A cracking renewal of the Betfair Ascot Chase sees six runners line up for this Grade 1 contest over 2m5f. With heavy ground forecast, this could become a real test of stamina.

Strongest Contender: L’homme Presse (3/1)
A top-class chaser and a previous course-and-distance winner, L’homme Presse arrives off the back of a gutsy victory in the Cotswold Chase, where he outbattled Stage Star in testing conditions. His proven ability to handle a slog and his prominent running style are major positives, especially on heavy ground where forcing tactics often prevail. With Venetia Williams’ yard in strong form, he rates as the most likely winner.

Value Angle: Le Patron (12/1)
The market may be underestimating Le Patron, who was a decisive winner at Newbury in November, scoring by 7 lengths. Although he disappointed in the December Gold Cup, that run may not reflect his true ability. He is effective on soft ground and if he can return to his Newbury form, he has the potential to be involved at the finish. The current odds look generous.

Race Dynamics Insight:
Pic D’orhy (13/8) is the defending champion and a reliable front-runner. He returned from a break to land the 1965 Chase here with authority and is a danger if allowed an uncontested lead. However, the presence of L’homme Presse on or near the pace could ensure a strong gallop, which may set this up for a stayer.

Final Verdict:

Win Selection: L’homme Presse (3/1) – Top-class and well-suited to conditions.

Market Missed Opportunity: Le Patron (12/1) – Underrated with potential to bounce back.


A fascinating contest where stamina will be key, and L’homme Presse looks primed to land another major prize.