15:25 Ascot – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Italy Handicap (Class 3) | 6f | 4yo+ | £10,800 | Good to Firm (Good in places) | 10 runners

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Race Overview

This is a Class 3 sprint handicap over Ascot’s straight six furlongs, open to 4yo and up rated up to 95. The going is officially Good to Firm (Good in Places), and the pace forecast is very weak, suggesting that horses who race prominently could be at a tactical advantage. Historically, high draws can be favoured over this trip when the ground is quick.




Strongest Contenders

Akkadian Thunder (TFR 113)
Trained by David O’Meara, this 5yo shaped better than the result on seasonal return when short of room in the closing stages at Leicester. A dual winner in 2024, he’s effective from 6f to 1m and goes well on quick ground. Now second-up, he appears to be on a fair mark and is one to note closely.

Dorney Lake (TFR 112)
Michael Bell’s runner is on a roll, winning both starts this season including a 6f Doncaster event last time, getting the better of Kodi Lion late on. He’s now 2lb worse off with that rival and may find the predicted slow pace a slight tactical concern as he’s often held up. Still, he remains unexposed at this level and is progressing.

Kodi Lion (TFR 111)
Returned to form when narrowly denied by Dorney Lake at Doncaster, showing plenty of speed and travelling strongly. He may be better positioned in this race given the likely tactical scenario. A course-and-distance winner in 2024 and unexposed at sprint trips, he looks well set to go close again.




Main Dangers

Warm Spell (TFR 109)
Shaped very well when runner-up on seasonal return at Doncaster in a big-field handicap, travelling notably strongly. He’s lightly raced for a 4yo and that was his first run since moving to Mark Loughnane. If building on that, he enters calculations off a fair mark.

Photosynthesis (TFR 109)
Shaped with encouragement when third at Newbury on return from a 14-month absence. Previously a dual winner at Lingfield, he remains relatively unexposed and should improve for that reappearance. One to watch in the market, especially as he’s drawn middle to high.

Rohaan (TFR 110)
Formerly a Group-class performer and now operating in handicaps off 84. Returned to form with a neck second at Southwell last time. Often slowly away and best when there’s a strong pace to aim at—conditions that may not be met here—but still retains a touch of class.




Interesting Outsiders

Woolhampton (TFR 108)
A four-time winner in 2024 including twice over this course and distance. Looked rusty when reappearing in a listed race at Bath and may strip fitter now. Has form when racing prominently and could be well drawn. Rod Millman, her trainer, has a good record at Ascot and trained last year’s winner of this corresponding race.

Over The Blues (TFR 105)
Shaped better than the bare result on reappearance when denied a run in a listed Bath event. Now back in handicap company, he could be more competitive and is still unexposed, especially if he breaks smartly.

Get It (TFR 104)
Returned from a Bahrain campaign where he ran with credit. Front-runner who might be suited to a race lacking early speed. Trainer George Baker has a profitable record when sending a single runner to a flat meeting.




Noteworthy Trends and Trainer Pointers

Rod Millman, trainer of Woolhampton, won this race last year with Glenfinnan.

High draws have held an edge over 6f on quick ground at Ascot.

Horses with a recent run have held a slight edge; those returning after 60+ days (e.g. Over The Blues, Eminency) should be monitored for market support or signs of weakness.

The last five renewals of this race have been won by 4–5yos rated in the low 90s.





Each-Way Angles (10 runners)

With 10 declared, each-way players may consider:

Photosynthesis – shaped well off a layoff and drawn well.

Woolhampton – back at her favourite track and may be better for recent outing.

Warm Spell – well-handicapped if he backs up that return effort.


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