A modest staying handicap hurdle where pace looks likely to be weak, placing a premium on race position and tactical nous. The market is understandably focused on a pair of progressive types from top yards, but value still lurks beneath the surface.
🔝 Top Contender – SKIFFLE MAN
Rated highest on our adjusted private handicap figures (126), Dan Skelton’s lightly-raced 6yo looks poised to go one better after his excellent second on handicap debut at Southwell. Trip and ground both look ideal, and his trainer/jockey combo scores maximum points. A progressive profile in a weak race makes him the standout on figures.
⚠️ Main Danger – JUKEBOX FURY
Nicky Henderson’s improving type is next-best on our figures (112), albeit some way behind Skiffle Man. His recent Doncaster win showed grit, but he was green and still learning. With the pace potentially against him (best when getting a tow), he’s a clear danger but may be slightly overbet at current odds of 2/1 – value lies elsewhere.
💰 Each-Way Angle – PADDY O’MAHLER
Well suited to conditions and with an adjusted rating of 110, he rates the best each-way option at 13/2. A prior course win on heavy marks him out as a stayer with upside in this grade. He’s tactically versatile and could benefit from a prominent sit in a slowly-run race.
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