Tue 22nd Aug 2023
2.30 Newton Abbot (4 runners)
newtonabbotracing.com Novices Limited
Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
2m½f

1. Valentino Dancer:
   • Pros: Has shown consistent good performance in recent races. The ground conditions suit him, and his recent chasing debut was commendable.
   • Cons: As the race’s odds on favourite, the price might not offer substantial value to punters.
2. Stepney Causeway:
   • Pros: Managed to achieve a win recently, indicating he can perform well.
   • Cons: Vulnerable to better-performing horses and didn’t perform admirably in his recent C&D outing.
3. Dr T J Eckleburg:
   • Pros: Being relatively young, there’s potential for improvement.
   • Cons: Current form is not impressive, and he would need to step up significantly to pose a challenge.

Valentino Dancer appears to be the safest bet due to its consistent performance, but the potential returns might be limited. Dr T J Eckleburg is a more risky proposition, but with risk comes the possibility of higher returns.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
3.00 Newton Abbot (13 runners)
Joe And Sophie Finally Got Married
Mares Handicap Hurdle
2m1f

• Top Contender – Ryders Rock:
  • Pros: Significant improvement seen in recent races with blinkers. The track seems to favor him given his recent runner-up positions. His handicap debut mark seems feasible.
  • Cons: As a maiden, he hasn’t yet won, and errors might be his downfall.
• Second Contender – Isabella Bee (IRE):
  • Pros: She has shown promise in her novice outings. The handicap debut could see her step up. Has shown potential in the recent races.
  • Cons: Being a maiden, she’s untested in such a setting, and the fact that she takes a good hold might make her use up energy early in the race.
• Third Contender – Vision Of Hope:
  • Pros: Has experience with two wins this season. Has been a favorite consistently, indicating consistent performance.
  • Cons: Her recent performance hasn’t been up to the mark, and she might need to put in a much better effort to clinch this race.

Conclusion:

While all three horses have their strengths, Ryders Rock seems to have the edge given his recent form and the track record. However, Isabella Bee’s potential and Vision Of Hope’s experience cannot be discounted, making them strong contenders in their own right.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023 3.30 Newton Abbot (11 runners) Heather And Jenny Joint Birthdays Celebration Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) 2m3f

1. Climbing
   • Pros: Improved performance after the hood was removed. Strong recent hurdling performance and has the breeding to continue improving.
   • Cons: Only has one strong performance to his name, which might not be enough to gauge consistent good form.
2. The Geordie Ginge (IRE)
   • Pros: Recent performance was strong, only marred by a late mistake. Proven competition as the winner of his race has won again.
   • Cons: One mistake could again be costly, needs a clean run.
3. Came From Nothing (IRE)
   • Pros: Showed promise in his debut and has the potential to improve. Well-bred, which might play a role in his performance.
   • Cons: Still relatively untested and might find it challenging against more seasoned horses.

Final Note: Wonderful Eagle might be an interesting wildcard due to his successful Flat racing history in Germany. However, transitioning from Flat to hurdles can be unpredictable, and his performance remains to be seen.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
4.00 Newton Abbot (5 runners)
Andy Hobbs Memorial Handicap Chase
2m5f

Dan’s Chosen (IRE)

• Pros: Recent victory over a competitor in this race (Glajou), proven capability at the course and distance, and notable improvement with adjusted settings.
• Cons: 5lb increase which may impact performance.

2. Romanor

• Pros: Highest overall rating, has recorded victories at this course, consistent summer performances.
• Cons: Struggled to secure wins recently despite strong ratings.

3. Investment Manager

• Pros: Strong performance in the latest race and overall good rating. Shorter distance isn’t a concern.
• Cons: Inconsistency in races and 5lb increase might impact performance.

In conclusion, based on the combined ratings and recent performances, Dan’s Chosen appears to be in top form, while Romanor’s consistent past at this course can’t be ignored. Investment Manager’s unpredictable nature makes it an interesting wildcard, despite the weight increase. These three are the top contenders in this matchup.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
4.30 Newton Abbot (6 runners)
Talk Tidy Marketing Handicap Hurdle
2m1f

Clearance

• Pros: Solid overall ratings, proven track record at this course and distance, recent success, and fair weight adjustment.
• Cons: Moved up in class, which might bring stiffer competition.

2. Enthused (IRE)

• Pros: High last race rating, consistently strong performances during the summer, has the stamina to outlast rivals.
• Cons: Unsuccessful in previous tight finishes against today’s competitors and requires a strong pace to outperform.

3. Aliomaana

• Pros: Generally consistent in her performances, potential to bounce back from the last setback if conditions favor.
• Cons: Recent lackluster performance and unfavorable conditions in previous races could affect morale.

In summary, Clearance stands out due to his recent success and familiarity with the course. Enthused is consistently strong but needs the right pace to shine. Aliomaana, although faced setbacks recently, has the potential to bounce back, especially if conditions are favourable.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
5.00 Newton Abbot (15 runners)
William Hill Leading Racecourse
Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle
3m3f

1. Lelantos (IRE):
   • Pros: Consistent performer, has a history of winning, and is racing beneath last summer’s winning mark. Strong ratings in multiple categories.
   • Cons: Had a late mistake in a recent race.
2. Saxon Queen:
   • Pros: Consistent recent performance, has won here before. Bang on in all three handicaps since her return.
   • Cons: Didn’t appear reliable in her last outing, and she’s 4lb higher for this race, which might make her task slightly harder.
3. Jack The Farmer (chosen over Fortunate Fred based on notes and performance):
   • Pros: Recent win at Worcester and has shown reliability at this trip. Despite an 8lb rise in his last outing, he was close, even after being hampered multiple times.
   • Cons: Only minor would be the recent 8lb rise, but he has shown he can handle it.

Based on the analysis, Lelantos (IRE) seems to be a strong contender followed by Saxon Queen. While Fortunate Fred (FR) has a higher rating, the notes indicate a bit of inconsistency in recent times, making Jack The Farmer a better third choice due to his recent reliable performances.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023 5.15 Roscommon (12 runners) District Speciality Coffee Claiming Race 1m2½f

1. Khafaaq:
   • Pros: Consistent form in recent races, high total rating, and solid performance metrics from past races.
   • Cons: Faces competition from others with similar recent form.
2. Bal De Rio (FR):
   • Pros: Good total rating, has won multiple races recently, and the race type might be suitable for him.
   • Cons: Recent performance at Galway was not impressive.
3. Comfort Line (IRE):
   • Pros: Has been placed multiple times recently, showing potential to be competitive in this race, and good total rating.
   • Cons: Has only won 3 out of 49 races, which questions his ability to finish first.

In conclusion, while Khafaaq, Bal De Rio, and Comfort Line seem to be the top contenders based on data and notes analysis.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
5.30 Worcester (10 runners)
Richard Newland Racing Handicap Chase
2m4f

1. Zoran
   • Pros: Recent C&D winner, still in-form with more to offer, strong rating close to the highest, and low odds indicating confidence from bookmakers.
   • Cons: Raised by 8lb which might make the race slightly tougher.
2. Sinister Minister
   • Pros: Despite being a 15-race maiden, has been consistently placing, performed well in his recent race, and has a strong total rating.
   • Cons: Hasn’t managed to win despite several races, slight increase in weight.
3. Justshortofabubble
   • Pros: Recently managed to win, travelled strongly in the recent race indicating good form, and is second-favorite in odds.
   • Cons: Weight has been increased by 5lb, which could affect performance.

While Raecius Felix has the highest total rating, his recent lackluster performances except for one race after a wind operation makes it a bit risky to place him in the top 3 based on current form.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
5.45 Roscommon (10 runners)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
7½f 

1. Bad Desire (FR)
   • Pros:
     • Strong performance in recent race.
     • Has experience in similar conditions.
     • Top-rated in data.
   • Cons:
     • Competition might be tougher this time with some closely rated contenders.
2. Beauty Thunder (IRE)
   • Pros:
     • Close proximity to a group winner in debut.
     • High rating indicating consistent performance.
   • Cons:
     • Previous race didn’t go entirely his way, raising questions about adaptability.
3. Star Hunter (IRE)
   • Pros:
     • Proven pedigree for the distance.
     • Previous race has since been a good form indicator.
   • Cons:
     • Will face competition from horses that have shown improvement since their last races.

Conclusion:

The top three contenders based on the combination of data, notes, and analysis are Bad Desire (FR), Beauty Thunder (IRE), and Star Hunter (IRE). Each of these horses has shown potential in their previous races, and their respective pros and cons highlight the challenges and opportunities they might face in the upcoming race.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
6.00 Worcester (12 runners)
Peter Dawson Forget-Me-Not Handicap
Chase (GBB Race)
2m7f 

1. Courtland (IRE)
   • Pros: High total rating and has displayed strong recent form, suggesting he’s in good shape. Additionally, despite not racing over this distance, there’s optimism that he might excel.
   • Cons: The unknown variable is how he’ll perform over this new distance.
2. Brief Times (IRE)
   • Pros: Has recent victories under his belt, indicating good form. Moreover, he has proven himself over similar distances, which is a big advantage.
   • Cons: He’s up in weight, which might affect his performance, and the competition seems stiff.
3. Peregrine Run (IRE)
   • Pros: He’s the previous winner of this race and has followed that up with consistent performances. This experience can play to his advantage.
   • Cons: As a veteran, age might be a factor that could influence his speed or stamina in the race.

In conclusion, while Courtland (IRE) and Brief Times (IRE) show promise based on recent form and ratings, Peregrine Run (IRE)’s experience and past performance in this race make him a contender to watch.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
6.15 Roscommon (7 runners)
Irish EBF Auction Series Race
7½f 

1. Ribchestina (IRE)
   • Pros: High rating, has won on a soft track, good performance in a Group 3 race, and the breeding suggests she’ll be comfortable with the distance.
   • Cons: Only two races for reference, so consistency might be a question.
2. Nemonte (IRE)
   • Pros: Strong form coming from Curragh and Leopardstown races, has a decent speed rating, and the notes hint at significant potential.
   • Cons: While the horse performed well previously, the competition within this race is stiff, especially with Ribchestina.
3. My Mate Alfie (IRE)
   • Pros: Consistent progression, strong jockey rating, and holds a National Stakes entry which is indicative of the quality.
   • Cons: Conceding weight, which might be a disadvantage, especially against the top fillies in this race.

In conclusion, based on both the data and the notes, Ribchestina, Nemonte, and My Mate Alfie emerge as the top 3 contenders for the race.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
6.45 Roscommon (8 runners)
Murray Ambulance Fillies Maiden
7½f

1. Nelda (IRE)
   • Pros: High rating, good odds, consistent performance, and had a near miss recently.
   • Cons: Hasn’t won yet despite the favorable circumstances.
2. Muhaarar’s Girl (IRE)
   • Pros: Consistent in her performances, decent rating.
   • Cons: May struggle against stronger contenders like Nelda.
3. Rebeccas Girl (IRE)
   • Pros: Decent rating and has had three chances to show her form.
   • Cons: Form hasn’t been overly impressive, and there is no particular reason to think she would outperform the others based on the current data.

While Nelda stands out as the top contender, it’s also essential to consider the unpredictable nature of horse racing. External factors like track condition, jockey form, and others can also play a role in the outcome.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
7.00 Worcester (12 runners)
Radio Wyvern, Where Worcester Comes
First Handicap Hurdle
2m

1. Coolnaugh Haze (IRE):
   • Pros: Strong total score, generally consistent performance, potential each-way bet considering the strong form of the new yard.
   • Cons: Last performance with cheekpieces was less than optimal.
2. No Recollection:
   • Pros: Has a knack for Worcester, having won both of his appearances. Even though it’s off a slightly lower mark, he’s proven on the course.
   • Cons: His inconsistency is a concern. Soft ground performance was not promising.
3. Hiconic:
   • Pros: Has demonstrated ability to win on good ground. Her wins at Warwick and Worcester signify her caliber. Enlisting a 7lb claimer could be advantageous.
   • Cons: Last outing at Southwell was not up to the mark, which suggests she might be coming off a low.

Final Verdict:

1. Coolnaugh Haze (IRE) seems the most consistent and trustworthy choice given his form and new yard strength.
2. No Recollection can be a dark horse if the ground and other conditions align in his favor.
3. Hiconic needs to bounce back from her last outing but has shown good form before, which makes her a contender.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
7.15 Roscommon (12 runners)
Londis Roscommon Handicap
7½f

1. Dragon Of Malta (IRE)
   • Pros: Demonstrated strength in recent form with a strong win at Galway. Has a high overall rating and the continuity of a seasoned jockey in Colin Keane.
   • Cons: He’s up 9lb which might affect his performance.
2. Loingseoir (IRE)
   • Pros: Has shown consistency in his races, especially with the recent second-place finish at Chepstow. Benefits from James Ryan taking off 7lb.
   • Cons: Infrequent winner, implying unpredictability in performance.
3. Yermanthere (IRE)
   • Pros: Best form on soft conditions over 7f. The previous race was shorter, and he’s now returning to his optimal length. He’s also priced attractively for bettors seeking value.
   • Cons: The recent performance on his seasonal/yard debut at Naas wasn’t impressive. Needs to show more to be considered a top contender.

Given the above analysis, Dragon Of Malta (IRE) seems to be the best bet due to recent form, high rating, and continuity of jockey. Loingseoir (IRE) and Yermanthere (IRE) are also noteworthy and could present surprises.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
7.30 Worcester (10 runners)
Phil & Janet Robinson 41st Wedding-Anniversary
Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m7f

1. Sforza Castle (IRE) Pros: Among the top in total ratings, showed good promise in his recent race, and the longer trip might be advantageous. Cons: Limited racing history might make it a bit unpredictable.
2. Seinesational Pros: Consistent performer, especially on the Flat, and has recent experience over the C&D which can be beneficial. Cons: Despite being a regular placer, hasn’t secured a win in hurdles recently.
3. Shandancer (IRE) Pros: While not the top in ratings, the notes indicate two narrow misses in maiden events over similar conditions and the horse has been part of serious calculations recently. A change in equipment (visor) might bring about a positive change. Cons: Has participated in 17 races without a win which brings into question its finishing ability.

In conclusion, while Sforza Castle and Seinesational come off as the strongest contenders based on both data and the notes, Shandancer, despite its lower rating, seems like a dark horse which could surprise based on its past performances and potential.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
8.00 Worcester (11 runners)
FBC Manby Bowdler Handicap Hurdle
2m7f 

1. Karavomylos (IRE):
   • Pros: Highest total rating and has shown recent improvement in form. His victory at Uttoxeter, coupled with a third-place finish over the C&D, indicates competitive form.
   • Cons: There’s uncertainty regarding how the first-time headgear will impact performance. Needs to improve on his recent third-place finish.
2. Hungry Hill (IRE):
   • Pros: Second-highest total rating. His recent win at Uttoxeter, especially with Broomfields Cave’s fall, boosts confidence in his form. Only a 5lb increase makes him quite competitive.
   • Cons: Broomfields Cave remains a threat, especially since the latter is now wearing headgear for the first time, which might enhance its performance.
3. Angels Landing (IRE):
   • Pros: Third-highest total rating and consistent form on the flat.
   • Cons: Her hurdle record is concerning, and the recent below-par performances make her a less reliable choice. Additionally, stepping up from 2m brings in stamina concerns.

Top 3 Contenders:

1. Karavomylos (IRE)
2. Hungry Hill (IRE)
3. Angels Landing (IRE)

It would be essential to keep an eye on other contenders like Broomfields Cave due to recent form and changes in gear which might affect the outcome.

Tue 22nd Aug 2023
8.15 Roscommon (16 runners)
Sean Cleary Memorial Handicap (47-70)
1m4f

1. Lun Deux Trois (IRE)
   • Pros: Recent win over this trip on soft ground and the rating suggests top form.
   • Cons: No major cons.
2. Nostra Casa (IRE)
   • Pros: Has shown versatility across different ground conditions and has previously won on testing ground.
   • Cons: No major cons.
3. Franno (IRE)
   • Pros: Recent good form and versatility across both flat and hurdles.
   • Cons: No major cons.

Final Thoughts: The race appears competitive, but based on the combination of data and horse history, Lun Deux Trois, Nostra Casa, and Franno seem to be the strongest contenders. However, as always in horse racing, variables like race pace, jockey decisions, and on-the-day conditions can impact outcomes.