This Class 3 Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase over 2m3½f looks set to be a tactical contest, with a weak pace forecast suggesting that those racing prominently could have a major edge.

Market Leader Looks the One to Beat

GETAWAY DRUMLEE (3/1) has a lot going for him here. Ben Pauling’s charge ran a career-best when runner-up at Fontwell last time, shaping like the best horse in the race before just losing focus in the closing stages. That effort came in a stronger contest than this, and if he travels with the same fluency, he should be difficult to pass.

His prominent running style is a key asset here, given the lack of early pace in this field. If Ben Jones can get him into a good rhythm early on, this race could play out perfectly for him.

At 3/1, he’s not an obvious price play, but he does look the most likely winner and is still fair value at his current odds.

The Skeltons Hold the Key to the Main Danger

If there’s one horse that the market is starting to catch on to, it’s THEFORMISMIGHTY (4/1), and it’s easy to see why. Dan Skelton’s Wetherby record is outstanding (29% strike rate since 2020), and Harry Skelton has an even stronger 32% win rate at the track.

He looked very impressive when winning at Southwell in December, and while his latest run at Newbury was disappointing, he was never in a rhythm that day and is the type to bounce back quickly. This slightly weaker race, coupled with a prominent ride, could see him return to form.

Given the stable’s record at Wetherby and the steady market support, he looks the main threat to the favourite.

One That Could Be Underestimated

At a bigger price, KILTA (5/1) may be the one the market is missing. While he isn’t the most obvious selection given the slow pace forecast, his third at Haydock last time was better than the bare result, as he stayed on strongly despite not being in a great position.

If the ground turns softer than advertised, that could play into his hands, and while he may need a stronger pace to be seen at his best, he could still run into a place if things fall right.

Verdict & Betting Strategy

🏇 Win Bet: GETAWAY DRUMLEE (3/1) – The most likely winner, well-suited by the weak pace.
🏇 Cover Bet: THEFORMISMIGHTY (4/1) – Skelton’s record at Wetherby makes him a strong alternative.
💰 Each-Way Value: KILTA (5/1) – Could be staying on late if things go his way.

📊 In-Play Note: STRINGTOYOURBOW (7/1) has traded at 50% or less of SP before being beaten in previous races, so if he shortens significantly in running, he may be a lay option late on.

With race tactics likely to be crucial, this is a race where backing a front-runner makes sense, and Getaway Drumlee ticks plenty of the right boxes.