In what looks set to be a tactically run contest with a very weak pace forecast, positioning could prove critical. The market has latched onto Superbolt as the progressive, hat-trick seeking favourite, but there may be some overestimation of his claims given the likely race dynamics and the competition he faces today.
The standout contender here is CAN YOU CALL (7/2), who looks to be underestimated by the market. He bounced back to form when finishing a strong second at Chepstow last time out, off a reduced mark, suggesting there’s more to come. Rated 136 on Timeform, he tops the ratings after adjustments and appears well-handicapped if he can build on that recent performance.
While a slowly-run race may theoretically favour more prominent racers, CAN YOU CALL has shown versatility in his positioning, and his stamina should come into play if the race develops into a sprint finish after steady early fractions. Importantly, the market seems to be undervaluing the significance of his recent return to form, particularly against a field where others, like Superbolt, may have plateaued in their improvement.
PEPE LE MOKO (4/1) also comes into consideration, especially given his prominent racing style which suits the pace setup. However, he’s been turned over before in similar circumstances after trading shorter in running, suggesting a vulnerability late on.
With only seven runners, each-way options are limited, but CAN YOU CALL looks the value play in this field, combining a favourable mark with solid recent form and the potential to exploit any late-race weaknesses in his rivals.
Recommended Bet: CAN YOU CALL (7/2 win bet) – Market hasn’t fully factored in his return to form and potential to capitalise in this field.
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