Race Summary
An open 0–100 staying handicap hurdle where several runners have shown recent ability at this level. The field includes a course and distance winner, some unexposed types, and a few returning from layoffs. With no stand-out pace-setter, prominent racers may be advantaged. Recent winners of this race have typically run within the last six weeks, and those with proven stamina are often favoured at this trip.
Strongest Contenders
Westtara
- Trainer: Diana Grissell
- Timeform Adjusted Rating: 102
- Profile: Gained a narrow win over course and distance in April. Remains on a workable mark and comes into this in form.
- Tactics: Usually races prominently
- Verdict: Strong contender based on recent form and suitability to track and trip.
- Rating: 8/10
Proper Twelve (IRE)
- Trainer: Anthony Honeyball
- Timeform Adjusted Rating: 105
- Profile: Placed on last two starts and should appreciate race conditions. Runs off a workable mark and the stable has a 21% strike rate in summer months.
- Tactics: Front-runner
- Verdict: Consistent, and pace angle should suit. Must be respected for in-form yard.
- Rating: 7.5/10
I’m Your Buckaroo
- Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
- Timeform Adjusted Rating: 103
- Profile: Has shown solid form over shorter and shaped as if this trip would suit. Unexposed at the distance.
- Tactics: Races midfield or just behind leaders
- Verdict: Unproven over trip but has potential to improve.
- Rating: 7/10
Main Dangers
Forlano (FR)
- Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
- Timeform Adjusted Rating: 90p
- Profile: Lightly raced with a ‘p’ symbol, indicating potential to improve. Well beaten last time but market confidence was notable.
- Tactics: Midfield
- Verdict: Second run in handicaps; could improve but needs to show more.
- Rating: 6.5/10
Flintara
- Trainer: Richard Bandey
- Timeform Adjusted Rating: not available
- Profile: Has run well off similar marks but questionable attitude (flashed tail last time).
- Tactics: Usually held up or mid-div
- Verdict: Capable on a going day, but not reliable.
- Rating: 6/10
Interesting Outsiders
Playaway Girl (IRE)
- Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
- Timeform Adjusted Rating: 91
- Profile: Four-year-old filly running from 4lb out of the handicap. May improve over this trip based on pedigree.
- Tactics: Held up
- Verdict: Unexposed and worth monitoring in the market.
- Rating: 6/10
Ted’s Friend (IRE)
- Trainer: Fergal O’Brien
- Timeform Adjusted Rating: 96+
- Profile: Consistent but below best recently. May need to bounce back.
- Tactics: Can race prominently
- Verdict: On a good mark if returning to earlier form.
- Rating: 6/10
Others
Steel Dancer
- Trainer: Anthony Honeyball
- Timeform Adjusted Rating: 101
- Verdict: Has shown limited form and may not be well suited by pace setup.
- Rating: 4.5/10
Flemen’s Tipple (IRE)
- Trainer: Andy Irvine
- Timeform Adjusted Rating: not available
- Verdict: Out of sorts and bled last time; best watched.
- Rating: 4/10
Captain Howse (IRE)
- Trainer: Karen Jewell
- Timeform Adjusted Rating: not rated
- Verdict: Returns from a 384-day layoff and 7lb out of the handicap.
- Rating: 3/10
Trends and Trainer Notes
- Anthony Honeyball (Proper Twelve, Steel Dancer): 21% summer strike rate
- Recent C&D winner: Westtara
- Layoff Watch (90+ days):
- Captain Howse (384 days)
- Playaway Girl (62 days) – marginal
- Flintara (24 days) – borderline but recent enough
- Watch market for drifts or late support for these types
Summary Rankings and Tissue
| Horse | Rating | Tissue Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Westtara | 8/10 | 4/1 |
| Proper Twelve | 7.5/10 | 9/2 |
| I’m Your Buckaroo | 7/10 | 5/1 |
| Forlano | 6.5/10 | 7/1 |
| Ted’s Friend | 6/10 | 8/1 |
| Playaway Girl | 6/10 | 10/1 |
| Flintara | 6/10 | 10/1 |
| Steel Dancer | 4.5/10 | 16/1 |
| Flemen’s Tipple | 4/10 | 20/1 |
| Captain Howse | 3/10 | 40/1 |
Conclusion:
Westtara rates the most solid option having won over course and distance last month and still appearing well handicapped. Proper Twelve and I’m Your Buckaroo are closely matched on recent form and tactics. Forlano, with more to come, is one to monitor in the market. Each-way play is viable with 11 runners declared.
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