Ground: Good to Firm (Good in places)
Runners: 9
Surface: Turf
Pace Forecast: Even
Draw Bias: None officially flagged; no strong angle based on stall in small-field 1m4f races at Beverley.
Specific Pace Hint: Prominent racers generally fare well over this trip here; Rommie The Miracle may benefit if pace isn’t overly strong.


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Striking Contenders

1 – Analogical (TFR 66p) – 10/10
Unexposed Sir Mark Prescott runner making his handicap debut over a big step up in trip after three quiet runs at 7f. The yard is noted for improving these types significantly over longer distances. Timeform flags all support the profile – 24% handicap debut strike rate, 26% with horses running over 10f+. 192-day break, but stable known for readying them. Serious player with the profile to improve beyond this grade.

2 – Rommie The Miracle (TFR 69p) – 9/10
Latest run was a big step forward when second at Ripon (8½ lengths behind a well-handicapped winner). Still lightly raced and shapes like the trip will suit better now handicapping. Charlie Johnston has a fair record with this type and Joe Fanning is a positive booking. Traded short in-running last time and is expected to be prominent again.

8 – Call Me Audrey (TFR 68) – 8/10
Improved sharply last time when runner-up in a Wolverhampton handicap over 1m4f, finishing well. Likely to stay and is one of the few with solid recent handicap form. Still a maiden and not entirely straightforward, but rates a strong danger.


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Main Dangers & Notable Outsiders

7 – Gungnir (TFR 65) – 7/10
Off since September but showed promise when third at Redcar on nursery debut in first-time blinkers. Has form at the trip and David Allan is a positive booking. Trainer Tim Easterby often brings these types along steadily. Market support would be significant after the 230-day break.

3 – Maundy Thursday (TFR 62) – 6/10
Has hinted at ability and shaped better than result suggests at Windsor last time when racing keenly. Pedigree suggests the trip will suit, and cheekpieces remain on. Could improve with more restraint.

5 – Captious Cantor (TFR 60) – 5/10
Poor form to date but badly hampered last time and has a staying pedigree. Tongue tie now applied. Ed Dunlop’s 3yo handicappers often progress in time, though needs to step forward plenty.

9 – Max The Tiger (TFR -) – 3/10
Yet to show any worthwhile form in five starts and was last on seasonal return. Hard to make a case unless there’s notable market support.

1 – Arie Gordye (TFR 64) – 4/10
Mildly interesting from a pedigree perspective and showed a bit more at Beverley last time. However, profile remains modest and Adrian Nicholls is cold at present (0 from 25 recently).

6 – Belle Amie – NR


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Trends & Trainer Notes

Sir Mark Prescott has won this race before (e.g., Appier in 2022), and has a strong 24% strike rate with handicap debutants – highly relevant with Analogical.

The race is frequently won by 3yo improvers stepping up in trip for the first time from major yards (see past winners Appier, Edwina Sheeran, Spartan Warrior).

It has produced favourites that justified strong market confidence in recent years – 3 of last 5 winners were SP 9/4 or shorter.



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Each-Way Angles (9 runners)

Gungnir appeals as a potential each-way play if market vibes are positive.

Maundy Thursday has more to come over this trip and could also run into a place.



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Market Advice

Monitor market moves on runners returning from layoffs, especially:

Analogical (192 days)

Gungnir (230 days)


Prescott horses are rarely fully wound up first time unless there’s support. Any positive shift in odds near post time would be notable.


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Ratings Summary (Marks out of 10)

No. Horse TFR Rating

1 Analogical 66p 10
2 Rommie The Miracle 69p 9
3 Maundy Thursday 62 6
4 Max The Tiger – 3
5 Captious Cantor 60 5
6 Belle Amie – NR
7 Arie Gordye 64 4
8 Call Me Audrey 68 8
9 Gungnir 65 7



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Tissue Estimate (Fair Odds)

Horse Estimated Odds

Analogical 9/4
Rommie The Miracle 3/1
Call Me Audrey 5/1
Gungnir 8/1
Maundy Thursday 10/1
Captious Cantor 16/1
Arie Gordye 18/1
Max The Tiger 25/1