A small but intriguing field lines up for this extended three-mile novice chase, where tactics could prove decisive given the very weak pace forecast. With no natural front-runner confirmed, positioning and race tempo will be crucial, potentially favouring those who race prominently.

FAVORI DE CHAMPDOU sets the standard and brings the most solid credentials. Gordon Elliott’s ten-year-old has been plying his trade in deep staying handicap company and arrives here off two strong efforts in competitive fields, including a fine third in a Punchestown Listed handicap. Proven over marathon trips and on varying ground, he looks extremely well placed in a smaller field with less pace pressure. His consistent profile and proven stamina make him the one to beat.

GOLD CUP BAILLY could pose the main threat. Stuart Crawford’s runner returns to fences after a quiet spin over hurdles, and although below his best lately, he showed promise at Ayr earlier this year in a stronger race than this. He should appreciate this test back in calmer waters and may benefit most from the tactical scenario, especially if able to secure a handy sit in a slowly-run affair.

JUMPING JET is an enigmatic contender. A dual staying chase winner, including last season’s Ulster National, she has a deep stamina reservoir but tends to be ridden patiently—something that could leave her vulnerable in a race lacking pace. A 120-day absence is another concern, and while her ability is not in doubt, the setup may not favour her strengths today.

MARRONSTOWN appears outclassed on balance of form. A fair handicap chaser at best, he’s been pulled up or well beaten in stronger company and looks to have plenty to find against more proven rivals. With conditions and tactical shape also unlikely to suit, he may struggle to get involved.

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Verdict:

FAVORI DE CHAMPDOU has the clearest claims on form, profile, and trainer strength, and looks a worthy favourite. However, GOLD CUP BAILLY could be the value play, returning to a more suitable test and potentially better suited by the race dynamics. JUMPING JET, despite a decent official rating, may find things happening too quickly if there’s no early pace to bring her stamina into play.

1st – Favori De Champdou
2nd – Gold Cup Bailly
3rd – Jumping Jet