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Race Conditions & Setup

• Going: Good
• Distance: 2m4f (3965 yards)
• Class: 5 Handicap Hurdle (0–100)
• Runners: 9
• Pace Forecast: Uncontested
• Front-running angle: HEY MISTER DJ (IRE) is expected to lead unchallenged based on the Early Pace Forecast.
• Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.

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Contenders

Strongest Contenders

• IVANE (FR) – Timeform Adjusted: 101
  Fit, consistent and versatile, has run well in both hurdles and chases recently. Won three starts back and placed twice since. Trainer James Owen is in solid summer form (22% strike rate in summer, and with hurdlers at this trip).
  Rating: 8.5/10
• OUR LIL – Timeform Adjusted: 105
  Lightly raced filly from a top yard (Dan Skelton, 20% summer strike rate). Scored in a Doncaster maiden in March and was pitched into a tough Cheltenham race latest where she didn’t disgrace herself despite being outclassed. Cheekpieces helped. Scopey type for this grade.
  Rating: 8/10
• HEY MISTER DJ (IRE) – Timeform Adjusted: 104
  Returned to form after a trainer switch when second at Fontwell (17.7f), staying on. Likely to get an uncontested lead here and drops back in trip after not staying previously. Has a handy jockey booking (5lb claim from Tom Broughton).
  Rating: 7.5/10

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Main Dangers

• ORANGE DIAMOND (FR) – Timeform Adjusted: 97
  Struggled to stay 3m+, but has hinted at a return to form now dropped in trip. Fell when placed off a similar mark over fences in 2023. Capable at this level, especially if ridden with restraint.
  Rating: 6.5/10
• BASMAN PALACE (SAF) – Timeform Adjusted: 102
  Ex-bumper horse who scored at Wincanton two starts ago before a poor run upped in trip at Taunton. Possibly better returned to this distance. Breathing op in background is worth noting.
  Rating: 6.5/10

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Interesting Outsiders

• PUB CRAWL (IRE) – Timeform Adjusted: 99
  Fair maiden on the Flat; has had breathing operations and ran a big race when second at Sedgefield in the autumn. Flopped last time but might strip fitter now.
  Rating: 6/10
• LITTLE PI (FR) – Timeform Adjusted: 100
  Form has regressed, though ran creditably behind the same horse as Ivane last time. Looks exposed but could sneak into the frame if race collapses late.
  Rating: 5.5/10

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Limited Chances / Layoff Watch

• KAP DE TRIOMPHE (FR) – Timeform Adjusted: 97
  Winless since bumper days, moderate hurdling form. Back from 64-day break. Trainer Christian Williams is capable of springing handicapping surprises, but needs a jump forward.
  Rating: 5/10
• NOBLE RECALL – Timeform Adjusted: 96
  Returned from a break and has offered little. Long-standing maiden and low ratings throughout. Very much needs market support to be of interest.
  Rating: 3.5/10

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Trends & Trainer Watch

• No historical trends available for this specific division of the race.
• Trainers to note:
  • Dan Skelton (Our Lil) – 20% strike rate in summer.
  • James Owen (Ivane) – 22% strike rate in summer, and same at this trip bracket.
  • Christian Williams (Kap De Triomphe) is noted for patient plotting with low-grade handicappers.

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Summary & Tissue Estimate

This is a modest 0–100 handicap, and the field features several exposed types with only a handful showing recent promise. The unexposed Our Lil (Skelton) brings upside, while Ivane is very solid for the grade. The pace angle favours Hey Mister DJ, especially if allowed a soft lead. Orange Diamond lurks dangerously off a workable mark, and Basman Palace should appreciate this return in trip.

Tissue Estimate:

• Ivane – 3/1
• Our Lil – 7/2
• Hey Mister DJ – 9/2
• Orange Diamond – 6/1
• Basman Palace – 8/1
• Pub Crawl – 10/1
• Little Pi – 14/1
• Kap De Triomphe – 20/1
• Noble Recall – 33/1

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Each-Way Angle

• With 9 runners declared, each-way terms apply (1/5 odds 3 places).
• HEY MISTER DJ and ORANGE DIAMOND both make some appeal at prices given likely tactical advantages or forgiving profiles.