Mon 24th Jul 2023
4.15 Ayr (14 runners)
Join Racing TV Now Handicap
6f
System Notes:
- Horse 1, One More Dream, is a prominent runner according to the system.
- Horse 2, Gentle Ellen (IRE), has the best jockey strike rate in the race and also has the best distance strike rate in this particular race.
- Horse 3, Chookie Dunedin, is the top prize money winner in this race and has a jockey with a strike rate of over 25% in the last 14 days.
- Horse 4, The Caltonian, is maintaining a high level of performance according to the system.
- Horse 8, Muddy Lynn, is in mighty form and has a top trainer at this track percentage.
- Horse 9, Huraiz (IRE), is a hold-up horse according to the system.
- Horse 10, See My Baby Jive, is carrying a penalty and is well-bred on the dam’s side. Additionally, the horse is clear top on today’s going.
- Horse 11, Earn Your Stripes, is in very good form and has a good run last time according to the system.
- Horse 13, Genevieve, could be better suited by this trip according to the system.
Timewise Ratings:
- Kraken Power (IRE) has the highest total points in the Timewise ratings, followed closely by One More Dream and Chookie Dunedin.
Jockey Focus Ratings:
- Chookie Dunedin has the highest total points in the Jockey Focus ratings.
Runner Comments:
- Chookie Dunedin: The horse has been consistent this year, and with the possibility of going back up in trip, he has potential for the new yard.
- Earn Your Stripes: Although her last win was a year ago, she has run well in her last two starts over C&D and should give it another good shot.
- Genevieve: This six-race maiden had a good effort as a close sixth in her last C&D run, but her performance at Catterick last time was labored.
- Gentle Ellen (IRE): The horse has a patchy record but won a C&D maiden last August and returned to the scoresheet with a strong-finishing win at Carlisle last month.
- Huraiz (IRE): This smart performer has dropped in weights but struggled last season and was reported to have bled from the nose in his last run at Hamilton.
- Kraken Power (IRE): Although his sole turf win was a few years ago, he has been performing well on both AW and turf tracks and shouldn’t be far away.
- Muddy Lynn: She recently scored her first win and will be looking to continue her good work back on turf.
- One More Dream: The five-time AW winner has yet to prove himself on turf, and his recent finishes on turf have not been promising.
- See My Baby Jive: A resurgent 7-year-old, she won her last two starts with blinkers added and should make another bold bid despite carrying a penalty.
- The Caltonian: He improved significantly in his last run and has the potential for further improvement.
Summary:
The race appears competitive with several horses showing potential. Chookie Dunedin, Kraken Power, Muddy Lynn, See My Baby Jive, and Gentle Ellen (IRE) stand out based on various factors such as form, ratings, and system notes.
Best Pick:
Given the form and various system notes, I would consider Chookie Dunedin as the strongest pick for this race. He has been consistent this year, has a strong jockey on board, and could benefit from going back up in trip. Kraken Power and Muddy Lynn are also strong contenders and shouldn’t be overlooked.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
5.25 Ayr (9 runners)
Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap
1m
Based on the provided information, let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating:
- Star Shield – Total Rating: 455.3
- Archduke Ferdinand (IRE) – Total Rating: 379.0
- Irish Flame – Total Rating: 387.2
- Judgment Call – Total Rating: 382.4
- Ayr Poet – Total Rating: 358.4
- Showmedemoney (IRE) – Total Rating: 357.5
- Wadacre Grace – Total Rating: 351.1
- Gainsbourg – Total Rating: 322.9
- Zumaaty (IRE) – Total Rating: 319.4
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Archduke Ferdinand – Slow to get going in Britain this year but got back in the groove with a narrow win at Musselburgh three weeks ago. With another new yard now but only 1lb higher than last time and has claims if he can repeat that form.
- Ayr Poet – Six-time winner, including two at this track. Wasn’t beaten far in the first two runs this season before a near miss under William Pyle here last Monday. Should be fine back in trip and a major player again off the same mark as last time.
- Gainsbourg – Well treated on his best form last season but out of sorts for the new yard this year and was labored at Carlisle last time. Blinkers now tried and needs to turn things around.
- Irish Flame – Made it second-time lucky with an emphatic win in a Newcastle novice in December. Held in both subsequent runs but may have been stretched over 1m2f on his handicap debut last month and could resume his progress back at this trip.
- Judgment Call – All three wins have been at 7f on good/good to firm. Last success was an all-the-way win at this track in May but not hit the same level since and was a long way below form on soft ground here last time. Now goes back up in trip and looks opposable.
- Showmedemoney – Triple winner, including a game front-running success at Ripon in May. Not easy to predict and has failed to beat a rival in his last two starts. Comes with risks attached and needs to get back near best.
- Star Shield – Won this race last year and also been successful in two of his last four starts. Only 2lb higher than for his Wetherby win last month and was a close fifth behind Archduke Ferdinand at Musselburgh last time. Handles most ground and should be in the mix again.
- Wadacre Grace – Two 1m AW wins in the spring but not gone well back on turf in her last four runs. Still lightly raced in this sphere but was beaten 13l at Hamilton last time, and there are reservations.
- Zumaaty – Has a patchy record and was tailed off at Carlisle on his recent return. Defied this mark at Wolverhampton in February and was successful in the mud over C&D last autumn. Hard to know what to expect, but not ruled out back at this track.
Summary of their chances:
- Star Shield is the highest-rated runner and the defending champion in this race. He has been consistent and handles most ground conditions, making him a strong contender.
- Archduke Ferdinand showed promise with a narrow win last time and is only 1lb higher in the weights. He has claims if he can repeat that form.
- Irish Flame is a progressive type who has the potential to improve and may be dangerous back at this trip.
- Ayr Poet has been in good form recently and is a major player, especially with a good run under William Pyle at the same track last week.
- Judgment Call needs to find his earlier form and may be opposable based on recent performances.
- The remaining runners, including Showmedemoney, Wadacre Grace, Gainsbourg, and Zumaaty, have shown inconsistencies or need to improve significantly to be strong contenders.
Based on the analysis, Star Shield appears to be the best pick for this race, given his high rating, past success in this race, and consistent form.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
5.55 Beverley (12 runners)
Racing TV EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
5f
Let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating based on the provided information:
- Tan Rapido – Total Rating: 370.7
- Meccas Duchess (IRE) – Total Rating: 336.1
- Hint Of The Jungle (IRE) – Total Rating: 330.3
- Barnaby (IRE) – Total Rating: 301.0
- Very Blue Moon (IRE) – Total Rating: 290.0
- Rock Lodge – Total Rating: 289.2
- Half Moon Rising (IRE) – Total Rating: 271.4
- Ishe Worth Agamble – Total Rating: 269.0
- Im Spartacus (IRE) – Total Rating: 259.8
- Haumea (IRE) – Total Rating: 148.9
- Airman (IRE) – Total Rating: 140.8
- Sweet Soul Music (IRE) – Total Rating: 133.6
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Tan Rapido – Shaped nicely in a second-place finish at Newcastle (5f AW) despite the form taking some knocks. The race is not stronger, and this horse has the benefit of experience.
- Meccas Duchess (IRE) – Improved on her debut form to finish a front-running fourth at this track. Her form is competitive and respectable.
- Hint Of The Jungle (IRE) – Showed promise on debut at Windsor (5f, good to firm) despite having the widest draw. The yard’s 2yos usually come on for a run, making this an encouraging start.
- Barnaby (IRE) – Made debut at York’s Dante meeting (5f, good) but finished last and was weak in the betting.
- Very Blue Moon (IRE) – Finished 20 lengths behind at Pontefract (6f, good to firm) and needs to improve significantly.
- Rock Lodge – Finished fourth of five on debut and beaten 13 lengths at Redcar (5f, good to firm). Gelded since and faces different conditions, but best watched for now.
- Half Moon Rising (IRE) – Did well to finish under 4 lengths away at Doncaster (6f, good) despite pulling hard. Won’t mind dropping back to 5f.
- Ishe Worth Agamble – Finished closer at Thirsk (6f, good to firm) but the drop back in trip isn’t an obvious move. Likely to be more competitive when sent handicapping.
- Im Spartacus (IRE) – Hinted at ability by finishing sixth at Hamilton but appeared to find 5f too sharp.
- Haumea (IRE) – First foal with a closely related pedigree. Stable has a 19% strike-rate with 2yos at this venue. Best watched with a watch on the market.
- Airman (IRE) – First foal with an unknown pedigree. Best watched.
- Sweet Soul Music (IRE) – First foal with a decent pedigree, but already gelded and best watched.
Summary of their chances:
- Tan Rapido is the highest-rated runner and has shaped nicely in previous starts. The race is not stronger, and this horse has the benefit of experience, making him a strong contender.
- Meccas Duchess showed improvement in her last run and has a competitive form. She could be a serious challenger.
- Hint Of The Jungle impressed on debut despite the wide draw, and the yard’s 2yos usually improve with a run. He is worth considering as a contender.
- The remaining runners have either shown limited form, need to improve significantly, or have unknown pedigrees. They may have a chance to surprise, but based on the provided information, they are not among the strongest contenders.
Based on the analysis, Tan Rapido appears to be the best pick for this race, given his high rating, positive form, and previous experience.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
6.10 Ballinrobe (8 runners)
Tote.ie Never Beaten By SP Handicap
1m1½f
Let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating based on the provided information:
- Booyea (IRE) – Total Rating: 441.1
- Alazne (IRE) – Total Rating: 416.7
- Susie Wosie (IRE) – Total Rating: 376.5
- Status Green (IRE) – Total Rating: 329.8
- Portreath (IRE) – Total Rating: 327.3
- Malacanne (IRE) – Total Rating: 315.3
- La Tulipe Noire (IRE) – Total Rating: 282.4
- Shamastar (IRE) – Total Rating: 218.3
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Booyea (IRE) – Won with plenty to spare on his handicap debut at Gowran and finished an excellent second in a premier handicap at the Curragh on his latest run. Seems to be in good form and on a fair mark.
- Alazne (IRE) – Showed promise in AW maidens and translated that to turf when third of 12 in a Gowran maiden. Improved further from her handicap debut at Leopardstown when winning at Limerick over a longer trip. Seems versatile and on a fair mark.
- Susie Wosie (IRE) – Won a 1m2f Fairyhouse claimer for Noel Meade and marked a big improvement from her first start. Now makes her stable and handicap debut with a good apprentice aboard. The win was a good sign of potential.
- Status Green (IRE) – Best of three maiden runs came at Limerick over 1m on yielding-to-soft ground. Finished well when fourth of nine at Killarney last week, and the extra distance in this race should suit him.
- Portreath (IRE) – Third in a seven-runner 7f contest at Listowel in her first handicap, and was always prominent when runner-up over C&D four weeks ago. A 4lb rise might be a challenge, but she has shown promise.
- Malacanne (IRE) – Two wins and a second from five starts at Dundalk, but her turf form is less convincing, with only one place from seven runs. Might not be as strong on the turf compared to the all-weather.
- La Tulipe Noire (IRE) – A Dundalk winner over 1m but has been absent since finishing last of eight behind Malacanne at that venue in January. Ran well in testing conditions last season, but her recent form is not as strong.
- Shamastar (IRE) – Down the field at Leopardstown and Listowel in his first two handicaps and hasn’t shown strong form recently.
Summary of their chances:
- Booyea (IRE) and Alazne (IRE) are the top-rated runners and have shown good form in their recent races. Both seem to be in good shape and have a chance of performing well again.
- Susie Wosie (IRE) showed significant improvement in her last run and makes her stable/handicap debut with a good apprentice aboard. This gives her a good chance of being competitive.
- Status Green (IRE) has been showing promise and might benefit from the extra distance in this race. He could be a contender.
- Portreath (IRE) and Malacanne (IRE) have shown some promise but might face challenges in this competitive race.
- La Tulipe Noire (IRE) and Shamastar (IRE) have not been in strong form recently and might face an uphill battle.
Based on the analysis, Booyea (IRE) seems to be the best pick for this race. He is the highest-rated runner, has shown excellent recent form, and seems to be on a fair mark.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
6.20 Windsor (6 runners)
Play With The Finest Bookmaker, Fitzdares Nursery
6f
Let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating based on the provided information:
- Je Ne Sais Quoi (IRE) – Total Rating: 452.2
- Matters Most – Total Rating: 440.6
- Politico (IRE) – Total Rating: 437.1
- Notta Nother – Total Rating: 409.4
- Flag Of St George (IRE) – Total Rating: 345.3
- Mullins Beach (IRE) – Total Rating: 264.6
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Je Ne Sais Quoi (IRE) – Won a Thirsk maiden last month and ran well in defeat on a recent nursery debut at Haydock. Has to take a 3lb rise on the chin, but likely to cope well if the ground ends up slower than good. A likely contender.
- Matters Most – Clearcut winner of a Salisbury novice in May and was safely held in a Listed race later that month. Back in calmer waters for this nursery debut and should be suited by the step up in trip.
- Politico (IRE) – Created a good impression when winning a Chester maiden but finished about 4lb behind Je Ne Sais Quoi when fifth on a recent nursery debut at Haydock. Has some work to do to reverse those placings.
- Notta Nother – Delivered on earlier promise when winning a Goodwood maiden last month. However, was well-held eighth when upped to 6f for a recent nursery debut at Haydock. Needs to improve.
- Flag Of St George (IRE) – Struggled in last month’s Coventry at Royal Ascot but has claims here based on a clearcut success in a Newmarket novice two starts ago. The form of that race has been well advertised by the second.
- Mullins Beach (IRE) – Placed in consecutive 5f maidens in May but reportedly unsuited by good to firm ground when struggling on a recent nursery debut at Haydock. May be favored by the forecast rain, but still has something to prove.
Summary of their chances:
- Je Ne Sais Quoi (IRE) and Matters Most are the top-rated runners and have shown good form recently. Je Ne Sais Quoi’s recent nursery debut was impressive, and Matters Most has the potential to handle the step up in trip. Both are likely contenders.
- Politico (IRE) showed promise with a maiden win but finished behind Je Ne Sais Quoi on a recent nursery debut. Needs to improve to challenge the top two.
- Notta Nother delivered on earlier promise but was well-held in a recent nursery debut. Needs to step up in this competitive field.
- Flag Of St George (IRE) struggled in his last outing but has previous form that gives him claims here. Could be a contender if he can replicate his Newmarket novice win.
- Mullins Beach (IRE) has been placing in maidens but struggled on a recent nursery debut. May have a chance if the ground conditions suit.
Based on the analysis, Je Ne Sais Quoi (IRE) seems to be the best pick for this race. She is the highest-rated runner, has shown good form in recent races, and is likely to cope well with slower ground.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
6.30 Beverley (11 runners)
Jaimie Kerr Memorial Handicap
5f
Let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating based on the provided information:
- Impressor (IRE) – Total Rating: 360.5
- Spanish Angel (IRE) – Total Rating: 357.9
- Rodborough – Total Rating: 329.9
- Sherdil (IRE) – Total Rating: 318.6
- Golden Prosperity (IRE) – Total Rating: 317.1
- John Kirkup – Total Rating: 301.0
- High Opinion – Total Rating: 296.3
- Ernest Rutherford – Total Rating: 294.7
- Yazaman (IRE) – Total Rating: 283.8
- Mumcat – Total Rating: 268.2
- Breath Catcher – Total Rating: 259.0
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Impressor (IRE) – Won three out of four races on soft ground and comes into this race after a clear-cut win at Hamilton. A 7lb rise in the weights poses a question, but his ability to handle soft ground gives him an advantage.
- Spanish Angel (IRE) – Won straightforwardly on Wolverhampton’s AW two weeks ago. Returns to turf with a 7lb lower mark, and has handled soft ground in the past. Competitive at this grade.
- Rodborough – Showed promise on her handicap debut at Beverley, finishing fifth of 12 on good to soft ground. Hollie Doyle taking over is a positive. Should be considered for a chance to improve.
- Sherdil (IRE) – Scored back-to-back C&D wins last summer on good and quicker ground. Form this season has been lackluster, making him a less reliable choice.
- Golden Prosperity (IRE) – Broke his maiden in a 5f classified race at Musselburgh. In form, but has something to prove on soft ground.
- John Kirkup – Multiple winner who has been close to victory recently. Performed well on good to soft ground. A contender if conditions are favorable.
- High Opinion – Seems to perform well on slow ground and ran solidly on good to soft at Catterick last week. Has a good chance on soft ground.
- Ernest Rutherford – Won in Ireland as a 2-year-old and showed some promise at Nottingham. Has been mostly disappointing since, and the addition of cheekpieces indicates a need for improvement.
- Yazaman (IRE) – Showed potential as a 2-year-old but hasn’t won since debut. Competes off a career-low mark, but hasn’t performed well in recent starts.
- Mumcat – Mostly campaigned on the AW and has struggled on her only previous start on soft ground. Not the most appealing choice.
- Breath Catcher – Ten-race maiden who hasn’t shown progress this season. Soft ground may not be ideal for him.
Summary of their chances:
- Impressor (IRE) and Spanish Angel (IRE) are the top-rated runners with the ability to handle soft ground. Impressor’s recent win at Hamilton and Spanish Angel’s success on Wolverhampton’s AW make them competitive choices.
- Rodborough showed promise on her handicap debut at Beverley and has Hollie Doyle aboard, which adds to her chances.
- High Opinion has performed well on slow ground and should be considered a strong contender.
- Ernest Rutherford and Yazaman (IRE) have shown potential in the past but haven’t been consistent recently.
Based on the analysis, Impressor (IRE) seems to be the best pick for this race. His ability to handle soft ground and recent clear-cut win at Hamilton give him an advantage.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
6.40 Ballinrobe (10 runners)
Tote Download The App Handicap
1m1½f
Let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating based on the provided information:
- Qasbaz (IRE) – Total Rating: 431.0
- Persian Queen (IRE) – Total Rating: 371.4
- Yokkell (IRE) – Total Rating: 352.0
- Theophilos (IRE) – Total Rating: 341.3
- Celebrating Ethel (IRE) – Total Rating: 291.3
- Cursory Exam – Total Rating: 274.0
- New Hill (IRE) – Total Rating: 273.8
- Only For Me (IRE) – Total Rating: 271.1
- Comfort Line (IRE) – Total Rating: 241.9
- Vormir (IRE) – Total Rating: 185.1
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Qasbaz (IRE) – Easy winner at Navan and now 9lb higher in the weights. His previous British rating suggests he could still be competitive.
- Persian Queen (IRE) – Won twice on testing ground over 1m this season but may find the ratings too high now.
- Yokkell (IRE) – Won at Tipperary last August and had consistent runs in her last five outings. Finished sixth at the Curragh last time. Overall form makes her appealing.
- Theophilos (IRE) – Won at Tipperary in April but has been a beaten favorite on three other starts. May have found the longer trip at Leopardstown last time challenging.
- Celebrating Ethel (IRE) – Achieved handicap mark in three runs over further distance. Opening mark may be high for this race.
- Cursory Exam – Best form shown at Dundalk (3-18, placed five times). Hard to be confident based on turf form.
- New Hill (IRE) – Won two 7f turf handicaps last year but has been off the mark since then. First-time cheekpieces might need to improve his performance.
- Only For Me (IRE) – Still a maiden after 11 starts but has shown potential at times. Worth considering based on recent close performance at Fairyhouse.
- Comfort Line (IRE) – Three wins for the former trainer, but not in the top six in five outings this season. Reduced mark should help.
- Vormir (IRE) – Almost three years since his last win. Out of the handicap by 7lb.
Summary of their chances:
- Qasbaz (IRE) is the top-rated runner and comes off an easy win at Navan. Despite the 9lb higher weight, his previous British rating suggests he could still be competitive.
- Persian Queen (IRE) won twice on testing ground this season but faces higher ratings now.
- Yokkell (IRE) has been consistent in her recent runs and may be appealing based on her overall form.
- Theophilos (IRE) has shown a mixed record this season, with a win at Tipperary but being a beaten favorite on other occasions.
- Celebrating Ethel (IRE) achieved his handicap mark over a further distance and may find this opening mark too high.
- Cursory Exam’s best form has been on the AW at Dundalk, making it hard to be confident about his turf form.
- New Hill (IRE) won two 7f turf handicaps last year but hasn’t won since. The first-time cheekpieces might need to improve his performance.
- Only For Me (IRE) is still a maiden after 11 starts but has shown potential and worth considering based on recent performances.
- Comfort Line (IRE) has three wins from his former trainer, but recent form hasn’t been impressive. The reduced mark might help.
- Vormir (IRE) has been out of form and is out of the handicap by 7lb.
Based on the analysis, Qasbaz (IRE) seems to be the best pick for this race. His recent win and previous strong British rating make him a competitive choice.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
6.50 Windsor (13 runners)
Giles Irwin Celebration EBF Fillies
Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
6f
Let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating based on the provided information:
- Beveragino (IRE) – Total Rating: 432.2
- Magic Light (IRE) – Total Rating: 370.5
- Xaarine (FR) – Total Rating: 316.2
- Heritage House (IRE) – Total Rating: 300.6
- My Margie (IRE) – Total Rating: 292.1
- Cypriot Diaspora – Total Rating: 276.6
- Indication Dream – Total Rating: 228.3
- Top Up – Total Rating: 221.3
- Proficient – Total Rating: 211.1
- Onthemoneyhoney (IRE) – Total Rating: 165.6
- Falling For You (IRE) – Total Rating: 140.3
- Gone Like The Wind (IRE) – Total Rating: 117.5
- Ritzy – Total Rating: 56.8
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Beveragino (IRE) – Late foal, but has shown fair form with placings at Beverley and Haydock. Step down to 6f might be a question, but remains a major player on form and has room for improvement.
- Magic Light (IRE) – Unseated rider on debut but showed ability at Newbury, finishing second. A tenacious effort makes her a strong contender.
- Xaarine (FR) – Beaten 2l in novice events at Lingfield and Newbury. Showed plenty of speed but lost out in the final 1f. Capable of better with experience.
- Heritage House (IRE) – Finished fourth of eight in a novice at Yarmouth but well related and expected to do better.
- My Margie (IRE) – Well beaten at Goodwood but made good late headway at Kempton. Needs further improvement to be competitive.
- Cypriot Diaspora – Ran green and finished fifth of seven at Salisbury. Needs more experience and may be one for the future.
- Indication Dream – Second favorite at Newbury but ran green, hung badly, and finished tailed off. Needs to show improvement.
- Top Up – Finished fifth at Epsom but looked green. Expected to improve, but form was modest.
- Proficient – Finished sixth of eight at Newbury. Has a useful pedigree, but others have shown more potential.
- Onthemoneyhoney (IRE) – Late foal and from a yard strong on 2yos. Needs a closer look.
- Falling For You (IRE) – Shows potential with a good pedigree, but others have already shown significant ability.
- Gone Like The Wind (IRE) – Half-sister to winners but best watched on debut.
- Ritzy – Half-sister to a winner but perhaps one for another day.
Summary of their chances:
- Beveragino (IRE) has shown fair form and remains a major player. The step down to 6f might be a question, but she has room for improvement.
- Magic Light (IRE) showed a tenacious effort and is a strong contender based on her second-place finish at C&D.
- Xaarine (FR) has shown speed and potential and can improve with more experience.
- Heritage House (IRE) is well related and expected to do better.
- My Margie (IRE) needs further improvement to be competitive.
- Cypriot Diaspora ran green and might be one for the future.
- Indication Dream needs to show improvement after a disappointing run.
- Top Up is expected to improve but showed modest form.
- Proficient has a useful pedigree but needs to show more potential.
- Onthemoneyhoney (IRE) is from a strong 2yo yard and requires closer consideration.
- Falling For You (IRE) shows potential but faces strong competition.
- Gone Like The Wind (IRE) is best watched on debut.
- Ritzy may be one for another time.
Based on the analysis, Beveragino (IRE) seems to be the best pick for this race. She has shown fair form and remains a major player. Her potential for improvement makes her a strong contender.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
7.10 Ballinrobe (6 runners)
Play The Tote Exacta On Every Race Handicap
1m4½f
Let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating based on the provided information:
- Vischio (IRE) – Total Rating: 411.5
- Hell Bent (IRE) – Total Rating: 376.1
- Mr Rango (IRE) – Total Rating: 317.6
- Kojin (IRE) – Total Rating: 308.8
- Last Ammo (IRE) – Total Rating: 299.0
- Rain (GER) – Total Rating: 201.4
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Vischio (IRE) – Placed over hurdles and won a Flat race at Tramore with a front-running effort. Up 5lb but expected to be thereabouts.
- Hell Bent (IRE) – Has been inconsistent but this trip is closer to his optimum. Most recent win was over 1m4f at Cork. Best on good ground.
- Mr Rango (IRE) – Won 1m2f handicaps on easy ground. Encouraging return at Leopardstown but didn’t appear to stay 1m6f on latest run.
- Kojin (IRE) – Showed progress in his first four races last year with wins in a maiden and a handicap. Struggled on seasonal debut.
- Last Ammo (IRE) – Won on the All-Weather and ran well when third in a 1m3f Roscommon handicap. Inconclusive run in a 1m6f conditions event at Fairyhouse.
- Rain (GER) – Won a 1m6f race on very soft ground in the past. In rear in both Irish starts and finished last in the race won by Vischio at Tramore.
Summary of their chances:
- Vischio (IRE) has shown good form, especially in the last race where he won with a front-running effort. The 5lb penalty may not hinder his chances.
- Hell Bent (IRE) has had inconsistent form but the 1m4f distance might suit him better. His best performances have come on good ground.
- Mr Rango (IRE) has won 1m2f handicaps but struggled to stay 1m6f in the latest race. His chances may depend on how well he copes with the trip.
- Kojin (IRE) showed promise last season but hasn’t sustained that form in recent races. He needs to bounce back to be competitive.
- Last Ammo (IRE) has a mix of form and ran well on the All-Weather and in a 1m3f handicap. His last run was inconclusive, making him a bit unpredictable.
- Rain (GER) won on soft ground in the past but hasn’t performed well in Irish races so far. Needs a significant improvement to be in contention.
Based on the analysis, Vischio (IRE) seems to be the best pick for this race. He has shown good recent form and won convincingly with a front-running effort. The 5lb penalty may not be enough to hinder his chances, and he is expected to be a strong contender.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
7.20 Windsor (15 runners)
Follow Fitzdares On Instagram &
Twitter Now Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
1m2f
Let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating based on the provided information:
- Paternoster Square (FR) – Total Rating: 408.1
- Albany – Total Rating: 349.5
- Mythical Guest (IRE) – Total Rating: 340.5
- Anna Aurelia – Total Rating: 305.5
- Sailing On – Total Rating: 262.8
- Lock The Vault (FR) – Total Rating: 258.1
- Guard – Total Rating: 238.5
- Star Turn – Total Rating: 235.8
- Alpha Female – Total Rating: 228.7
- Anticipating – Total Rating: 219.2
- Mistress Light – Total Rating: 198.9
- Dunes King – Total Rating: 186.1
- Time Patrol – Total Rating: 157.7
- Cracking Filly – Total Rating: 147.3
- Sir Patchy – Total Rating: 120.2
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Paternoster Square (FR) – Well beaten on debut but much better in the three starts since, including two runner-up finishes. Shaped like trying the 1m2f distance.
- Albany – Showed ability in two runs on Kempton AW, with significant improvement in the latest race where she finished third over 1m3f. A strong contender if she transfers that form to turf.
- Mythical Guest (IRE) – Third of 13 in a 1m2f Newmarket maiden on the second start. Possibly a non-stayer in the last race over 11.4f at Yarmouth. Return to 1m2f could suit him.
- Anna Aurelia – Showed promise on debut, finishing third of eight over C&D (good), but disappointed in the next race on the same course.
- Sailing On – Pulled up at Newbury due to an irregular heartbeat, but showed some ability in a Newbury novice over 1m2f. Needs improvement to be competitive.
- Lock The Vault (FR) – Green and faded out in a C&D novice (good). Needs to show improvement.
- Guard – Half-brother to winners, including a 2yo/2m1f hurdle winner. From a top yard and worth a market check.
- Star Turn – Performed poorly in the last two races at Doncaster and Kempton.
- Alpha Female – Showed modest form in two runs on Kempton AW over 1m3f and 1m4f. One for handicaps after this race.
- Anticipating – Showed low-level form at Goodwood (1m, heavy) and Wolverhampton (9.4f, AW).
- Mistress Light – Half-sister to several winners, from a powerful yard. One to note.
- Dunes King – Second foal with an interesting pedigree. Needs a market check on debut.
- Time Patrol – Remote last in a race at Kempton (6f, AW) in June 2022. Gelded since and needs significant improvement.
- Cracking Filly – Upset in the stalls and faded into last of six in a maiden at Newbury (7f, soft) three months ago.
- Sir Patchy – On debut, probably up against it.
Summary of their chances:
- Paternoster Square (FR) has shown good form in the last three starts, and the step up to 1m2f could suit him well. Among the top contenders.
- Albany has been improving and showed promise with a close third over 1m3f at Kempton. If that form translates to turf, she could be a strong competitor.
- Mythical Guest (IRE) has been consistent and is among the top three on form. Returning to 1m2f might be beneficial.
- Anna Aurelia showed potential on debut, but her last run was disappointing. Needs to bounce back.
- Sailing On had an irregular heartbeat before, but his latest run showed some improvement. More progress is needed.
- Lock The Vault (FR) was green and faded last time. Needs to show improvement.
- Guard has an interesting pedigree and is worth considering.
Based on the analysis, Paternoster Square (FR) seems to be the best pick for this race. He has shown good form and shaped like trying the 1m2f distance. Albany and Mythical Guest (IRE) are also strong contenders with good potential based on their recent performances.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
7.40 Ballinrobe (14 runners)
Tote Guarantee On All Irish & UK
Races Apprentice Handicap (47-65)
1m4½f
Let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating based on the provided information:
- Summer Fly (FR) – Total Rating: 309.6
- While Youre Up (IRE) – Total Rating: 308.8
- No Hassle (IRE) – Total Rating: 306.5
- Bardo Contiguo (IRE) – Total Rating: 257.9
- Viceregent – Total Rating: 238.4
- Lissadell (IRE) – Total Rating: 237.8
- Dubai Clover (IRE) – Total Rating: 229.2
- Riyami (IRE) – Total Rating: 227.8
- Stepdance (IRE) – Total Rating: 223.4
- Clever Currency (IRE) – Total Rating: 218.8
- White Strand (IRE) – Total Rating: 208.5
- Crystal Pool (IRE) – Total Rating: 203.5
- Beer With The Boys – Total Rating: 203.5
- Bayou Belle (IRE) – Total Rating: 202.6
- Zahina (IRE) – Total Rating: 198.7
- You Make Me Smile (IRE) – Total Rating: 169.0
- Sea The Dawn (IRE) – Total Rating: 128.2
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Summer Fly (FR) – Cracking stable debut with a second-place finish at this track. Form is rock-solid, and she seems to handle soft ground. Experienced rider on board.
- While Youre Up (IRE) – Seemed to do better for 1m4f and had a good second-place finish at Tramore. Tough draw and a competitive race.
- No Hassle (IRE) – Consistent mare rewarded for her consistency with a win at Tipperary. May not want an ease in the ground, but currently in good form.
- Bardo Contiguo (IRE) – Fourth at Tramore in a new trip. His chances could be compromised by the gate and the tough competition.
- Viceregent – Fared well hurdling this year but still a maiden on the flat. Yet to try the flat for this shrewd yard. Not ruled out, and ground conditions are fine.
- Lissadell (IRE) – The stable is in good form, but hard to make a case for her at this early stage.
- Dubai Clover (IRE) – Showed promise with a third-place finish at Bellewstown. Yard going well, and the rider is in fine form.
- Riyami (IRE) – Tough draw on the inner loop. The Limerick run was encouraging, but not so much at Bellewstown.
- Stepdance (IRE) – Worked up in the gates at Tipperary. Poor handicap form, and new trip in a tough race.
- Clever Currency (IRE) – Unable to exploit a nice chase mark due to mistakes. Yard had a fine year, but needs improvement.
- White Strand (IRE) – Not easy to make a case for this one, well-held on seasonal return.
- Crystal Pool (IRE) – Seemingly modest and regressive. Third reserve.
- Beer With The Boys – First reserve, won here just over a year ago but poorly performing this year.
- Bayou Belle (IRE) – Held at Limerick behind Riyami. May not see out the distance.
- Zahina (IRE) – Seemingly modest with no show in recent hurdling runs.
- You Make Me Smile (IRE) – Not shamed at Bellewstown behind better horses. Likely to win off this mark in the future.
- Sea The Dawn (IRE) – Off for a long time before a respectable yard debut. Drawn unfavorably.
Summary of their chances:
- Summer Fly (FR) has a cracking stable debut and rock-solid form. She seems well suited to soft ground and is a strong contender.
- While Youre Up (IRE) did well over 1m4f and has a chance, but the tough draw and competitive field make it difficult.
- No Hassle (IRE) is consistent and rewarded for her form with a recent win. May not prefer an ease in the ground, but still a good chance.
- Bardo Contiguo (IRE) seems to like the new trip but the gate and competition might hinder his chances.
Based on the analysis, Summer Fly (FR) stands out as the best pick for this race. She has a solid rating, a strong stable debut, and has shown the ability to handle soft ground. While Youre Up (IRE) and No Hassle (IRE) are also contenders, Summer Fly (FR) appears to be the most promising horse in this field.
7.50 Windsor (9 runners)
Fitzdares Sprint Series Handicap
6f
Form Analysis:
- Lady Dreamer (IRE): Has been consistent in recent races, with good speed figures and a reasonable jockey score. Won a C&D novice race and now making her handicap debut, which could be a positive sign.
- Count Otto (IRE): Showed some improvement in his last race, but his form has been a bit erratic. Has a decent jockey and trainer score.
- Shes Centimental (USA): Has won on the all-weather but struggled in her only turf start. Her recent form is not impressive, and she wears a hood for this race.
- The Cruising Lord: Had a long break before the current season and has been placing in recent races. Has a competitive speed figure and a good jockey score.
- Heroism (IRE): Unraced on softer than good ground. Showed promise in his debut and has been gradually improving in handicaps.
- Sassy Belle (IRE): Won with blinkers on in the past and did well with blinkers again recently. Her form has been fair, and she might prefer the 6f distance.
- Amazonian Dream (IRE): Blinkers are removed after an unimpressive performance in the last race. Form has been inconsistent.
- Alcazan: Has won on good to soft ground and usually performs well after breaks. A relatively unknown horse in this company.
Class and Ratings:
- Lady Dreamer (IRE) has the highest total rating among the runners, indicating she has performed well in previous races.
- Count Otto (IRE) and Shes Centimental (USA) have competitive ratings and could be contenders.
- The Cruising Lord and Heroism (IRE) have decent ratings but might need to step up to win.
Jockey (Jck) and Trainer (Trn) Scores:
- Lady Dreamer (IRE) has a good jockey score, which can be advantageous.
- Count Otto (IRE) has a reasonably high jockey score as well, indicating a competent jockey.
- The Cruising Lord has a solid jockey score too, suggesting a capable jockey is on board.
- Heroism (IRE) has shown potential and has a trainer with a decent score.
Summary:
Based on the form, ratings, and jockey scores, Lady Dreamer (IRE) seems to be the strongest contender in this race. She has been consistent, has a good jockey on board, and her recent C&D win indicates she might be suited to the conditions.
Pick:
Lady Dreamer (IRE) appears to be the best choice based on the analysis provided.
Mon 24th Jul 2023
8.30 Beverley (7 runners)
Churchill Tyres Handicap
1m2f
Let’s rank the runners from highest to lowest rating based on the updated information:
- Wheres Jeff – Total Rating: 435.8
- Arkenstaar – Total Rating: 402.5
- Kingsley Pride – Total Rating: 358.0
- Solar Joe – Total Rating: 330.2
- Very Excellent (IRE) – Total Rating: 207.5
Assessing the notes & comments for the runners:
- Wheres Jeff – Won in first-time cheekpieces at Hamilton (1m3f, good to soft) in May. Not disgraced in subsequent runs. Took a wide early route which backfired in the last race at Pontefract. Could bounce back and has good jockey and trainer statistics.
- Arkenstaar – Won twice at Hamilton in May over 1m on good and good to firm ground. Couldn’t catch a front-running winner at Haydock (1m2f, good) but remains in good form. Fine on soft ground.
- Kingsley Pride – Runner-up three times at two, including on heavy ground. Gelding operation and cheekpieces/blinkers haven’t fully addressed his tendency to hang under pressure. Comes with risks now visored.
- Solar Joe – Well handicapped on his 1m-1m2f form last summer on good and quicker ground, but hasn’t performed well this season. Cheekpieces did not improve his recent form.
- Very Excellent (IRE) – Had a good 150-1 third at Wetherby (1m2f) on return to the Flat. Two lesser efforts followed. Has form on deep ground, but others seem more appealing.
Summary of their chances:
- Wheres Jeff has shown promise with a win in cheekpieces and has the potential to bounce back from a recent setback. The jockey and trainer statistics further support his chances.
- Arkenstaar has performed well with wins at Hamilton and is consistent on soft ground.
- Kingsley Pride comes with risks due to his tendency to hang under pressure, despite showing potential in the past.
- Solar Joe hasn’t been in good form this season, making him less appealing as a strong contender.
- Very Excellent (IRE) had one good result on his return to the Flat, but his recent performances have been less impressive.
Based on the analysis, Wheres Jeff seems to be the best pick for this race. He has shown good form with a recent win in cheekpieces, and his jockey and trainer statistics add to his chances of performing well. However, in horse racing, outcomes can be unpredictable, and other factors like track conditions, pace of the race, and racing luck can play a significant role. Always consider the risks involved in betting on horse races and make informed decisions.
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