This is a deep, strongly-run handicap with 15 runners and a clear pace angle. The early map suggests a very strong gallop with multiple pace pressers — Rightsotom, American Sniper, and Typhoon Flyer all likely to ensure no hiding places. The setup screams for a closer or stalker with stamina and class, and some familiar Festival faces return to pick up the pieces.
🔥 Strongest Contender – East India Express (Nicky Henderson)
✅ TimeWise Top-Rated
✅ Proven Cheltenham form
✅ Fared best of front-runners in the Martin Pipe at the Festival
✅ Returns to slightly shorter trip — ideal
🧠 Timeform says: “Resumed from an 11-week break still in top form… faring best of those ridden prominently in a big field.”
💡 Who’s Trying? Absolutely — this is a clear Go Day. Second run back, Henderson targets spring handicaps like a laser, and this horse is well-handicapped off 129 if you rate that Martin Pipe 7th literally. Freddie Gordon takes a useful 3lbs off too.
⚠️ Main Dangers
🟡 Typhoon Flyer (Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole)
- On fire at Haydock last time, sauntered home by 15L off 114 — now up to 120
- Well-related and has more to offer over this trip
- 💡 Go Day? Yes — lightly raced improver from a yard who won this in 2019 with Le Patriote
- Will be on the speed — can he control the race or get burnt up?
🧠 Timeform: “Quickened clear 2 out, jumping accurately…” — that kind of efficiency can carry him deep.
🟡 Spirits Bay (Nigel Twiston-Davies)
- Hold-up closer who wants a strong pace — he gets it here
- Eyecatcher in the Imperial Cup, traded short but didn’t get the breaks
- Timeform points out he “traded at less than half BSP when beaten last time” — tells a story
💡 Today could be the day if he gets rhythm; mark of 124 still fair.
🟡 Ballytechno (James Owen)
- Solid profile – top sectionals when 3rd at Kelso; best of closers
- Has been brought along quietly this season and connections are flying
- Watch jockey booking too – Callum Pritchard takes 5 off, keeping him well in
💡 Trying? Looks a setup job – well held up last run, now back in trip with cover expected.
🟡 Royale Margaux (Tom Symonds)
- Stays strongly, won a Listed hurdle in February
- Weak finisher in stiffer tests, but may plug on into a place here if others collapse
🧠 Timeform: “Travels strongly held up, but has finished weakly.”
💡 Might place but not a win threat unless race falls apart.
🚩 Spotting the “Handbrake Jobs”
- Wilde About Oscar – 66/1, long layoffs, PUs, no signs of life. Safe to say, not today.
- Whatsupwithyou / Disco Annie – Exposed types, better in smaller/softer fields.
- Lossiemouth – On the downgrade and might be out for a spin again before summer targets.
🧠 Trainer Trends
- 🏆 Dan Skelton – Won this twice in 4 years (Doyen Quest ’24, Proschema ’21)
- 🏆 Dr Richard Newland – Won this in 2019, brings Typhoon Flyer ready to roll
- 📈 James Owen – Hot trainer with a plot horse in Ballytechno
- 🔍 Nicky Henderson – Knows how to prime one for Festival aftershocks — East India Express is no afterthought
💥 Verdict – TimeWise Summary
🧲 Strongest Contender:
- East India Express – solid prep, proven course form, race sets up beautifully
🔥 Main Dangers:
- Typhoon Flyer – can dominate if not softened up
- Spirits Bay – closer with perfect setup
- Ballytechno – creeping up the ranks, strong late work expected
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