This competitive fillies’ handicap over the extended mile at Southwell has attracted a field of nine, with several lightly raced improvers clashing against more established all-weather performers. The pace map suggests an even gallop, and on this track, racing prominently can be an advantage. There is no notable draw bias over this distance on the Tapeta surface.
Leading Contenders
MORROPHORE (Timeform Adjusted 93p)
A promising filly for John and Thady Gosden, Morrophore won her novice at Wolverhampton with something to spare on her final start last October, earning a ‘p’ symbol to indicate she remains capable of better. Her pedigree (by Kingman out of a US Grade 3 winner) is strong, and she is in top hands. However, with 185 days off the track and a 5lb claimer engaged, it would be prudent to monitor the market closely for signs of weakness pre-race.
BINTJEDDAH (96, 3lb clear on Timeform Adjusted)
Bintjeddah holds the highest Timeform adjusted rating and has an attractive profile, having improved steadily through last season. She was a winner over this trip and shape suits this track, with the pace forecast expected to suit her prominent style. William Haggas has a positive record with horses after a lay-off, and this filly is well worth serious consideration if strong in the betting.
WAARDAH (86p)
Waardah represents Owen Burrows, a trainer with an excellent record when sending just a single runner to a meeting, and one who profits to a level stake after a break. Waardah impressed on debut at Sandown before finding listed company a little too demanding. She too is returning after a 176-day absence and carries the ‘p’ symbol, suggesting further improvement is expected. Another for whom market strength would be a positive signal.
Main Dangers
THE TERMINUS (86p)
The Terminus was fast-tracked to listed company following her maiden win last season, and while she was green and not at her best in that tougher assignment, the booking of Oisin Murphy for her reappearance is a notable plus. Ralph Beckett’s fillies often progress well with racing, and she’s one of the more interesting alternatives to the leading trio.
LUNAR ECLIPSE (94)
From the in-form Kevin Ryan yard, Lunar Eclipse showed fair form at three when third in a Newmarket handicap. Her final start came in a listed race, where she wasn’t disgraced. She could be sharper now and has scope to step forward. It’s worth noting she carries a higher Timeform adjusted rating than Waardah and The Terminus, albeit without the ‘p’ symbol.
Others to Note
- MY MARGIE and COPPULL HALL LANE are consistent fillies with handicap wins to their names but look vulnerable against less exposed rivals.
- VIENNOISE and GAIETY MUSICAL have recent runs but would need to find significant improvement to feature.
Trends and Historical Context
This is the first running of the Golf and Gallop Fillies’ Handicap at Southwell in its current format, so there are no previous winners to note. However, trainer patterns are insightful:
- William Haggas and Owen Burrows both have strong records with runners after a break on the all-weather.
- John and Thady Gosden runners should always command respect at this level, but their runners sometimes improve for the outing early in the season.
Summary
Bintjeddah boasts the strongest Timeform adjusted figure and has an ideal setup regarding pace and track suitability. If fit enough after a break, she is a major player.
Morrophore has plenty of untapped potential but is coming off a long absence and has a 5lb claimer aboard, so a watch on the market is advised for any signs of weakness.
Waardah and The Terminus are both lightly raced and progressive, representing yards that do well with their fillies, and could pose significant threats if fit.
Given the shape of the race, those without a recent run (notably Morrophore, Waardah, The Terminus, Lunar Eclipse) should be monitored closely in the betting for market moves.
Leave a comment