A competitive Class 4 handicap hurdle where a strong pace is forecast, potentially favouring those with stamina reserves and a patient ride. Conditions are officially Good (Good to Firm in places), and the pace setup could catch out some prominent racers.
Strongest Contender – THE LONG POINT
Emma Lavelle’s unexposed 6yo THE LONG POINT rates the clear top on adjusted private handicap figures. He shaped with promise on handicap debut at Kempton, pulling clear of the field with the winner and looks well-treated off just 110. With Harry Cobden booked and ground/trip conditions ideal, he’s the likeliest winner — though the market already has him firmly in its sights at around 9/4.
Main Danger – BREDON HILL
The standout value alternative is BREDON HILL, who sits just 1lb behind the favourite on adjusted ratings. This progressive type ran a solid race behind The Long Point at Kempton and should come on again after the run. He stays this trip well, handles good ground, and has plenty of upside at current odds of 13/2 on the exchange. A big run is expected, and he looks significantly overpriced against the favourite.
Each-Way Angle – NIGHT DUTY
For those looking beyond the top two, NIGHT DUTY appeals as a strong each-way play. He ranks third on adjusted figures, stays the trip well, and is likely to be staying on strongly late in a race that could collapse if the pace burns out the leaders. With Fergal O’Brien in solid form, he looks reliable and is priced attractively around 7/1, offering a solid place return if not quite good enough to win.
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