A look at a few races away from York.

·

Fri 25th Aug 2023
4.30 Ffos Las (8 runners)
UKPS Handicap
1m4f

Top 3 Contenders with Pros & Cons

  1. Blindedbythelights (GER)
    • Pros: Has adapted well to middle distances; Recent win at Newbury; Possibility for further progression.
    • Cons: Faces a 7lb higher rating after a short break.
  2. Surrey Belle
    • Pros: Demonstrated potential in recent outings; The extended trip might suit her based on previous performances.
    • Cons: Still a maiden and may need further experience to close out a win.
  3. Roost
    • Pros: Well-handicapped based on peak form; Potential to improve with the addition of a tongue-tie; Suitable trip based on previous form.
    • Cons: Inconsistent past performances.

Summary: “Blindedbythelights” stands out as a top contender, having shown promise in middle distances and securing a notable win at Newbury. “Surrey Belle” has shown consistency in recent outings and might find the longer trip favorable. “Roost” holds potential based on previous peak form, especially with the addition of a tongue-tie and back at this favorable trip.

Fri 25th Aug 2023
4.50 Killarney (10 runners)
SP Or Better Guaranteed With Tote
Handicap Hurdle (Listed)

2m1f 

Top 3 Contenders with pros & cons

  1. Shecouldbeanything (IRE)
    • Pros: High total rating, recent successes, C&D winner.
    • Cons: Sloppy jumping in recent race.
  2. Mighty Tom (IRE)
    • Pros: Improved performance this year, recent C&D winner, performed well at the Galway Hurdle.
    • Cons: Carries plenty of weight which might impact performance.
  3. Wouldnt You Agree (IRE)
    • Pros: Previous winner of this race, recent success in blinkers.
    • Cons: Hasn’t shown consistent winning form, others might have more potential.

Summary

Based on both data and note analyses, “Shecouldbeanything (IRE)” and “Mighty Tom (IRE)” stand out as top contenders due to their recent successes and high ratings. “Wouldnt You Agree (IRE)” is another horse to watch, having won this race before. However, each contender has its challenges to overcome, such as “Shecouldbeanything’s” recent sloppy jumping and “Mighty Tom’s” weight.

Fri 25th Aug 2023
5.00 Newmarket (July) (9 runners)
Britains Biggest Independent Bookmaker
JenningsBet Handicap

1m4f 

Top 3 Contenders with Pros & Cons:

  1. Dashing Panther:Pros:
    • Strong recent form with a win at Newbury and second at Ascot.
    • Has prior track experience. Cons:
    • Faces competition from horses with better overall ratings.
  2. French Invasion (IRE):Pros:
    • Tops the overall ratings.
    • Potentially prefers firmer grounds, which is the current condition. Cons:
    • Turf performances have been wanting.
  3. Malabu Drive:Pros:
    • Second in overall ratings.
    • Previous promising performances. Cons:
    • Recent poor performance makes his current form a bit uncertain.

Summary:

Dashing Panther seems to be in great recent form and has the advantage of prior track experience, making him a strong contender. French Invasion has the highest overall rating and might benefit from the firmer grounds of the upcoming race, while Malabu Drive, despite his recent faltering, has a history of promising performances.

Fri 25th Aug 2023
5.20 Killarney (6 runners)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Hurdle
2m7f

Top 3 Contenders with pros & cons:

  1. Lucid Dreams (IRE)
    • Pros: Top-rated, has shown winning ability, bred for stamina.
    • Cons: Late starter, recent performance hinted at stamina concerns.
  2. Black Bamboo (IRE)
    • Pros: Consistent improvement over races, potential to handle longer distance.
    • Cons: Finished behind Tag Man in their last encounter.
  3. Tag Man (IRE)
    • Pros: Finished strongly ahead of Black Bamboo in previous race, stable in good form.
    • Cons: Uncertainty around coping with the extended trip.

Summary: Lucid Dreams (IRE), being top-rated and having shown some impressive runs, is a prominent contender but has stamina questions to answer. Black Bamboo (IRE) offers promise given his consistent form and potential affinity for the longer trip. Tag Man (IRE) has the benefit of outperforming Black Bamboo in their last outing and is associated with an in-form stable.

Fri 25th Aug 2023
6.05 Goodwood (5 runners)
William Hill Handicap
2m

Top 3 Contenders with pros & cons

  1. Aggagio (FR)
    • Pros: Strong total score, great record at this track, recently raced against a notable winner, and suitable race distance.
    • Cons: The recent 2m4f might have affected his performance.
  2. Zain Nights
    • Pros: Consistent performer, suitable distance, and backed by an in-form yard.
    • Cons: Only wins were at Newbury, which might suggest venue preference.
  3. State Legend (IRE)
    • Pros: Recently saw a solid win, potential for further improvement, and the distance might be in his favor.
    • Cons: Still untested at this specific distance.

Summary: Aggagio, with his strong track record at Goodwood and high total score, appears to be the leading contender. Zain Nights is consistent and might bring in a good performance given the right circumstances. State Legend’s recent successes make him a wild card to watch.

Fri 25th Aug 2023
6.55 Hamilton (14 runners)
Phoenix Utilities Ltd Lanark Silver
Bell Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

1m4f 

Top 3 Contenders with pros & cons

  1. Chillingham (IRE)
    • Pros: Recently won, improving form, shorter odds suggesting market confidence.
    • Cons: This race might be more competitive than its recent ones.
  2. Postileo (IRE)
    • Pros: High overall rating, course winner, new adjustments (cheekpieces).
    • Cons: Poor performance in its last outing, might need to regain confidence.
  3. Paddy The Squire
    • Pros: Recent winner, expected to benefit from the longer distance, yard has a history of winning this prize.
    • Cons: Stepping up in competition, needs to prove he can handle the increase in distance.

Summary

Based on both data and notes analysis, Chillingham (IRE) stands out as the top contender due to its consistent recent performances. Postileo (IRE), despite its recent dip, cannot be ruled out given its past course win and adjustments. Paddy The Squire is a promising individual with a chance to shine in the longer trip.

Fri 25th Aug 2023
7.20 Kilbeggan (14 runners)
Follow Kilbeggan On Facebook Handicap Chase
3m1f

Top 3 Contenders with pros & cons:

  1. Mica Malpic (FR)
    • Pros: Highest-rated in data, recent win at this course, well suited to increased distance.
    • Cons: Faces a 9lb weight increase, which can be challenging.
  2. Desertmore House (IRE)
    • Pros: Previous win at this track and distance, experienced and has demonstrated strong form here.
    • Cons: Underperformed at Galway, which might indicate current form isn’t at its peak.
  3. Quantum Realm (IRE)
    • Pros: Consistent performer, recently ran well in a high-value chase, and is familiar with the course.
    • Cons: Has been raised 5lb since his last race, which might impact his performance.

Summary:

Based on the data and notes, Mica Malpic (FR) emerges as the top contender due to its high rating and recent win at this course. Desertmore House (IRE) holds promise given its track record, literally, at this venue. Quantum Realm (IRE), despite not being the highest on the list, has demonstrated consistency and recently showcased potential in a high-value chase. However, weight increases for Mica Malpic and Quantum Realm may pose challenges.

Fri 25th Aug 2023
7.50 Goodwood (9 runners)
William Hill Presents Up Front Handicap
5f

Top 3 Contenders with pros & cons

  1. Just That Lord:
    • Pros: Best data rating, recent strong performance, high speed rating, successful return from a break.
    • Cons: Hasn’t raced for quite a while before the recent victory, and there could be questions on consistency.
  2. Buddy’s Beauty:
    • Pros: Good form, narrowly missed a hat-trick, positive notes on progression, no major cons noted.
    • Cons: Potential stalls issue in the past, which might cause unpredictability.
  3. Mary Of Modena:
    • Pros: Noted for a good strike rate, favorable ground conditions, the recent win at Newmarket.
    • Cons: Increasing competition due to drying ground conditions, which may favor other horses.

Summary

Based on the data and notes provided, “Just That Lord” is the top-rated horse with a significant margin over its competitors and a recent strong performance. “Buddy’s Beauty” is in good form, having won back-to-back races and almost clinched a hat-trick recently. “Mary Of Modena” has also shown promise, especially given the favorable ground conditions. While there’s no guaranteed outcome, these three horses seem the most probable contenders in the upcoming race.

Fri 25th Aug 2023
8.05 Hamilton (8 runners)
Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap
5f

Top 3 Contenders with pros & cons

  1. Wee Fat Mac
    • Pros: Highest total score, recent win, and consistent form.
    • Cons: None
  2. Glorious Rio (IRE)
    • Pros: Previous winner of this race, strong recent form indicating readiness.
    • Cons: Has been on a long losing streak.
  3. Cavalier Approach (IRE)
    • Pros: Good recent form, potential to improve under a new yard.
    • Cons: Unpredictability shown with the recent mishap of unseating its rider.

Summary

Based on the data and notes, Wee Fat Mac stands out as the top contender given his consistent form and recent win. Glorious Rio (IRE), being a previous winner of this race and showing strong recent form, is also a strong contender. Lastly, Cavalier Approach (IRE) has shown promise and under a new yard, might bring about improvements. The race seems competitive, but these three horses are the likely frontrunners.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe