In a race forecasted to unfold at a very strong pace, it’s worth steering clear of those likely to get embroiled in the early skirmishes. History suggests that mares who can settle off the speed and finish strongly tend to have the upper hand in these scenarios, and with that in mind, there are a couple of interesting angles to explore that might not be fully factored into the market.

QUEENS GAMBLE (9/2) rightly heads the market after a strong second at Newbury following a lengthy layoff. While she looks open to further progress and has the benefit of Rachael Blackmore in the saddle, she shoulders top weight here in testing conditions, and the price seems to have fully accounted for her profile. She’s a solid contender, but there’s better value elsewhere.

One that might be flying under the radar is SAVANTE (10/1). Her form figures don’t immediately leap off the page, but a closer look reveals that she was closing with intent before being brought down two out at Leopardstown last time. She remains lightly raced and open to improvement, and given how she finishes her races, a strongly-run 2m 2f on soft ground looks right up her street. The market may have underestimated her ability to pick up the pieces late on.

But perhaps the most intriguing option for each-way players is PHILS CHOICE (33/1). The mare thrives when there’s a strong gallop to aim at, and her recent efforts suggest she’s in better form than the market implies. She hit an in-running low under half her starting Betfair SP when beaten last time, indicating she’s capable of travelling strongly into her races. This setup could allow her to stay on past beaten horses, and at this price, she’s overlooked in the market.

Final Play:

• Win: Savante (10/1) – progressive type, could relish this strong pace scenario.
• Each-Way Value: Phils Choice (33/1) – thrives off a strong gallop, underestimated in the market.

With the pace angle firmly in mind, this race could easily set up for a closer, and the market seems to have overlooked the potential of late finishers.