A look at day 5 of GloriousGoodwood.

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Sat 5th Aug 2023
1.50 Goodwood (14 runners)
Coral Stewards Sprint Handicap
6f

Based on the rankings and comments, my top three contenders would be:

  1. Monsieur Kodi (IRE): The current stats show that Monsieur Kodi is ranked first with a total of 532.5. This horse seems comfortable with the 6f on slow ground and has had a consistent performance throughout the year, including two wins. Its current form makes it a strong contender in this race.
  2. Zaman Jemil (IRE): This horse is second on the list with a total of 497.0. The comments show that it was well-backed on its nursery debut and has shown promise on good to soft ground. It’s untested on slower ground, which might be a risk, but the horse has shown potential for better performance with time.
  3. Count Otto (IRE): Although the horse comes third in the ranking with a total of 493.9, it has some risks attached to it. Count Otto has unplaced records in nine visits to Goodwood and might struggle with ground slower than good. However, it’s also in good form chasing a hat-trick after wins at Epsom and Windsor, making it a potential contender.

Sat 5th Aug 2023
2.25 Goodwood (14 runners)
Coral Summer Handicap
1m6f

Based on the ratings and comments provided, here are my top 3 contenders for the Coral Summer Handicap at Goodwood:

  1. Sweet William (IRE): This horse has the highest total score (603.2) and has shown a consistent pattern of improvement. Despite being untested on soft ground, Sweet William has made a significant progress on his last outing at Newbury, where he upped from 1m4f to 2m to dominate the closing stages of a useful handicap. The increase in trip to 1m6f for this race shouldn’t be an issue. However, the soft ground is a factor to consider.
  2. HMS President (IRE): With the second highest score (542.0), HMS President has proven to be highly competitive and has seen some success this season. He’s surged to new heights with a victory at Newmarket and a narrow loss at Royal Ascot. He’s raised another 5lb, but has won at Goodwood before and should be a major player in this race.
  3. Adjuvant (IRE): Although ranked third in total scores (494.1), Adjuvant presents as a reliable and progressive runner. He was a close second to HMS President at Newmarket and later took a win over the same course and distance. He finished fifth in the Northumberland Plate when upped to 2m on the all-weather track. His record suggests strong each-way claims for this race.

Sat 5th Aug 2023
3.00 Goodwood (8 runners)
Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes (Fillies
& Mares Group 2)

1m6f

Based on the rankings, comments, and various performance parameters provided, here are my top three contenders for the Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes:

  1. Free Wind (IRE): This horse tops the rankings with a total of 644.2 points. Despite a disappointing performance at the Group 2 Hardwicke at Royal Ascot, the horse has demonstrated capability in soft conditions and has had success in a similar trip to this in the past. If she returns to form, she can potentially take this race.
  2. River Of Stars (IRE): River Of Stars ranks second with 607.6 points. She has shown impressive performance in her previous runs, including a win at Chester and a good second position in a Group 2 at Longchamp. Her proven capability at around this distance and her progressive form give her good each-way claims in this race.
  3. Luisa Casati (IRE): Luisa Casati is my third pick with a total of 492.0 points. She has significantly improved this season and delivered a strong late bid beating Time Lock in a race on similar ground conditions. Her performance in the Lancashire Oaks was creditable, and she could prove interesting if she maintains her form over the 1m6f.

Sat 5th Aug 2023
3.35 Goodwood (28 runners)
Coral Stewards Cup (Heritage Handicap)
6f

By analyzing the given summary analysis in conjunction with the rankings and other factors provided, I have narrowed down the top 3 contenders for the 3.35 Goodwood race:

  1. Aberama Gold: With the top form and a strong record on soft ground, Aberama Gold appears to be a prime contender. Even though there is a penalty to contend with, the horse’s suitability to the conditions and current form could well overcome it. The rankings also place Aberama Gold among the top contenders, adding to the confidence in this selection.
  2. Orazio: Positioned with an impressive total rating, Orazio’s return to slow ground being a favorable condition and strong performances in previous races makes this horse a major player in this competition. The odds and other ranking factors align well with the comments, making Orazio a solid choice for one of the top spots.
  3. Bielsa: The 2021 Ayr Gold Cup winner’s capability to perform on soft ground, along with a competitive handicap mark, indicates a significant chance for success in this race. Bielsa’s record and suitability to the conditions, as described in the summary, make this horse a compelling contender.

These three horses showcase a combination of form, suitability to the conditions, and other positive factors that align well with both the given rankings and the summary analysis.

Sat 5th Aug 2023
4.10 Goodwood (8 runners)
Racing Welfare Handicap
7f 

  1. Sophia’s Starlight – This horse is the top ranked one on your list and the comments suggest a horse with a promising and improving profile. Her ability to handle a range of conditions, including good to soft, and her resilience in her last race despite a slipped saddle, are all positive signs. The horse’s stamina for the 7f distance and her strong recent performance should put her in a strong position for this race.
  2. Urban Sprawl – The fact that this horse has won on good to soft ground and has been successful over this course and distance is encouraging. Also, the stable’s strong history in this race, having won four of the last eight runnings, makes this horse a contender. His last performance was disappointing, but if he can bounce back to his best form, he could be a strong contender.
  3. New Business – This horse seems promising. The comments suggest that he has shown promise in his starts and has been successful when dropping from 1m to 7f. The testing conditions are a concern since he’s never run on softer than good, but if he handles the conditions, he could be a good bet. His last performance suggests some potential for improvement.

Sat 5th Aug 2023
4.45 Goodwood (14 runners)
British EBF 40th Anniversary Maiden Stakes
7f

Based on the total scores, previous performances, and pedigree information, here are my top 3 contenders for the 4.45 Goodwood:

  1. Individualism: Scored the highest total (406.0) in this race. Despite it being the horse’s only recorded race, Individualism performed well at Ayr where he finished second. The horse is a half-brother to four winners, so it seems to come from a strong lineage. Given the promising debut and strong pedigree, it is likely to put up a good performance.
  2. Devil’s Point: With a total score of 349.5, Devil’s Point’s debut performance at Sandown was promising. The horse managed to recover quickly from a slow start to finish fifth out of ten. With this experience and the potential to improve, Devil’s Point is a strong contender.
  3. Empire Of Art: Though the horse’s total score is slightly lower than the other two (367.0), Empire Of Art had an encouraging debut at Doncaster, finishing fourth out of fourteen. The pedigree suggests the horse may not fully flourish until sent over longer trips, but the horse may still have a good chance in this race.

Sat 5th Aug 2023
5.20 Goodwood (18 runners)
Coral Handicap
1m1f

Based on the rankings and comments, my top 3 contenders for the 5.20 race at Goodwood would be:

  1. One Step Beyond (IRE) – Highest rating (529.7), competitive odds (6/1), and a strong performance history, with 2 wins in his last 3 races. There’s a concern about handling the ground but still looks a solid contender.
  2. Mostawaa – Has been thriving lately, recently completing a hat-trick and has shown effectiveness on soft ground. Despite a rise of 5lb, his front-running style and consistency make him a strong candidate (Rating: 477.8, Odds: 7/1).
  3. Sceptic (IRE) – Despite a disappointing last outing, Sceptic demonstrated strong performance two starts ago with a win here at Goodwood. If he can return to that form, he can be a leading player. His odds are decent (8/1), and he has a good rating (481.8).

These selections are based on ratings, odds, and recent form. As with any horse race, it’s important to note that results can be unpredictable and factors like the condition of the track on the day, the horse’s mood, and the strategies employed by the jockeys can significantly influence the outcome.

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