My top contenders for Leopardstown today.

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Thu 24th Aug 2023
4.35 Leopardstown (10 runners)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden
7f 

Top Three Contenders:

Pros and Cons:

  • Mayfair (IRE):
    • Pros: High ratings, showed potential on debut, related to a progressive horse, entered in prestigious races.
    • Cons: Seems like the second-string choice for its yard.
  • Content (IRE):
    • Pros: Strong lineage, previously promising debut, potentially better suited against her own sex.
    • Cons: Underperformed in last outing at Royal Ascot.
  • Hannah Buckle (IRE):
    • Pros: Good pedigree from the Moyglare family.
    • Cons: Lack of experience and previous underwhelming performance.

4. Summary:

Based on data and notes, Mayfair (IRE) and Content (IRE) appear to be the strongest contenders with the best track record and potential for improvement. Hannah Buckle (IRE), while having a good pedigree, may not be as strong a contender given her lack of experience and past performance. Expect Mayfair and Content to be in contention, with Hannah Buckle as an outside shot.

Thu 24th Aug 2023
5.10 Leopardstown (10 runners)
Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden
7f 

Top Three Contenders:

  1. Making Time (IRE)
    • Pros: Highest total rating, good speed, and has experience with three past runs showing consistency.
    • Cons: All previous runs over 6f, uncertain performance over 7f.
  2. Alpha Cephei
    • Pros: Second-highest total rating, has run two good races at this venue, good speed.
    • Cons: Has a negative stamina score which might affect its performance in the final stretches.
  3. Romford (IRE)
    • Pros: Third-highest total rating, has two previous race ratings.
    • Cons: Disappointing performance at Galway and ran green previously.

Summary:

Making Time (IRE) is the top contender based on her previous performances and ratings, but she needs to adjust from 6f to 7f. Alpha Cephei has shown potential in his two runs at Leopardstown, but stamina is a concern. Romford (IRE), despite a disappointing outing at Galway, remains in the top three due to his ratings but needs to overcome past performance issues.

Thu 24th Aug 2023
5.45 Leopardstown (16 runners)
Whistlin Donkeys Playing Live After
Racing Handicap

7f

  1. On Our Radar (IRE)
    • Pros:
      • Lightly-raced winner with a recent win in a handicap at Dundalk.
      • Displayed improvement when stepped up to the trip at Dundalk last month.
      • Scored with plenty in hand during the last race.
    • Cons:
      • Needs to show more given that he’s up by 9 lb in a potentially stronger race.
      • May face competition from horses with similar or better recent form.
  2. Saturn Seven (IRE)
    • Pros:
      • Consistent performance in maidens.
      • Recent winner in a handicap at Limerick.
      • Only nudged up 4 lb for the recent win, suggesting the increase in weight might be manageable.
    • Cons:
      • Needs to maintain or improve current form to stay competitive.
      • There are horses with slightly better recent form.
  3. Goldmoyne (IRE)
    • Pros:
      • Recent winner in a large 23-runner handicap at the Curragh.
      • Made nearly all the pace in the recent win, suggesting good front-running ability.
    • Cons:
      • The 9 lb higher mark after the recent win could be a challenge.
      • Questions around whether a straight seven suits him best.

Thu 24th Aug 2023
6.20 Leopardstown (13 runners)
Bulmers Live At Leopardstown Handicap
7f

Top Three Contenders:

  1. Hightimeyouwon
    • Pros: Back to form with a win and a second-place finish recently, prominent riding expected from an inside draw.
    • Cons: Somewhat underperformed in the last outing at the Curragh.
  2. Furnace Creek (IRE)
    • Pros: Consistent performer, having won at Limerick and narrowly defeated at the Curragh recently. Favorable draw position.
    • Cons: Has been busy racing since June, might be tiring.
  3. Eastern Wind
    • Pros: C&D winner with a recent win at the venue in July, versatile regarding ground conditions.
    • Cons: Fell below expectations in the last outing at Galway, may hang to the left during races.

Summary: “Hightimeyouwon” seems to be back in form and is expected to be ridden prominently, although its last performance was slightly below expectations. “Furnace Creek” is a consistent performer with recent good results, but there’s a potential fatigue factor given his recent racing schedule. Meanwhile, “Eastern Wind” has a proven track record at this course and distance but had an off day at Galway. Making a choice between these contenders will likely come down to the day’s conditions and any late-breaking intel on the horses’ condition.

Thu 24th Aug 2023
6.55 Leopardstown (7 runners)
Aer Lingus College Football Classic
Vinnie Roe Stakes (Listed)

1m6f

Top Three Contenders

  1. Waltham:
    • Pros: Highest rating, unbeaten this season, holds some of the best form on offer.
    • Cons: His capabilities will be truly tested in this race.
  2. Etna Rosso (IRE):
    • Pros: Shown great form, good performance at Royal Ascot.
    • Cons: Needs to bring his best against the favorite.
  3. Harbour Wind (IRE):
    • Pros: Improving form, benefitting from equipment change, backed by a trainer in form.
    • Cons: Will require a slight step up and for some favorites to underperform.

4. Summary

Waltham stands out as the prime contender with a stellar season so far. Etna Rosso brings consistency to the table and has shown he can compete at a high level, making him a strong contender. Harbour Wind, with the backing of an in-form trainer and recent success with cheekpieces, has the potential to surprise.

Thu 24th Aug 2023
7.25 Leopardstown (11 runners)
Vital Edge Powered By Plusvital Maiden
1m

Top Three Contenders:

  1. Alexander John:
    • Pros: Consistent performer and has been in good company. Recent fourth-place finish in a Galway maiden.
    • Cons: Hasn’t secured a maiden win yet.
  2. Walsingham:
    • Pros: Consistent performance from an in-form stable. Unlucky in some races.
    • Cons: Some unexplained losses recently.
  3. Pivotal Revive:
    • Pros: Consistently placed as runner-up in all his starts. Trying cheekpieces for the first time which could improve performance.
    • Cons: There’s hope for more progress from him; hasn’t shown that next level of performance to win.

4. Summary:

Based on the data and notes, Alexander John, Walsingham, and Pivotal Revive emerge as the top contenders for the Leopardstown race. Alexander John has shown consistent prowess, especially in good company. Walsingham comes from a stable in form and has had consistent runs, though some recent races raise questions. Pivotal Revive is the dark horse, consistently placing second and introducing cheekpieces this time, hinting at a possible edge.

Thu 24th Aug 2023
7.55 Leopardstown (10 runners)
Dublin To Bahrain Fillies Handicap
1m

Top Three Contenders:

  • Adelaise (IRE)
    • Pros: High overall score, performed well in significant races, and young rider’s allowance.
    • Cons: Recent race performance was not on par with previous achievements.
  • Celtic Crown (IRE)
    • Pros: Course winner and achieved fifth career win over the course & distance (C&D) recently.
    • Cons: Recent performance at Galway was not impressive.
  • Fratas (IRE)
    • Pros: Recent victory, improved performance since joining the current yard.
    • Cons: Relatively untested over this distance, which could pose a risk.

4. Summary:

Based on data and notes, Adelaise has the best overall ratings and positive remarks from prior races. Celtic Crown knows the course and has won here, but its recent performance is a concern. Fratas, although relatively untested over this trip, has shown promise in recent races. Given all factors, these three horses seem to be the most promising contenders in the upcoming race.

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