Analysis of my pick of today’s meetings using the TimeWise rankings and system notes. (In race-time order)

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Tue 25th Jul 2023
2.30 Musselburgh (11 runners)
Support Musselburgh Athletic FC Classified Stakes
1m4½f

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and professional comments:

Race Summary:
This is the Support Musselburgh Athletic FC Classified Stakes at Musselburgh, a 1 mile 4½ furlongs (2744 yards + 5 yards rails adjustment) race featuring 11 runners. The race is for horses aged 4 and above, and it is a Class 6 contest with a win prize of £3,664. The track is right-handed, and the stall positioning is inside.

Professional Comments:

  • Buford is 1-25, but he has shown positive signs in three of his last five runs, including a close defeat on the all-weather. He is shortlisted as a contender.
  • Cabinet Maker was a triple 1-mile AW winner in the past but hasn’t been as effective on turf. He may not be as competitive in this race.
  • Carnival Times has struggled in her maiden races and enters a classified race with much to prove.
  • Cheese And Wine is yet to make the frame in 18 runs and needs to improve significantly to be competitive.
  • Gerrots is a 17-race maiden and has finished out of contention in all five runs for the new yard this year.
  • Iolani is known for hurdles but occasionally performs well on the Flat. He has less to prove than some others in the field.
  • My Macho Man hasn’t won since his 3-year-old debut and has shown regression recently in both codes.
  • Odd Venture is on a losing streak and has a poor win record (1-35). However, he ran well over this trip in a Beverley handicap recently and could be in the mix.
  • Samurai Sneddz won over 1 mile 1 furlong last season but hasn’t been in form this campaign, including a classified assignment.
  • Spirit Of Ash showed promise with a hood on, but she missed the break and was a beaten favourite at Ayr. She has a major chance if she starts well this time.
  • Star Of Markinch has not performed well in recent races and finished tailed off on a handicap debut.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and professional comments, my best pick for this race would be horse number 11, Spirit Of Ash (IRE). Despite missing the break and being a beaten favourite at Ayr, she has shown promise when wearing a hood. If she starts well this time, she has a major chance to perform well in this race. Her recent form and potential for improvement make her a leading contender.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
3.05 Musselburgh (5 runners)
British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted
Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

7f 

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and professional comments:

Race Summary:
This is the British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) at Musselburgh, a 7-furlong race featuring 5 runners. The race is for 3-5-year-olds and is a Class 4 contest with a win prize of £4,320. The track is right-handed, and the stall positioning is inside.

Professional Comments:

  • Capital Guarantee (IRE) has shown promise at Dundalk over 6-7 furlongs on the all-weather but ended his time in Ireland with a heavy defeat in a Cork maiden. He has been gelded ahead of his stable debut, and this race appears to be a weaker one.
  • Chico Dulce showed good speed and promise on his debut, finishing fifth at Newcastle over 7 furlongs on the all-weather. The strength of that form is uncertain, but it was a fairly promising start for him.
  • Elusive Empire (FR) was well beaten over longer distances but showed improved form when dropped back to 7 furlongs on soft ground at Salisbury. He finished behind a horse that performed well in France on the previous outing and appears to be the most likely contender in this race.
  • Initio is a fifth foal and half-brother to a 5-furlong winner. His dam was a 6-furlong all-weather 2-year-old winner. He is an unknown quantity but could make an impact without needing to be of high quality.
  • Sprezzatura is an exposed maiden and hasn’t shown improvement. He could be vulnerable at the weights in this race.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and professional comments, my best pick for this race would be horse number 2, Elusive Empire (FR). He showed improved form when dropped back to 7 furlongs on soft ground at Salisbury and was beaten by a horse that performed well in France on the previous outing. The drop in class and his previous promising performance make him the most likely answer to this race.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
3.55 Southwell (8 runners)
signsolutions.org Mares Novices Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m5½f

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and professional comments:

Race Summary:
This is the signsolutions.org Mares Novices Hurdle (GBB Race) at Southwell, a 2-mile 5½-furlong race featuring 8 runners. The race is for 4-year-olds and older mares and is a Class 4 contest with a win prize of £4,357. The track is left-handed, and there are 11 hurdles to be jumped.

Professional Comments:

  • River Of Joy is a bumper winner and improved from her underwhelming hurdle debut when winning at Ffos Las over 2 miles on good ground last month. She has the potential to improve further over today’s longer trip and commands respect.
  • Manimole is a consistent mare who won a novice hurdle at Worcester over 2 miles on good ground by 9 lengths. She was not discredited when finishing second as the odds-on favorite at Uttoxeter over 2 miles on good to soft ground. She will be fine over today’s trip and is likely to be a contender.
  • Ma Belle Noire was placed in four consecutive handicaps before winning a maiden at Market Rasen over 2 miles 4 furlongs on good ground in first-time blinkers. She carries a penalty but won’t mind if the ground softens and is expected to be in the mix.
  • Sunday Soldier was placed in two bumpers for Fergal O’Brien on good to soft/good ground. While her form isn’t extraordinary, she should play a significant role if she jumps adequately on today’s stable/hurdle debut.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and professional comments, my best pick for this race would be horse number 3, River Of Joy. She showed improvement from her underwhelming hurdle debut and won a race at Ffos Las. With the potential to improve further over today’s longer trip, she is expected to be a strong contender.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
4.38 Ballinrobe (15 runners)
Breaffy House Resort Maiden Hurdle
2m1f

Based on the provided data and analysis, here is a summary of the race and my best pick:

Race Summary:
This is a Maiden Hurdle race at Ballinrobe with 15 runners over a distance of 2 miles and 1 furlong. The ground is yielding, and the race is for 4-5-year-olds. The total win prize is £5,575. The track is right-handed, and there are 8 hurdles to be jumped.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and analysis, my best pick for this race would be horse number 3, Wordsworth (IRE). Wordsworth is a 106-rated Flat performer, formerly trained by Aidan O’Brien. He has shown good form, finishing 2nd in Group 1 Grand Prix de Paris and 3rd in the Curragh Cup. In his stable debut, he finished a close 4th in a Listed race at Down Royal. He seems to be adapting well to hurdles, and if he can produce an adequate round of jumping, he could be a strong contender in this race. Furthermore, he has several positive qualifiers from the system notes, indicating a good run last time, being the top prize money winner in the race, and having a high-percentage trainer distance success rate, among others.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
5.08 Ballinrobe (15 runners)
Harrington Concrete & Quarries Maiden Hurdle
2m1f

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and professional comments:

Race Summary:
This is the Harrington Concrete & Quarries Maiden Hurdle at Ballinrobe, a 2-mile 1-furlong race featuring 15 runners. The race is for 6-year-olds and older, and it is a Class 4 contest with a win prize of £5,575. The track is right-handed, and there are 8 hurdles to be jumped. The ground is soft.

Professional Comments:

  • Stormy Jenn has shown progress under both codes over the summer, including a third-place finish in a Roscommon maiden hurdle two weeks ago. The addition of a hood could further improve her performance, and she has a chance to be in the placings.
  • Gino Drummer Boy has been consistent in maiden hurdles without winning, most recently finishing second at Downpatrick. If he can handle the soft ground, he is likely to be competitive.
  • Blackcastle Storm is a fair flat handicapper who won on the all-weather and at Down Royal last year. His comeback run last month should have him fit for this hurdling debut, and he could be a contender.
  • Extrapolation is a bumper winner and was the runner-up on his hurdles debut at Punchestown. Though not at the same level in a recent Roscommon race, his Punchestown performance makes him a respected competitor.
  • Casey West was a runner-up in a Punchestown maiden hurdle and a Tipperary bumper in 2021 but has been off for over two years. It might be best to observe his debut for Philip Rothwell.
  • Clifftop, a three-time flat winner, has gained hurdling experience but would not want much more rain. His previous mark off 106 suggests he has potential if he takes to the hurdles.
  • Simpletwistoffaith had a good effort on his stable debut, finishing second in a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle. If he reproduces that performance, he has a big chance in this race.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and professional comments, my best pick for this race would be horse number 6, Stormy Jenn (IRE). She has shown progress and was a third-place finisher in a Roscommon maiden hurdle recently. With the hood tried here, she has a chance to be competitive and could be a strong contender for a place in the race.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
5.25 Wolverhampton (13 runners)
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Amateur Jockeys Handicap
1m1½f

Based on the provided data and analysis, here is a summary of the race and my best pick:

Race Summary:
This is an Amateur Jockeys Handicap race at Wolverhampton with 13 runners over a distance of 1 mile and 1½ furlongs. The ground is Standard, and the race is for 4-year-olds and above. The total win prize is £3,080. The track is left-handed, and the stall positioning is in the center.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and analysis, my best pick for this race would be horse number 4, Lethal Touch. Lethal Touch has shown solid form, with good C&D form figures of 21. She returned from a break and finished a creditable third at Newmarket in a Class 5 race over 1 mile and 2 furlongs on good ground. She is just 1lb above her last winning mark and appears to be well-suited to the track. With her recent form and favorable conditions, she could be a strong contender in this race.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
6.08 Ballinrobe (8 runners)
RBC Brewin Dolphin Rated Novice Hurdle
2m1f

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and professional comments:

Race Summary:
This is the RBC Brewin Dolphin Rated Novice Hurdle at Ballinrobe, a 2-mile 1-furlong race featuring 8 runners. The race is for 4-year-olds and older, and it is a Class 4 contest with a win prize of £6,106. The track is right-handed, and there are 8 hurdles to be jumped. The ground is soft.

Professional Comments:

  • Killeemore Lad (IRE) has won a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle and a Hexham novice on his last two starts. He stays a bit further and has the potential to improve further, making him a strong contender.
  • Calico (FR) has been consistent and won a Tramore maiden hurdle and a Perth handicap hurdle. Though a weak finisher, she may have enough to win again given the guaranteed good gallop in the race.
  • Katou (IRE) convincingly beat a subsequent winner in a Tramore maiden hurdle last month and should be forgiven for a tame effort in a novice hurdle at Roscommon. He is expected to do much better here.
  • Katherine (IRE) was second to Lady Of The Vale in a Tipperary maiden hurdle and got off the mark in a 2-mile handicap at the same venue. She doesn’t mind ease in the ground and could perform well.
  • Thunder (IRE) dominated from the front in a Tramore maiden hurdle and could improve further, but he might find it challenging to dominate in better company over the shorter trip.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and professional comments, my best pick for this race would be horse number 1, Killeemore Lad (IRE). He has shown good form by winning a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle and a Hexham novice on his last two starts. With the potential to stay a bit further and likely to improve, he has a strong chance of performing well in this race.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
6.30 Wolverhampton (10 runners)
Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap (Div 1)
7f 

Based on the provided data and analysis, here is a summary of the race and my best pick:

Race Summary:
This is a Handicap race at Wolverhampton over a distance of 7 furlongs, and it features 10 runners. The track is left-handed, and the stall positioning is on the outside. The race is for 3-year-olds and above, and the total win prize is £3,245. The ground is rated as Standard.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and analysis, my best pick for this race would be horse number 6, Magic Gem. Magic Gem has shown excellent form over 7 furlongs in his last three starts, winning at both Southwell and Wolverhampton for the new yard after a period of absence. The horse has been up just 2lb for those victories and has a lowly mark to exploit. Considering Magic Gem’s recent good form and suitability to the distance, he is expected to perform well in this race.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
6.38 Ballinrobe (9 runners)
BoyleSports Handicap Hurdle
2m1f

Based on the provided data and analysis, here is a summary of the race and my best pick:

Race Summary:
This is a Handicap Hurdle race at Ballinrobe over a distance of 2 miles and 1 furlong, and it features 9 runners. The ground is yielding, and the race is for 4-year-olds and above. The total win prize is £7,965, and the average Official Rating (OR) is 114, with a median OR of 119. The track is right-handed, and there are 8 hurdles to be jumped.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and analysis, my best pick for this race would be horse number 1, As Tears Go By. As Tears Go By has been in excellent form, winning his last two races, including a rated hurdle at Wexford on good ground. He has shown the ability to maintain a high level of performance and is clear top on today’s going. Additionally, the horse has the best jockey strike rate in the race and has a clear top-class going trip percentage. With his recent form and suitability to the conditions, As Tears Go By looks well-favoured in this race.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
6.50 Chelmsford City (13 runners)
IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish
Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and professional comments:

Race Summary:
This is the IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes at Chelmsford City, a 6-furlong race featuring 13 runners. The race is for 2-year-olds and is a Class 5 contest with a win prize of £3,725. The track is left-handed, and the stall positioning is in the center.

Professional Comments:

  • Macanudo (IRE) performed well on his debut over 7 furlongs and showed improvement when dropping to 5 furlongs last time, winning from the front. He holds obvious claims in this race, especially under jockey William Buick.
  • Commander Of Life (IRE) left an ordinary debut behind and was a promising second to an odds-on favorite last time on the Polytrack. His dam won over 7 furlongs as a 2-year-old, suggesting that he may ultimately be suited to longer distances.
  • Ihopeyoulike has been well held in two previous runs at big prices and may not be helped by the drop back from 7 furlongs to 6 furlongs, especially from a wide stall.
  • Parker’s Piece improved on his turf debut when upped to this trip at Kempton last time, making most of it. However, he is drawn wider this time, and his yard’s form with 2-year-olds has been quiet this season.
  • Zipster is an interesting newcomer, well-related as a half-brother to a Tapeta winner, and has a notable jockey booking with James Doyle.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and professional comments, my best pick for this race would be horse number 6, Macanudo (IRE). He has shown improvement with each run and looked comfortable when dropping to 5 furlongs last time. With William Buick on board and his front-running style, he holds obvious claims and seems well-suited to the conditions of this race.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
7.00 Wolverhampton (9 runners)
Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap (Div 2)
7f

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and analysis:

Race Summary:
This is a Handicap race at Wolverhampton over a distance of 7 furlongs, and it features 9 runners. The race is for 3-year-olds and above and is a Class 6 contest with a win prize of £3,245. The average Official Rating (OR) is 55, with a median OR of 57. The track is left-handed, and the stall positioning is on the outside.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and analysis, my best pick for this race would be horse number 1, Red Alert. Red Alert has shown good form this season with dual wins over 6 furlongs on turf. He also has experience over 7 furlongs, where he achieved a close fourth over the same course and distance. With his versatility and still being on a workable mark, Red Alert appears to be a strong contender in this race.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
7.08 Ballinrobe (16 runners)
Sweeney Oil Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1)
2m5½f

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and analysis:

Race Summary:
This is a Handicap Hurdle race at Ballinrobe over a distance of 2 miles and 5½ furlongs, featuring 16 runners. The race is for horses aged 4 and above, and it is a Class 6 contest with a win prize of £5,575. The track is right-handed, and there are 11 hurdles to be jumped.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and analysis, my best pick for this race would be horse number 2, Paidis Passion (IRE). Paidis Passion has shown promise in recent runs, including a good second-place finish at Roscommon over 2 miles 4 furlongs. While there may be a question about staying the longer 3-mile trip, this drop back to 2 miles 5½ furlongs should be more suitable for him. Winning her maiden over the same course and distance adds to her credentials for this race.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
7.50 Chelmsford City (12 runners)
Racing Welfare Handicap
1m2f

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and analysis:

Race Summary:
This is a Racing Welfare Handicap race at Chelmsford City over a distance of 1 mile 2 furlongs, featuring 12 runners. The race is for horses aged 3 and above, and it is a Class 4 contest with a win prize of £6,621. The track is left-handed, and the stall positioning is inside.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and analysis, my best pick for this race would be horse number 12, Totnes (IRE). Totnes has a solid record on the All-Weather surface, with 2 wins and 1 second place in 3 runs. Last time out, the horse showed a good effort, finishing behind a progressive winner over this distance. With the return to Polytrack and this trip still within range, Totnes is likely to be competitive in this race. The horse’s current mark seems fair, and there is potential for further improvement.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
8.20 Chelmsford City (13 runners)
Ministry Of Sound Disco Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
1m

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and professional comments:

Race Summary:
This is the Ministry Of Sound Disco Maiden Stakes at Chelmsford City, a 1-mile race featuring 13 runners. The race is for 3-year-olds and above and is a Class 5 contest with a win prize of £4,346. The track is left-handed, and the stall positioning is on the inside.

Professional Comments:

  • Alexandretta is a well-connected filly who showed useful and willing efforts in 7-furlong AW events at Kempton last year. She comes off an odds-on defeat on soft turf on her reappearance at Salisbury, but the step up in trip to 1 mile looks promising for her chances. She has a solid chance in this race.
  • Arctic Mountain (IRE) is the seventh foal and a gelding. He is a half-brother to several winners, including Lucida, who won at 6 furlongs and 7 furlongs in Group 2 races. The pedigree suggests that Arctic Mountain is a strong contender. The yard has an excellent record in AW maidens and at this course, making Arctic Mountain appealing on paper.
  • Endless Power faced soft ground at Thirsk last month, which may have affected his performance. However, he showed promise on AW when finishing fifth at Kempton, with subsequent winners coming from that race. If his latest experience hasn’t marked him, he should be in contention.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and professional comments, my best pick for this race would be horse number 8, Alexandretta. She comes from a well-connected background and has previously shown promise in AW events. The step up to 1 mile should suit her, and she has a solid chance of performing well in this race.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
8.30 Wolverhampton (11 runners)
Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap (Div 1)
5f 

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and analysis:

Race Summary:
This is the Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap (Div 1) at Wolverhampton over a distance of 5 furlongs, featuring 11 runners. The race is for horses aged 3 and above, and it is a Class 6 contest with a win prize of £5,234. The track is left-handed, and the stall positioning is inside.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and analysis, my best pick for this race would be horse number 1, Show Compassion. Show Compassion looks better suited to the All-Weather surface, and she recently got off the mark at Wolverhampton over 6 furlongs, where she readily saw off ten rivals. The horse has a 4lb rise in the weights, which seems fair, and she has shown interest in today’s going, being the clear top horse on that surface. Though not ideally drawn, Show Compassion is still of serious interest at this level and has a good chance of performing well.

Tue 25th Jul 2023
9.00 Wolverhampton (10 runners)
Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap (Div 2)
5f

Here is a summary of the race and my best pick based on the provided data and analysis:

Race Summary:
This is the Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap (Div 2) at Wolverhampton over a distance of 5 furlongs, featuring 10 runners. The race is for horses aged 3 and above, and it is a Class 6 contest with a win prize of £5,234. The track is left-handed, and the stall positioning is inside.

My Best Pick:
Based on the data and analysis, my best pick for this race would be horse number 2, Yaahobby (IRE). Yaahobby has the best odds and has shown excellent form recently. He has the best jockey strike rate in the race and was in very good form in his last run, where he chased home Show Compassion over 6 furlongs at Wolverhampton. Yaahobby’s two wins have both come at this track over 5 to 6 furlongs, indicating that this distance is likely to suit him well. With his current form and the conditions in his favor, Yaahobby rates as a leading contender in this race.

Please note that horse racing involves inherent risks, and there are no guarantees in betting. It is essential to consider all factors, do your research, and make an informed decision before placing any bets.

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