With just six runners declared, pace could be the key factor here, as there’s a strong chance this turns into a tactical affair. The early pace forecast suggests a weak gallop, which may disadvantage those reliant on a strong stamina test.

Strongest Contender: TELHIMLISTEN (3/1)

A dual-purpose performer with a patchy profile, TELHIMLISTEN has been in and out of form but appears to be in the right place at the right time here. His most recent success at Sedgefield came off a layoff when refitted with a hood, and he was backed that day as if defeat was out of the question. He responded well to pressure and, despite the heavy ground, travelled notably well before quickening three out. The manner in which he won suggested that there was more in the tank, and with Ross Chapman booked again, a follow-up looks highly plausible.

Given the likely lack of pace in this race, he may be best placed tactically, sitting just off what could be a slow lead, before striking late. His previous victories suggest that he can handle a tactical race well, and if they dawdle, he should have the superior turn of foot to capitalise.

His current price (3/1) seems about right based on his known form, but I wouldn’t be surprised if late market confidence saw him shorten further. He’s the one to beat.

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Market Overlooked: JEU D’OPALE (11/2)

If there’s a horse that could be underestimated by the market, it’s JEU D’OPALE, who returns to action after an astonishing 995-day absence. The lengthy layoff naturally raises concerns, but he’s now in the care of Venetia Williams, a trainer renowned for improving French imports.

His last seen form in France was fairly useful, winning a chase on good ground, and the fact that he’s been bought into a shrewd yard suggests that there’s a plan in place for his UK debut.

One angle that may be underappreciated is his profile in relation to pace dynamics. He’s likely to be held up, which isn’t ideal in a slow-run race, but if the race turns into a sprint from two out, he could still be a player given his previous speed over shorter trips. Given that we’re dealing with unexposed potential, and he’s been bought for a reason, it’s entirely possible that he’s well handicapped off 107. If there’s any market support close to the off, that would be a significant signal.

At 11/2, the market is probably factoring in the unknowns, but if he’s fit enough to do himself justice, he could be better than this grade.

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Final Thoughts

TELHIMLISTEN (3/1) looks the strongest contender, but JEU D’OPALE (11/2) has enough intrigue to make the market underestimating him a real possibility. If backing just one, Telhimlisten is the safer bet, but if there’s late support for Jeu D’Opale, he could well outrun his odds.

Wouldn’t be surprised to see Godot hit the frame either, as he’s consistent, but from a value perspective, Jeu D’Opale is the one the market might have got wrong.