Conditions: 1m3f137y | 4yo+ | £4,711 | Firm going | 9 runners
Pace Forecast: Even
Draw Bias: None apparent over this trip at Bath
Pace Angle: Hold-up horses have not dominated historically over this distance. Given the even pace forecast, those racing close to the pace could be favoured. Two Plus Two and Hawk Jet are likely to be better positioned than Sneaky Blinder based on early pace projections.

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Strongest Contenders

TWO PLUS TWO (Timeform adjusted rating 65)
Made all to win convincingly at Salisbury 10 days ago on firm ground. Goes under a 5lb penalty here, which still leaves him below his peak mark. Clearly suited by conditions and could dominate again if allowed an uncontested lead.
Rating: 8.5/10

JIMMY MARK (adjusted rating 64)
C&D winner last time out in a steadily-run race. Was strong in the market and responded well when in the clear. Still well handicapped off 55 and handles fast ground. Has to back up quickly after a 40-day break but remains progressive.
Rating: 8/10

DOUGLAS DC (adjusted rating 66)
Consistently placed this spring, including a solid second at Leicester last time. Yet to win after 18 starts, but holds form at various trips and surfaces. Wide draw in stall 9 is not ideal.
Rating: 7.5/10

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Main Dangers

SNEAKY BLINDER (adjusted rating 66)
Kempton winner earlier this year but has been tried hurdling since (unseated on debut). Below form at Southwell on last Flat start and now returns to turf. Has the ability but patchy overall record.
Rating: 6.5/10

ENDOFASTORM (adjusted rating 58)
C&D winner last year. Needed her reappearance effort at Wolverhampton when well held. Well treated if able to build on that run and should be more competitive now.
Rating: 6.5/10

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Interesting Outsiders

BLUE HERO (adjusted rating 48)
Below form on reappearance at Wolverhampton. Has won at Bath before and BHA rating now down to 53, so theoretically back on a winning mark. Each-way claims if bouncing back.
Rating: 6/10

HAWK JET (adjusted rating 53)
Absent for 191 days and never won a race, though has placed in similar events. Trainer has a fair record with single runners at a meeting. Should be prominent early. Market support would be significant.
Rating: 5.5/10

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Layoff Watch (90+ Days)

Only Hawk Jet is returning from a break exceeding 90 days. Monitor the market closely for confidence behind her. Others have all raced recently.

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Trainer Stats and Notes

• Emma Lavelle (Hawk Jet): +£31.40 level-stakes profit with sole runners at Flat meetings.
• Robert Stephens (Sneaky Blinder): +£113.32 level-stakes profit in the same angle.
• Tony Carroll (Douglas DC and Walk the Moon): multiple runners, often pops up with big-priced handicappers at Bath.

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Tissue Estimate

Horse	Tissue Odds
Two Plus Two	3/1
Jimmy Mark	7/2
Douglas DC	9/2
Endofastorm	7/1
Sneaky Blinder	8/1
Blue Hero	10/1
Hawk Jet	14/1
Walk the Moon	16/1
Uther Pendragon	20/1