Conditions: Fillies & Mares, 3yo+ | 7f 53y | €36,000 | Turf | Going: Good (Good to Firm in places)
Field Size: 8 runners
Timeform Race Standard (TRW): Average of 114

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Pace and Draw Angles

• Pace Forecast: Even
• Hold-up horses are not typically favoured at this trip at Leopardstown, particularly in races with steady or moderate gallops.
• BELLA ISABELLA is expected to race handier than FIERY LUCY, which may work in her favour.
• There is no significant draw bias over this distance on current ground.

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Strongest Contenders

1. VESPERTILIO (TFR 113)

Trainer: W. McCreery | Jockey: D. B. McMonagle | Draw: 8

• Group 1 placed in France last year and returned with a promising 2nd in a listed race at Cork (to Lady With The Lamp, now a dual winner).
• Proven over this trip, race-fit and consistent at pattern level.
• Rating: 9/10

2. FIERY LUCY (TFR 114)

Trainer: G. P. Cromwell | Jockey: G. F. Carroll | Draw: 7

• Fourth in the G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf and consistent throughout 2024.
• Absent 191 days, so market signals are important. Strong on raw ratings.
• Rating: 8.5/10

3. CHANTEZ (TFR 105)

Trainer: G. M. Lyons | Jockey: J. J. G. Ryan | Draw: 6

• Course and distance winner on latest start; progressive profile for an in-form yard.
• Lyons has won 3 of the last 10 runnings (2023, 2024, 2025).
• Open to further improvement and tactically versatile.
• Rating: 7.5/10

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Main Dangers

4. SWEET CHARIOT (TFR 99)

Trainer: Aidan O’Brien | Jockey: W. M. Lordan | Draw: 2

• Breeders’ Cup fourth in 2024; reappeared with a fair second last week and represents a top yard with 3 past wins in this race.
• Comes here fit, but may need further.
• Rating: 7/10

5. BELLA ISABELLA (TFR 89p)

Trainer: D. K. Weld | Jockey: C. D. Hayes | Draw: 1

• Well-bred and improving, showed speed and determination to win her maiden.
• May be better placed tactically than some and is open to progress.
• Rating: 6.5/10

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Interesting Outsiders

6. VERA’S SECRET (TFR 104)

Trainer: J. J. Feane | Jockey: Seamie Heffernan | Draw: 4

• C&D winner and ran well in Group 3 Concorde Stakes in 2024.
• 217-day break, so market support would be encouraging.
• Rating: 6/10

7. EASY MOVER (TFR 98)

Trainer: G. M. Lyons | Jockey: G. M. Ryan | Draw: 5

• Listed winner in 2024 but ran poorly last week (upset in stalls, forced wide).
• Not dismissed if bouncing back. Yard in form.
• Rating: 6/10

8. ELINOR DASHWOOD (TFR 103)

Trainer: A. McGuinness | Jockey: Adam Caffrey | Draw: 3

• Has a previous win over C&D but well held on return (17 days ago) and looks exposed at this level.
• May come forward for the run.
• Rating: 5.5/10

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Trends and Notes

• Trainer Trends:
  • G. M. Lyons has won 3 of the last 5 renewals – saddles CHANTEZ and EASY MOVER.
  • Aidan O’Brien also has 3 wins in last 10 – saddles SWEET CHARIOT.
• Timeform Comments:
  • VESPERTILIO and FIERY LUCY top the Timeform ratings and are both proven in Group 1 company.
  • CHANTEZ is considered the third best by Timeform’s analyst verdict.
• Layoff Watch:
  • Runners with 90+ day layoffs: FIERY LUCY (191d), VERA’S SECRET (217d), EASY MOVER (218d), SWEET CHARIOT (191d)
  • Market activity should be monitored carefully.

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Summary Table

Horse	TFR	Layoff	Trainer	Key Note	Rating/10
Vespertilio	113	35d	W. McCreery	Group 1 placed, race-fit	9
Fiery Lucy	114	191d	G. P. Cromwell	Classy, but off 6 months	8.5
Chantez	105	6d	G. M. Lyons	Course winner, improving	7.5
Sweet Chariot	99	6d	Aidan O’Brien	BC form, could build on return	7
Bella Isabella	89p	35d	D. K. Weld	Improving, well placed tactically	6.5
Vera’s Secret	104	217d	J. J. Feane	Exposed but capable if fit	6
Easy Mover	98	6d	G. M. Lyons	Poor LTO but excuses	6
Elinor Dashwood	103	17d	A. McGuinness	Exposed, likely place at best	5.5

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Each-Way Angle

• With 8 runners, there is an each-way angle. CHANTEZ looks a viable each-way option with race fitness, track form, and trainer trends in her favour.