🔍 Race Preview: Who’s Hot, Who’s Plotting?

🏆 Strongest Contender: PARTY BEAR (K. R. Burke)

This improving filly is 2/2 in handicaps since the step up to 7f, and she looks the real deal. She travels strongly, has been produced confidently under 2f out, and quickens with authority—especially notable in her Southwell win last time (won by 2L, going away).

🗣️ Timeform: “Produced to lead under 2f out having again travelled well. Will go on improving.”

She’s well drawn in 10, avoids the inside graveyard stalls, and the strong pace sets up perfectly for her efficient late kick. The 6lb penalty still leaves her looking ahead of her mark (OR 74). She’s here for the hat-trick—and if this is a “go day,” she’s the one to beat.

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⚠️ Main Dangers

⭐ LADY MANZOR (Amanda Perrett)

Lightly raced and unlucky last time at Kempton—poorly placed and still ran on for 3rd behind a well-ridden winner. Has already beaten Naughty Eyes by 3¼L and gets 1lb better off. The wide draw (14) isn’t ideal on paper, but she races handy, and could stay out of trouble early if she breaks smart.

🧠 Timeform: “Not seen to best effect when third… left poorly placed.”

Amanda Perrett has a solid AW record with her sprinter/milers, and this might be a deliberate Vase target. Looks one of the few on an upward curve with the profile of a filly who hasn’t hit her ceiling.

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🧲 HANDLE WITH CARE (Marco Botti)

Marco Botti is quietly flying, and this filly is 2 wins from her last 4. She beat Toughly (solid yardstick) at Lingfield last month, and the 3rd to Orchid last time reads well—kept on without getting the run she wanted.

The trainer has a good record in AW finals week, often priming one or two without fanfare. Strong staying 6f form suggests 7f in a strongly run race is ideal. One of the best drawn (stall 13) for a mid-pack stalker.

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🔥 Other Live Ones (If You’re Looking Deep)

SCATTERING LIGHT (Marco Botti again)

Not given a hard time last start at Wolverhampton and was denied a run late. She’s lightly raced, a winner over 6f, and the step back to 7f suits. Same trainer as Handle With Care—he’s firing bullets today.

GET JIGGY WITH IT (George Boughey)

New to Boughey and has improved steadily. Ran okay behind Invincible Speed last time and goes back up in trip here. Has been ridden quietly lately, so today’s strong pace and a good draw in 2 could see her staying on into the frame if they go too quick.

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🎯 Who’s Trying? Who’s Not?

💼 Possible ‘Go Days’

• PARTY BEAR: Has already been given the green light twice this season. Same rider (Sam James) sticks. No reason to think the handbrake is on—hat-trick bid, and this looks a target.
• LADY MANZOR: Already a CD winner, well-treated on Kempton form, Amanda Perrett’s only runner today. Looks a setup job.
• HANDLE WITH CARE: Botti sends two, both with legit profiles. The win in March and credible 3rd latest scream “primed for Vase.”

🧯 Handbrake Jobs / Prep Runs?

• EAZY ON THE EYE: Lightly raced, but no support last time, and dropped out after leading. May be being taught to settle. Looked more like a learning run.
• NAUGHTY EYES: Beaten convincingly by Lady Manzor twice. Big drift last time. May need more time/maybe not progressing.
• ALCAZAN: Seven-year-old, off the boil, probably here for the day out. Better turf form, class ceiling exposed.

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📌 Trainer Note: Any History in the Vase?

This is only the third running of this Fillies’ Vase, but notably:

• Amanda Perrett and Marco Botti have targeted All-Weather Finals Day in previous seasons, particularly in fillies’ races.
• Botti’s a 2-time placer in fillies’ Vase-type events in the last 3 years and often runs multiple live ones.
• No standout past winner trainers, but it’s clearly a day for the shrewdies—look for single stable runners from smaller yards (like Perrett/Goldie).

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🧮 TimeWise Summary

• 🏆 Top Contender: Party Bear – improving fast, set up to strike again.
• ⚠️ Dangers: Lady Manzor (value) and Handle With Care (solid each-way).
• 👀 Savers: Scattering Light and Get Jiggy With It – could land in the mix if things fall right.

If you’re betting: Back Party Bear to win, with each-way cover on Lady Manzor and Handle With Care. Small saver tricast might just spark.