13:25 Sandown – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Novices’ Handicap Hurdle.

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With testing conditions at Sandown and a strong pace expected, this race looks set to play into the hands of a strong stayer who can handle deep ground. While the market has latched onto Sole Solution (11/4) as the most likely winner, there are angles to suggest that value may lie elsewhere.

Key Market Overlooked Angles:

  1. JUST LUCKY SIVOLA (5/1) – BET OF THE RACE
    • Paul Nicholls has a strong record in this race type, boasting a 24% strike rate with hurdlers between 2m2f and 2m6f mid-season.
    • Ran well at Ascot over 2m7f but clearly didn’t stay the trip. The drop back to 2m4f looks ideal, and he remains progressive in handicaps.
    • Won narrowly at Hereford two starts ago, showing tenacity. With a strong pace to aim at, he should travel well into contention.
  2. KALIF D’AIRY (7/1) – STRONG EACH-WAY CLAIM
    • Travelled best last time when 2nd at Fakenham, but possibly did too much too soon.
    • The strong pace scenario here should allow him to be ridden with more patience, which could unlock further improvement.
    • Trainer Gary Moore’s hurdlers thrive in heavy ground, and with a 3lb claim from Caoilin Quinn, he’s fairly treated.
  3. DE KINGPIN (9/2) – HAS CLASS BUT MAY STRUGGLE LATE
    • Awarded a novice hurdle at Newbury but didn’t necessarily shape as the strongest stayer.
    • Top weight (12st) in deep ground is a negative – while he has ability, conditions might leave him vulnerable in the final furlong.
    • Looks overbet at current prices compared to those who are better suited to the expected race dynamics.

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