the weights.
• Master Mead: Promising chase/handicap debut before unseating the rider. Unexposed and effectively 2lb lower here.
• Miladygrace: Dual chase winner and finished clear second off today’s mark at Taunton. May have more to offer.
• Scrumpy Boy: Scored over C&D last year and looked back in good form with a second-place finish at Stratford. May not favor the forecast rain.
• Seymour Promise (IRE): Maiden after 14 runs but showed promise with second-place finishes in his last three hurdles races and a good account in a small-field chase at Newton Abbot.

Summary of Their Chances:
Miladygrace holds the top spot with her good performances and previous wins. Abaya Du Mathan has a chance if he bounces back to form, especially if the ground softens. Finalshot is a contender based on recent performances, and Scrumpy Boy should be considered if the rain doesn’t affect his chances. Seymour Promise also shows potential with promising recent performances.

Relevant System Notes:

• Abaya Du Mathan is noted to have the same race conditions as his last winning run.
• Finalshot is considered to be in good form with two good efforts since his return from a break.
• Miladygrace is clear top on today’s going.

Based on Analysis:
Considering the ratings and system notes, Miladygrace appears to be the best pick for this race. With her previous wins and good performances, she is likely to be a strong contender. Abaya Du Mathan and Finalshot are also competitive options, especially if they perform at their best. Scrumpy Boy is another horse to watch out for if the rain doesn’t affect his chances.