A competitive Class 4 6f handicap at Chelmsford this evening sees a mix of in-form all-weather specialists and well-handicapped contenders, but one horse stands out as the most solid option, while another may be flying under the radar in the market.
The Main Contender – Rebel Empire (9/2)
Richard Hannon’s 4yo is proving to be a serious force on the all-weather, and his recent Chelmsford win underlines his suitability for this track. That success came over course and distance, where he was able to sustain a strong pace and keep on well to fend off late challengers.
The form of that race is working out nicely, with the runner-up running well in subsequent starts, and there’s every reason to think he still has more in hand off this mark (82). His draw in stall 8 is not ideal, but the pace map suggests he could slot in behind early leaders before kicking on inside the final furlong. With a strong jockey booking in Joe Leavy, who has been in fine form for the yard, he looks the one to beat at current odds of 9/2.
The Market Sleeper – Above (7/1)
The one horse that might be slipping under the radar is Above, who comes into this off a narrow defeat at Newcastle over 5f but is arguably better suited to this 6f trip. While he hasn’t won over course and distance, he has posted strong performances on the AW, and his sectional times indicate he still retains plenty of ability at this level.
Billy Loughnane takes the ride, which is a notable positive given his record riding for Robert Cowell, and if the race unfolds at an even tempo, his finishing kick could prove effective in the closing stages. He has been drifting in the market to 7/1, which could present a value opportunity if that trend continues.
Verdict
At the prices, Rebel Empire (9/2) looks to have the strongest profile for this contest and should prove difficult to peg back if getting a clear run. Above (7/1) may be overlooked in the market but has the tools to be competitive if the race sets up in his favour.
Recommended Bet: Rebel Empire – WIN (9/2)
Market Value Watch: Above – Watch for further drift
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