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Key Trends & Trainer Insights

• Martin Brassil has a profitable record when sending just one runner to a hurdles card (+£13.63 level stakes), and he runs Chocolate Truffles.
• Henry de Bromhead, trainer of Diamond Steel, won this race in 2022 with Coole Arcade.
• Winners often return from layoffs of 2–4 weeks; longer absentees may need watching for late support.

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Top Contenders

NUSRA (122 Timeform Adj) – 9/4F – 8yo, G. Ahern

• Back-to-back placed efforts in similar ground, stays well, and looks well-handicapped. Has shaped like a winner-in-waiting.
• Mark: 8.5/10

BOWGATE STREET (111 Timeform Adj) – 8/1 – 6yo, M. Flannery

• Progressive profile last season; excuses at Gowran (wide trip), resumes on a good mark.
• However, pace bias may count against if ridden too prominently.
• Mark: 7.5/10

ONEBRIGHTBLUEROSE (109 Timeform Adj) – 5/1 – 6yo, Patrick Cronin

• Won at Wexford earlier in the year, form solid. Recent chase run decent.
• Likes a sounder surface; drawn for a stalking trip.
• Mark: 7/10

GETAWAY HENRY (108 Timeform Adj) – 10/1 – 8yo, D. J. O’Leary

• Course-and-distance scorer. Stays well, could go forward or sit just off.
• Fitness uncertain after 259-day layoff; watch market.
• Mark: 7/10

TEA IT IS (109 Timeform Adj) – 10/1 – 8yo, Denis Hogan

• Exposed but capable off this mark; fair form in summer 2023 and looks potentially well treated.
• Absence of over 600 days is the concern.
• Mark: 6.5/10

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Interesting Outsiders

AMEILYA (102p Timeform Adj) – 20/1 – 4yo, James Barrett

• First time in handicap after quiet juvenile runs. Well-bred and may improve.
• Mark: 6/10

PEBBLE TO A PEARL (93 Timeform Adj) – 14/1 – 5yo, Paul Power

• Hooded now, shaped encouragingly when third at Tramore. Open to improvement.
• Mark: 6.5/10

SWELLTIME (RES) (109 Timeform Adj) – 499/1 – 9yo, W. O’Doherty

• Won off higher marks last summer. Not completely dismissed if securing a run.
• Would benefit from collapse up front.
• Mark: 6/10

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Others to Note

• Chocolate Truffles: interesting pedigree, runs in hood; hard to assess on debut.
• Shadow Paddy: trainer cold and recent form below par.
• Diamond Steel: possible improver off low mark; watch if market speaks.

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Tissue Estimate (Fair Odds Guide)

• Nusra – 7/2
• Bowgate Street – 11/2
• Onebrightbluerose – 13/2
• Getaway Henry – 8/1
• Tea It Is – 9/1
• Pebble to a Pearl – 12/1
• Ameilya – 14/1
• Swelltime (RES) – 16/1
• Diamond Steel – 16/1
• Others 20/1+

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Summary Advice

• Primary Win Contender: Nusra
• Main Dangers: Bowgate Street, Onebrightbluerose
• Improvers to Watch: Ameilya, Diamond Steel
• Market Watching: Watch for support on Tea It Is and any late moves for Getaway Henry or Bold Brook (trainer stat noted). Avoid backing runners off 180+ day layoffs without market support.