Race Title: Dan Linehan’s Handicap Chase
Class: Handicap Chase | Trip: 2m4f100y | Age: 5yo+
Prize: €6,900 | Field: 18 runners | Going: Good, good to yielding in places
Pace Forecast: Strong – No let-up expected, which may test stamina and jumping in the latter stages.

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Pace/Draw Angle:

Given the projected strong early tempo, horses with a tendency to race prominently (e.g. Cloughroe, A Mere Bagatelle) may be pressured into errors or fade late. This could benefit those ridden with restraint such as Three In A Row, Inthenickoftime, and Prince of Air, especially if held up off the pace.

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Trainer Trends:

• John Joseph Hanlon (A Mere Bagatelle) – 2 wins in last 10 renewals
• Enda Bolger (Inthenickoftime) – 2 wins in last 10 renewals
  Both trainers are notably effective with chasers in this race.

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Strongest Contenders (based on Adjusted Ratings, Profile & Trends)

Three In A Row (8/10) – Tissue: 9/2

Progressive and lightly raced chaser who’s found consistency. Recent runner-up effort at Kilbeggan was a career best (Adj RPR 119). Strong pace may suit, and he’s a clear upward mover.

Ik’s Man (8/10) – Tissue: 11/2

Won well at Clonmel and shaped better than result suggests last time when racing too freely. High adjusted rating (120) puts him in the mix. Reliable type when settling.

Prince of Air (7/10) – Tissue: 6/1

Back-to-back wins this season, including off a break. Improving for current yard. Slight stamina concern over this trip if pressured early but adaptable tactically.

Inthenickoftime (7/10) – Tissue: 15/2

Trainer has strong record in this race. Fair effort on seasonal return; Timeform “p” suggests more to come. Well-handled and proven under these conditions.

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Main Dangers

One Night Standard (6/10) – Tissue: 13/2

Unexposed mare with chase debut second reading well. However, she returns from a 137-day layoff, so the market may signal her readiness. Each-way credentials if primed.

Priory Park (6/10) – Tissue: 8/1

Has hinted at ability but flattered to deceive in recent runs. Returns from a break (137 days) and has pulled up before when fresh.

Gabriel Ranger (6/10) – Tissue: 10/1

Performs around this mark consistently. Not much room for improvement but can pick up pieces in strongly run affairs.

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Interesting Outsiders (with situational upside)

A Mere Bagatelle (6/10) – Tissue: 12/1

Course winner. Capable but inconsistent. Not a fluent jumper and was pulled up last time; however, trainer’s strong history in this race earns a second look.

Gondor (6/10) – Tissue: 14/1

Has ability when fresh. Recent reappearance was over a trip short of best; can improve now back up in trip. Rachael Blackmore retains the ride.

Must Be Dreaming (5/10) – Tissue: 22/1

Slightly better on last outing. If building on that, could sneak a place. Stays this far and has gone well at Tramore.

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Others to Note

• Cloughroe (5/10): High raw figure (Adj 129) but not suited by today’s strong pace; questionable resolution.
• Duty Bound (5/10): Won chase debut, but jumping still learning. Unsuited by recent hurdles return.
• Thegraveyardbookie (5/10): Form has tailed off. Pulled up twice in last five runs.
• Arctic Skua (4/10): Modest form overall; looks up against it.
• Carlas Big Jim (4/10): No worthwhile chase form yet. May struggle in this deep a field.
• Younowhatimean (4/10): Returns from 164 days off. Likely pace angle. Not seen in contention in chases yet.

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Layoff Warning (90+ days):

• One Night Standard (137d)
• Priory Park (137d)
• Arctic Skua (92d)
• Younowhatimean (164d)

Market signals will be important for these four.

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Marks Out of Ten

Horse	Mark (/10)
Three In A Row	8
Ik’s Man	8
Prince of Air	7
Inthenickoftime	7
One Night Standard	6
Priory Park	6
Gabriel Ranger	6
A Mere Bagatelle	6
Gondor	6
Cloughroe	5
Duty Bound	5
Thegraveyardbookie	5
Must Be Dreaming	5
Another Ocana	4
Arctic Skua	4
Carlas Big Jim	4
Younowhatimean	4
Smallcraftwarning	4

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Each-Way Advice

With 18 runners, standard 4 places apply. Prince of Air, One Night Standard, and Inthenickoftime hold legitimate each-way value if priced above 6/1 and showing strength in the market.

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Tissue Estimate

Horse	Tissue Odds
Three In A Row	9/2
Ik’s Man	11/2
Prince of Air	6/1
One Night Standard	13/2
Inthenickoftime	15/2
Priory Park	8/1
Gabriel Ranger	10/1
A Mere Bagatelle	12/1
Gondor	14/1
Cloughroe	16/1
Duty Bound	16/1
Must Be Dreaming	22/1
Thegraveyardbookie	25/1
Arctic Skua	25/1
Another Ocana	33/1
Carlas Big Jim	33/1
Smallcraftwarning	40/1
Younowhatimean	40/1