Monday’s second division of the BetMGM Handicap at Lingfield (3:47) brings together a competitive Class 6 contest over 7 furlongs on the Polytrack, and from a speed figure perspective, a clear picture emerges of where the strength lies.
This is a race where trip and track suitability are just as important as raw speed, and the data from HorseRaceBase gives us powerful insights into which runners bring the most reliable profiles for this assignment.
Mashaan – Peak Trip/Track Profile
At the top of the speed ratings table is Mashaan, whose figures stand out across the board. With a highest average trip speed (63.5) and the best average at Lingfield (65.1), he clearly thrives under today’s conditions. His consistency is also notable — three of his last four runs have produced figures over 60, and his maximum career speed of 81.02 shows he has more than enough raw pace to dominate at this level.
Simply put, Mashaan is the strongest contender on speed metrics, combining form, suitability, and consistency — a powerful trio in this grade.
Neptune Legend – Capable But Slightly Volatile
The market favourite Neptune Legend also ranks highly. He delivered a standout performance two runs ago with a 68.5 figure, and both his trip and track speed averages are solid (61.5 and 61.8 respectively). However, his latest dip (54.3) raises a question — was that an off day, or a sign of regression? If he bounces back to his recent best, he’s certainly a major threat, but the price may not reflect the mild inconsistency in his profile.
Porfin – The Sleeper with Speed
Lurking under the radar is Porfin, who boasts the highest career speed figure in the field (82.8) and excellent numbers at both trip (avg 62.9) and track (avg 62.0). While his recent form is up and down, his ceiling is clearly high. At a double-figure price, he represents a classic speed-based value angle — a horse with proven suitability who just needs to recapture his top form to feature.
Other Notables
Ravensbourne has a sharp recent figure (69.9 in L2), but his overall profile is erratic and his trip/track data is weaker.
Galel produced a standout single run but has little to show in terms of reliable speed at 7f or Lingfield.
Comedian Leader and Bear To Dream offer decent consistency, but lack the top-end speed of the leading trio.
Speed Verdict
From a pure speed figure standpoint, this race looks tailor-made for Mashaan, who ticks every box. Neptune Legend brings a strong challenge but needs to prove consistency, while Porfin rates the best value on raw speed potential.
Speed-Based Shortlist:
1. Mashaan – Rock-solid profile, ideal conditions.
2. Neptune Legend – Classy but volatile.
3. Porfin – Massive upside at a price.
3:47 Lingfield (Div 2, Class 6 Handicap, 7f)
Get updates
From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.
Subscribe
Leave a comment