Race Type: 0-65 | Surface: Standard to Slow | Age: 4yo+
Field Size: 11 runners | Pace: Likely solid early pace from wide stalls

⚡ Speed Figure Shortlist: Where’s the Burn?

Based on HorseRaceBase speed ratings, track/trip suitability, and recent trends, here are the three strongest contenders from a pure speed perspective:

🥇 Four Adaay (Best Price: 4/1)

• Top last-time-out figure: 73.61 (highest in field)
• Elite Kempton profile: Avg 67.2 / Max 73.61
• Strong at 6f: Avg 65.74 / Max 81.32
• 🔥 Form improving again and now gets Oisin Murphy booked
• ✅ Best combo of recent form, course suitability, and consistency

📉 Value? — 4/1 is fair but not huge, given the speed edge and top jockey. Would want 9/2+ ideally, but she’s still a clear contender.

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🥈 Port Erin (Best Price: 10/1)

• Last 4 figs: 64.82 / 60.27 / 69.3 / 69.47 – super consistent
• Kempton max: 74.56 – second only to Four Adaay
• Drawn well in 2 with Hollie Doyle aboard
• 📈 Very reliable speed profile across different conditions

📉 Value? — YES. At 10/1, Port Erin rates the best value based on consistent speed, strong track record, and solid jockey booking.

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🥉 First Company (Best Price: 8/1)

• Recent figs: 69.05 / 57.93 / 69.05 / 70.25 – consistent
• Kempton average: 61.29 | Max: 69.1
• Suits this track/trip combo well
• ✅ Often underestimated and has run to winning figures multiple times

📉 Value? — YES. 8/1 underestimates his Kempton form and consistency. Good EW angle.