Sat 29th Jul 2023
1.50 Ascot (11 runners)
Bateaux London Princess Margaret
Stakes (Fillies Group 3)
6f
In the Bateaux London Princess Margaret Stakes (Fillies Group 3) at Ascot over 6 furlongs, we have 11 runners on good to soft ground, consisting of 2-year-old fillies. Let’s consider the system notes, Timewise ratings, and comments provided to analyze the race.
Here’s a summary of the key points for each horse:
- Cry Fiction (IRE): Narrow Windsor winner, promising but demands more in this race.
- Dazzling Star: Impressive winner at Newmarket, Lowther entry suggests more to come.
- Elinor Dashwood (IRE): Improved from debut to win at Haydock. Difficult to gauge her class in this rise in grade.
- Gladly Ever After (IRE): Comfortable winner at Chepstow, but this race seems tougher.
- Komat: Proven effectiveness on testing ground. Showed promise in the Albany at Royal Ascot.
- La Guarida (IRE): Disappointing since Goodwood, would be a surprise winner.
- Lunar Shine (IRE): Impressive win at Thirsk. Considered useful and respected.
- Pretty Crystal (IRE): Smart pedigree, won comfortably at Ripon, good performance in the Albany.
- Sacred Angel (IRE): Improved significantly on her second run to win a maiden at Newmarket. Ground conditions should be in her favor.
- Soprano: Debut winner, excellent third in the Albany. Stamina doubts over 7f, considering her recent outing.
- Symbology: Impressive winning debut at York. Stable won the recent Group 2 July Stakes. Potential for more improvement.
Based on the provided information, my top 3 picks for the race are:
- Symbology: With a strong debut win at York and the stable’s recent success in a Group 2 race, Symbology appears to have significant potential.
- Komat: Proven effectiveness on testing ground and a strong performance in the Albany at Royal Ascot make Komat a strong contender.
- Lunar Shine (IRE): Showed promise with an impressive win at Thirsk and should be respected based on her performance.
Sat 29th Jul 2023
2.05 York (19 runners)
Sky Bet Jump Jockeys Nunthorpe Handicap (Professional Jump Jockeys)
5f
Based on the information provided, we have a 5-furlong (1100 yards) Class 4 handicap race with 19 runners at York. The going is Good To Soft, and the race is for 4-year-olds and older. The winner’s prize is £12,885.
Using the system notes, Timewise ratings, and comments, let’s analyze the race:
Top Picks:
- Sound Reason: Rated well and in good form, with a recent win at Beverley on good to firm ground. Effective on soft/good to soft as well. Ridden by champion jumps jockey Brian Hughes, who adds to the appeal.
- Speedacus (IRE): Inconsistent but has won twice in the last four starts, including a recent win at Doncaster on soft ground. With good jockey strike rate stats and coming off a recent victory, could be a contender.
- Majeski Man (IRE): Showed promise with two consecutive wins in May but hasn’t performed as well in the last three outings. However, the horse is well handicapped based on old form, and the first-time cheekpieces may have a positive effect.
Summary:
The race seems competitive with several contenders having chances. Sound Reason appears to be the top pick based on current form and the jockey’s credentials. Speedacus and Majeski Man also have merits and can be considered for the top three spots.
It’s essential to consider the ground condition (Good To Soft) and the horse’s performances on similar going, as well as the jockey and trainer records at the track.
Please note that horse racing is unpredictable, and other factors such as pace, track bias, and how the race unfolds can impact the result. It’s always a good idea to use this analysis as a starting point and consider other relevant information before making final betting decisions.
Sat 29th Jul 2023
2.25 Ascot (9 runners)
Longines Valiant Stakes (Fillies
& Mares Group 3) (Rnd)
1m
In the Longines Valiant Stakes (Fillies & Mares Group 3) at Ascot over 1 mile on soft ground, we have 9 runners, including 3-year-olds and older fillies and mares. Let’s consider the system notes, Timewise ratings, and comments provided to analyze the race.
Here’s a summary of the key points for each horse:
- Ameynah (IRE): Progressive form, won a maiden at Newmarket and performed well in the 1,000 Guineas. Concerns about her 454-day absence.
- Random Harvest (IRE): Won an Italian Group 3 and performed well in Epsom Group 3 and Duke Of Cambridge at Ascot. Capable of bouncing back after a below-par run in the Group 1 Falmouth at Newmarket.
- Roman Mist (IRE): Impressive win in a Listed event at Goodwood but hasn’t reproduced that form on good ground. Return to slower ground may suit her.
- Zenga: Unlucky in her last two runs, would have been closer with better luck. There’s potential for a bigger performance from her.
- Cadeau Belle (FR): Impressive debut win at Gowran over 7f in the mud and followed up with a win in a Listed event at Navan. More to come after just two starts.
- Mysterious Love (IRE): Won a heavy-ground maiden at Nottingham but only managed seventh in a French Listed race since.
- Rose Prick (IRE): Career-best performance when fifth to Thornbrook in a 1m Chantilly Listed race. Likely to be short of the required standard today.
- Sea Of Thieves: Won at Haydock and finished second at Newbury. Lightly raced profile, but receiving weight from most of the field in a handicap.
- Thornbrook (IRE): Placed at Group 2 level as a juvenile and won a 1m Chantilly Listed race. Respected contender.
- Vetiver: Advanced form with each start, winning a 7f Carlisle Listed event on soft ground. Likely to suit the return to 1m and today’s ground conditions.
Based on the provided information, my top 3 picks for the race are:
- Cadeau Belle (FR): Impressive debut win and a successful follow-up in a Listed race suggest she has more to offer in this race.
- Random Harvest (IRE): Capable of bouncing back to form after a below-par run in the Group 1 Falmouth. Previous strong performances make her a contender.
- Vetiver: Advancing her form with each start, and the win in a 7f Listed event on soft ground indicates she might excel in this 1m race with today’s ground conditions.
| Sat 29th Jul 2023 2.40 York (15 runners) Sky Bet Dash Handicap 6f |
Based on the information provided, we have a 6-furlong (6f) race at York with 15 runners. It’s a Class 2 handicap race on Good to Soft ground, open to horses aged 3 years old and above, with a total win prize of £33,501. The average Official Rating (OR) is 91, and the median OR is 93. The race will be run on the straight track, with the stall positioning in the center.
Let’s break down the information for each horse:
- Lethal Levi: Timewise rating: 561.5, Odds: 7/1, Recent form: Inconsistent, but showed promise in previous starts.
- The Green Man (IRE): Timewise rating: 509.1, Odds: 10/1, Recent form: Won impressively at C&D but was only third at Newmarket in the latest start.
- Barefoot Angel (IRE): Timewise rating: 496.2, Odds: 8/1, Recent form: Down the field in Group 3 Nell Gwyn, but had a wind op since and was talented as a 2-year-old.
- Summerghand (IRE): Timewise rating: 480.9, Odds: 15/2, Recent form: Hasn’t had the best season but won three times last year.
- It Just Takes Time (IRE): Timewise rating: 463.8, Odds: 10/1, Recent form: Improved this year with wins at Thirsk and Ripon.
- Lucky Man (IRE): Timewise rating: 460.2, Odds: 12/1, Recent form: Ran well in C&D handicaps last season.
- Magical Spirit (IRE): Timewise rating: 432.7, Odds: 10/1, Recent form: Below par in the latest start, but had good form earlier this season.
- Hyperfocus (IRE): Timewise rating: 420.5, Odds: 16/1, Recent form: Inconsistent but had a win at Ripon and a good third at Chester.
- Mondammej: Timewise rating: 416.3, Odds: 8/1, Recent form: Went close at Doncaster last month but hasn’t won in a while.
- Aberama Gold: Timewise rating: 410.0, Odds: 6/1, Recent form: Won twice for Keith Dalgleish and had a good fifth at Ayr on stable debut.
- International Girl (IRE): Timewise rating: 407.7, Odds: 14/1, Recent form: Won at C&D last July and ran solid races this season.
- Zarzyni (IRE): Timewise rating: 398.2, Odds: 14/1, Recent form: Kept on well in competitive 5f handicaps earlier.
- Music Society (IRE): Timewise rating: 376.7, Odds: 10/1, Recent form: Run some good races this year and finished second in this race in 2021.
- Abduction (FR): Timewise rating: 349.4, Odds: 25/1, Recent form: Last three wins came over 7f and form has taken a downturn lately.
- Manila Scouse: Timewise rating: 347.3, Odds: 25/1, Recent form: Ran well in defeat earlier but was 11th at Ayr in the last start.
Summary:
- The Green Man (IRE) stands out as one of the favorites based on recent form and the Timewise rating.
- Lethal Levi and Barefoot Angel (IRE) are also worth considering as they have shown promise in previous starts.
- Aberama Gold and It Just Takes Time (IRE) could be contenders based on their recent wins and good performances.
Top 3 Picks:
- The Green Man (IRE)
- Lethal Levi
- Barefoot Angel (IRE)
Sat 29th Jul 2023
3.00 Ascot (26 runners)
Moet & Chandon International Stakes
(Heritage Handicap)
7f
Based on the provided data, system notes, TimeWise ratings, and comments, here’s a summary and the top three picks for the 3.00 Ascot race:
Summary:
- The race is a 7f Heritage Handicap with 26 runners on Good to Soft ground.
- Biggles, Montassib, Spangled Mac (IRE), Star Of Orion (IRE), and Northern Express (IRE) are among the top contenders based on their performance and ratings.
- Some horses have strong system indicators, such as Biggles, Vafortino (IRE), Northern Express (IRE), Fresh, and Ramazan (IRE).
Top 3 Picks:
- Biggles: The horse has impressive form figures in 7f handicaps, including a recent win at Newmarket. With solid system indicators, he is a leading contender in this race.
- Vafortino (IRE): This horse has sound performances in similar races at Ascot and comes off a good performance at York, where he almost won. With consistent form, he is likely to be in the mix.
- Ramazan (IRE): A 3-year-old with potential for further improvement, Ramazan comes into the race with a penalty for a recent win at Haydock. He is an interesting contender with room for progress.
| Sat 29th Jul 2023 3.15 York (5 runners) Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) 1m2½f |
In the Sky Bet York Stakes, we have a Group 2 race over 1 mile 2 ½ furlongs at York with 5 runners. The ground is Good to Soft, and it’s open to horses aged 3 years old and above, with a total win prize of £70,888. The average Official Rating (OR) is 114, and the median OR is 116. The race will be run on the left-handed track, with stall positioning inside.
Let’s analyze each horse:
- Alflaila: Timewise rating: 582.3, Odds: 4/1, Recent form: Was highly progressive last year with wins in Listed and Group 3 races. Absent since October, but shapes as though the new trip will suit. Major player if handling the conditions.
- Checkandchallenge: Timewise rating: 432.4, Odds: 12/1, Recent form: Won a French Group 3 race last year. Not at his best this year but ran a respectable seventh in the Listed Wolferton at Royal Ascot over 1 mile 2 furlongs. First-time visor could help.
- Mashhoor: Timewise rating: 613.0, Odds: 9/2, Recent form: Highly progressive Irish challenger with two handicap wins this year and added Listed and Group 3 victories at the Curragh. Benefited from an easy lead when impressive last time. Could make another bold bid.
- My Prospero (IRE): Timewise rating: 573.2, Odds: 6/5, Recent form: Won a French Group 2 race last year and was a close third in the Group 1 Champion Stakes. Close fourth in the Group 1 Lockinge over 1 mile in May. Leading claims if back to best.
- Royal Champion (IRE): Timewise rating: 570.8, Odds: 4/1, Recent form: Listed winner at Ayr and scored in the Wolferton at Royal Ascot last month. Progressive profile and could be up to the task against tougher opposition.
Summary:
- My Prospero (IRE) and Alflaila are the top contenders based on their previous form at higher levels.
- Mashhoor has been highly progressive and could be a strong contender if allowed an easy lead.
- Royal Champion (IRE) is a progressive horse and shouldn’t be underestimated.
Top 3 Picks:
- My Prospero (IRE)
- Alflaila
- Mashhoor
Sat 29th Jul 2023
3.40 Ascot (11 runners)
King George VI And Queen Elizabeth
Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)
1m4f
Based on the provided information, here is a summary of the race and my top 3 picks:
Race Summary:
- The race is the King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes, a Group 1 race in the British Champions Series, held at Ascot.
- The race distance is 1 mile 4 furlongs on soft ground.
- There are 11 runners in the race, and it’s a highly competitive field with several top-class contenders.
- Some of the key horses in the race include Auguste Rodin, Hamish, King Of Steel, Pyledriver, Luxembourg, Hukum, Emily Upjohn, Point Lonsdale, Deauville Legend, Bolshoi Ballet, and Westover.
Top 3 Picks:
- Hukum (IRE) – Hukum has shown excellent form in recent races, beating Pyledriver in the Coronation Cup and Desert Crown in the Brigadier Gerard Stakes. With a good track record over this distance and favorable conditions, he is a strong contender.
- Auguste Rodin (IRE) – Having won the Derby and the Irish Derby, Auguste Rodin is a top-class 3-year-old colt. While the soft ground may not be ideal, he is still a leading contender with the right credentials for this race.
- Emily Upjohn – Emily Upjohn has been progressive and is coming off a win in the Coronation Cup at Epsom. She has performed well on various ground types and should be a serious threat in this race.
It’s worth noting that this is a highly competitive race, and any of the top contenders could have a strong chance of winning. The race may come down to how well the horses handle the soft ground and their ability to perform at the Group 1 level.
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