Sunday’s feature at Naas, the Ron McKnight Memorial Madrid Handicap, brings together a competitive field of three-year-olds over 7 furlongs on yielding to soft ground. With some promising types stepping into deeper waters, speed figure analysis offers a different lens through which to assess each contender’s potential.
Top Speed Performers – Raw Numbers and Consistency
Kodilicious stands out immediately with the highest average and maximum speed figures. His top figure of 84.28 is unmatched in this field, and he boasts an average rating of 76.84, indicating both class and consistency. His last four runs show a solid recent trend, peaking with that strong 84 last time out. He’s been particularly reliable at maintaining figures in the mid-70s, which places him a notch above most of this field from a raw pace angle.
East Hampton is more of a wild card — his peak rating of 82.59 puts him right in the mix, but his average of 73.02 reflects a slightly more erratic profile. His speed figures vary dramatically, with two solid performances but a few concerning dips (notably one at 30). He’s proven capable of producing a big number, but whether he can repeat it is the big question.
Manhattan Chute comes next in line, producing a high of 79.84, and while his overall average (70.26) is slightly below the top two, his figures have been moving in the right direction. His last run (78.05) was a step forward, and that upward trend suggests he could be peaking at the right time.
Trip and Track Suitability – Who’s Made for 7f at Naas?
While most of these are still finding their ideal conditions, Kodilicious has shown he handles a solid gallop and softish underfoot conditions — his highest numbers have come when there’s cut in the ground. That bodes well here, and his proven stamina for 7f adds weight to his claims.
Manhattan Chute has also recorded his best efforts over similar trips and looks to have the tactical speed to cope with a likely strong early pace. His ability to accelerate off a gallop suggests he could be well suited to Naas’s testing 7f configuration.
East Hampton, despite that big figure in his profile, hasn’t been as consistent at this trip or surface. His volatility raises doubts about whether he can reproduce that standout number in a field this deep.
Others to Note
Viking Invasion is steady rather than spectacular, hovering in the low 70s, but lacks the kind of explosive figure needed to win a race of this calibre.
Monotone posted a respectable 75.95 at peak, but his profile is patchy, and he may struggle to repeat it in this deeper field.
Wizard Of Odds and Sir Jeremy both have mid-60s profiles with a couple of promising spikes, but their best figures have come under different race conditions and may not translate to today’s test.
Upward Trajectories – Who’s Peaking Now?
Manhattan Chute is the clearest improver, with a steady rise in his speed figures over his last few starts — a good sign that he’s coming to hand.
Kodilicious looks rock solid and consistent, with no major red flags and a solid top figure.
Sir Jeremy spiked to a career-best 79.07 two starts ago, but consistency is lacking — he’s one to watch if returning to that level.
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Speed Figure Shortlist – Top 3 Contenders
1. Kodilicious – Best speed profile in the field; consistent and adaptable. Top figure (84.28) is the benchmark.
2. Manhattan Chute – Improving steadily; upward form trend suggests he could post a new peak here.
3. East Hampton – Big number in the book (82.59), but needs to prove it wasn’t a one-off.
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Final Thoughts
From a pure speed figure perspective, Kodilicious holds the most convincing profile – consistent high-end figures, proven conditions, and no real weakness in the numbers. Manhattan Chute brings the momentum angle, and East Hampton, though inconsistent, adds intrigue with his peak performance potential.
Speed Figures Spotlight: 3:48 Naas – Ron McKnight Memorial Madrid Handicap
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