While Jasmine Bliss heads the market at odds-on, it’s worth considering whether her price fully reflects her vulnerabilities. Despite a promising hurdles debut, she was turned over last time when trading at odds-on in-running, suggesting there could be some fragility under pressure. With weak pace forecasted, a tactical affair might not play to her strengths, especially if she’s forced to make her own running.
The market appears to have slightly overlooked Sea Presenting (9/4), who shaped with significant promise on her hurdles debut. The ‘p’ in her Timeform rating suggests improvement is highly likely, and she’s adjusted up to 122 on my ratings—just 3 lbs behind the favourite. Given that she’s lightly raced and from a yard that excels with second-time-out hurdlers, there’s every reason to believe she can bridge that gap. Furthermore, her pedigree suggests she’ll relish today’s trip, and any tactical missteps from the favourite could see her capitalising late.
At 5/1, Betty’s Tiara offers a touch of each-way value. She’s consistent and has been knocking on the door, and with the weak pace, she could be well-positioned to run her race. However, the upside may be limited compared to the progressive profile of Sea Presenting.
In summary, while Jasmine Bliss is the obvious contender, Sea Presenting looks the better value play given her scope for improvement and the potential for the favourite to underperform in a tactical scenario.
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