Going: Good to Yielding
Runners: 15 declared
Pace Forecast: Weak – likely a muddling early tempo. Could suit those able to race handily or those with proven finishing effort.

Pace Bias / Track Note: Tipperary’s 2m layout can favour tactical speed in small fields. In this bigger field with limited confirmed pace, forward position could be a plus if there’s no injection of tempo down the back.

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Strongest Contenders

• JONNY CARROL (IRE) (Gordon Elliott, TFR 101)
  Third in a 2m5f Limerick maiden on debut – a fair effort for a yard that often sharpens them up next time. Brings the strongest recent form. Could come on plenty and drops back in trip.
  Rating: 8/10
• WIZZLEOUT (Gordon Elliott, unraced)
  Half-brother to several winners and makes debut for a top stable that excels with juveniles and first-time starters. Hasn’t run, but the trainer placement here suggests readiness.
  Rating: 7.5/10
• J’ENVOIEVALSERENKI (FR) (Paul Nolan, TFR 122)
  Has shaped with mild promise, notably when sixth at Punchestown in a fair juvenile. The pedigree is strong (half-brother to Docteur de Ballon), and today’s weaker pace scenario could help.
  Rating: 7/10
• PORTETTA (IRE) (John Joe Hanlon, TFR 103)
  Third in a Bangor bumper and bred to go over hurdles. Gets weight from the geldings, and likely to improve. Each-way player on profile.
  Rating: 7/10

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Main Dangers / Interesting Outsiders

• BALLYEARL (FR) (Henry de Bromhead, TFR 116)
  Ran respectably in a Fairyhouse juvenile and now sports first-time hood. Well-bred and may show more with experience now on better ground.
  Rating: 6.5/10
• DOCTOR CONFUSION (FR) (Henry de Bromhead, TFR 106)
  Stable second-string on jockey bookings but has shown small bits of ability. Didn’t finish off at Cork, but yard’s runners can improve sharply.
  Rating: 6/10
• GUESS WHAT (IRE) (Enda Bolger, TFR 103)
  Eighth on debut at Limerick in a fillies’ maiden but looked green. From a well-related family and gets M. P. Walsh up. Likely improver.
  Rating: 6/10
• THE CHEEKY PUP / WATCHING THE CLOCK / GUIDED BY YOU –
  All debutantes with stamina pedigrees. Guided By You has a particularly appealing page (from the Like-A-Butterfly family). Market support would be revealing.
  Ratings: 5–6/10

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Runners With Limited Appeal (Unless Market Moves)

• MR WICKERSLEY / INTENZO / DR KAPOOR / LOULOULESS / WILD WILD WIND
  Either no rules form or tailed off on debut. All need to improve significantly.
  Ratings: 3–4.5/10

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Trainers With Previous Winners in Race

• Willie Mullins has dominated recent renewals (2023, 2022, 2021 D.I & D.II), but no runner declared this year.
• Padraig Roche trained the 2021 D.I. winner and runs Watching The Clock.
• Gordon Elliott and Henry de Bromhead both have multiple runners here.

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Each-Way Angles

With 15 runners and at least four with credible form, there’s scope for an each-way play.

• Portetta looks value with bumper experience and weight allowance.
• J’envoievalserenki could also pick up late in a muddling race.
• Watch the market carefully for support on Elliott’s debutant Wizzleout or improvers like Ballyearl.

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Tissue Estimate (Guide Only)

Horse	Estimated Odds
Jonny Carrol	3/1
Wizzleout	9/2
Portetta	6/1
J’envoievalserenki	13/2
Ballyearl	8/1
Doctor Confusion	10/1
Guess What	12/1
Guided By You	14/1
The Cheeky Pup	20/1
Watching The Clock	20/1
Mr Wickersley	33/1
Intenzo	40/1
Dr Kapoor	50/1
Loulouless	66/1
Wild Wild Wind	80/1

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Final Word

This is a wide-open and lightly raced field, with significant improvement likely from many. Jonny Carrol has the best form on paper, but Wizzleout and Portetta are lively alternatives. Keep a very close eye on market movements, particularly on newcomers and stable second strings like Doctor Confusion or Guided By You.