
With testing conditions at Sandown and a strong pace expected, this race looks set to play into the hands of a strong stayer who can handle deep ground. While the market has latched onto Sole Solution (11/4) as the most likely winner, there are angles to suggest that value may lie elsewhere.
Key Market Overlooked Angles:
- JUST LUCKY SIVOLA (5/1) – BET OF THE RACE
- Paul Nicholls has a strong record in this race type, boasting a 24% strike rate with hurdlers between 2m2f and 2m6f mid-season.
- Ran well at Ascot over 2m7f but clearly didn’t stay the trip. The drop back to 2m4f looks ideal, and he remains progressive in handicaps.
- Won narrowly at Hereford two starts ago, showing tenacity. With a strong pace to aim at, he should travel well into contention.
- KALIF D’AIRY (7/1) – STRONG EACH-WAY CLAIM
- Travelled best last time when 2nd at Fakenham, but possibly did too much too soon.
- The strong pace scenario here should allow him to be ridden with more patience, which could unlock further improvement.
- Trainer Gary Moore’s hurdlers thrive in heavy ground, and with a 3lb claim from Caoilin Quinn, he’s fairly treated.
- DE KINGPIN (9/2) – HAS CLASS BUT MAY STRUGGLE LATE
- Awarded a novice hurdle at Newbury but didn’t necessarily shape as the strongest stayer.
- Top weight (12st) in deep ground is a negative – while he has ability, conditions might leave him vulnerable in the final furlong.
- Looks overbet at current prices compared to those who are better suited to the expected race dynamics.
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