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Race Conditions & Setup

A mares-only maiden hurdle over an extended 2m6f trip at Killarney, run on a good-to-yielding surface. The early pace forecast is strong, which could place emphasis on stamina and track position late on. Runners stepping up from 2m maiden hurdles and bumpers will be tested for staying ability.

No draw bias in effect, but positioning may be key given the stiff finish at Killarney.

The pace setup is flagged as a negative for Getaways Charm, who may be taken off her feet, and a positive for Catchabird, who has shaped like a stayer in previous runs over shorter.

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Top Contenders

1. Affinity Rock (TFR 122, Last Run 77 days ago)

Trainer: Cian Michael Collins
Promising second at Punchestown in a mares’ maiden behind Joshua’s Daylami. Pulled clear of the field with the winner. Second foal of a dual point-winning mare. That race was run in testing conditions, but the effort suggested she’ll stay this longer trip.

Score: 8.5/10
Strong contender with solid adjusted figure and fitness could be okay despite 77-day layoff.

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2. Time In A Bottle (TFR 121p)

Trainer: Henry de Bromhead
Debut fourth at Cork was encouraging given she was held up off a modest pace. Her pedigree (half-sister to Embassy Gardens) suggests stamina, and she was placed in multiple bumpers. She remains open to progress and shaped well behind a useful type last time.

Score: 8/10
Open to improvement and represents a strong yard. Watch for support given second run back from layoff.

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3. Catchabird (TFR 124)

Trainer: Sarah Joanna Connell
Recent novice handicap fourth at Fairyhouse reads well. She’s a stoutly-bred mare stepping up from 2m and shaping like a stayer. Has been campaigned in good races and improved steadily.

Score: 7.5/10
One of the most experienced, and the step up in trip looks a positive. Big pace could suit.

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4. Sugar Cookie (TFR 108p)

Trainer: Willie Mullins
Ran well in a Leopardstown bumper in 2023 but was off two years prior to her hurdles debut in April. Shaped better than fifth suggests and retains potential. A full season with Mullins warrants respect, but she has something to prove.

Score: 7/10
Trainer form and rider booking a plus, but off 38 days after long layoff—market will guide.

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5. Getaways Charm (TFR 123p)

Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Placed both starts in maiden hurdles. Third in a strong-field maiden at Naas, then below that form at Downpatrick. Pedigree suggests she’ll stay, but the predicted pace might catch her out.

Score: 6.5/10
Has a fair figure but possibly vulnerable to a stronger finisher today.

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Main Dangers

6. Former Flame (TFR 117)

Trainer: Liz Doyle
Placed in her most recent start at Clonmel and lightly raced over hurdles. Her form in bumpers was modest, but she shaped like one who could stay 2m6f+.

Score: 6/10
Could run into a place again, though others have stronger profiles.

7. Paudie’s Wings (TFR 110)

Trainer: David Harry Kelly
Third at Fairyhouse back in November was her best. Since then, she’s been modest, though the step back up in trip could help.

Score: 5/10
Outsider with place possibilities if reverting to best.

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Interesting Outsiders

8. Kilfera (TFR 108)

Trainer: Margaret Mullins
Better than bare result at Bellewstown last time, but has to prove herself at this trip. Related to stayers, so not dismissed out of hand.

Score: 5/10
Some upside on breeding, though profile patchy.

9. Regards To Rose (TFR 111)

Trainer: Eoin McCarthy
Best form came at Listowel (third in a fair maiden). Might benefit from longer trip but pulled up or tailed off since.

Score: 4.5/10
Hard to fancy on balance, though slight stamina angle.

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10. Whatchukno (TFR -)

Trainer: T. J. Nagle
Form is poor in bumpers and hurdles. Long odds likely.

Score: 2/10
No compelling reason to expect improvement.

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Non-runner

Stylish Composer – Withdrawn

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Trends & Trainer Watch

• No trainer has dominated this race, though W.P. Mullins (Sugar Cookie) has a 25% strike rate with summer hurdlers.
• This race is regularly won by mares aged 5 or 6 stepping up in trip after shaping well in defeat previously.
• Those with bumper experience tend to go well.

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Pace & Position Map Summary

• Front: Affinity Rock, Getaways Charm
• Prominent: Time In A Bottle, Catchabird
• Midfield: Sugar Cookie, Former Flame
• Held up: Paudie’s Wings, Kilfera, Regards To Rose

Catchabird and Time In A Bottle could be best suited if this turns into a stamina test, as forecast.

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Each-Way Angle

With 11 runners declared, each-way terms (1/5 1-2-3) apply.

• Catchabird and Time In A Bottle appeal for each-way value at mid-range prices.
• Former Flame could be a back-end minor placer.

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Tissue Estimate

Horse	Odds
Affinity Rock	3/1
Time In A Bottle	7/2
Catchabird	9/2
Sugar Cookie	6/1
Getaways Charm	13/2
Former Flame	10/1
Paudie’s Wings	16/1
Kilfera	20/1
Regards To Rose	33/1
Whatchukno	100/1

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Final Advice

Watch for market support or drift on those returning from layoffs of 38+ days: Affinity Rock (77d), Sugar Cookie (38d), Former Flame (46d). Late money often reveals trainer confidence in races like this.