This looks like a strongly run handicap, with several front-runners engaged, which could set the race up for a closer.

Strongest Contender: WONDER (7/4)

The market has latched onto Wonder, and rightly so. James Fanshawe’s 4yo was a decisive Wolverhampton winner in November before running a strong second over 1m6f last time, beaten by a subsequent winner. That race suggested stamina isn’t an issue, but a strongly run 1m4f could be even better suited to him.

He should get a perfect tow into the race, and Dylan Hogan’s 3lb claim offsets the 9-8 burden. Fanshawe has a 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton, and this progressive type is unexposed compared to many of his rivals. He looks the most likely winner.


—

Market Overlooked Runner: MET OFFICE (14/1)

While Wonder is the right favourite, the market may have underestimated Met Office.

John Butler’s C&D winner has better form than his recent figures suggest. His last run over 1m7f stretched him, and before that, he was staying on strongly over 1m4f in a stronger Kempton handicap. His Wolverhampton form is solid, and crucially, he will be suited by the strong pace here.

Course & Distance winner

Better suited by a well-run 1m4f than recent assignments

Lewis Edmunds has a strong record at Wolverhampton (50% place strike rate)

Trainer has a 12% strike rate at the track


At 14/1, he looks a great each-way play, especially if the pace collapses late on.


—

Betting Verdict

WIN: WONDER (7/4) – Progressive, should get the right race setup

EACH-WAY: MET OFFICE (14/1) – Stays well, C&D winner, likely to benefit from strong pace


With several front-runners engaged, I’d expect a strong gallop which will suit the closers, making Met Office a lively outsider in this contest.