Wednesday, 14 May 2025 | 2m 190y | 4yo+ | €6,600 | 9 runners | Going: Good to Yielding
Race Conditions & Pace Angle
- Going: Good to yielding; relatively fair surface for all types.
- Pace Forecast: Weak. No confirmed front-runner. Positioning may not prove crucial, but a steadily-run affair could favour those with a turn of foot rather than stayers.
- Notable pace hint: Sunny South West is tactically versatile and should be better suited than most if the tempo proves muddling.
Leading Contenders
Sunny South West (TFR 114) – Edward F. Power – Rating: 8.5/10
Shaped well in two useful bumpers before winning at Clonmel in March. Was pitched into Grade 1 company at Punchestown on latest start and acquitted himself respectably in fifth behind top novices. The return to calmer waters, combined with a strong adjusted figure (114), makes him the standout on form. Wears a hood.
Moon Eclipse (TFR 107) – Joseph Patrick O’Brien – Rating: 7.5/10
Won a Leopardstown maiden bumper in March and then stepped up into listed company at Fairyhouse, where she found little off the bridle. She retains potential in this grade and the yard has a 27% strike rate in 2m bumpers. The sister to Lunar Display is respected back among easier opposition.
Delta Force (TFR 101) – Charles Byrnes – Rating: 7/10
Bumper winner at Galway last summer with an adjusted rating of 101+. That form has substance and he’s clearly got ability, but this is his first run in 289 days, so fitness must be taken on trust. Market support would be significant given the yard.
Main Dangers and Outsiders of Note
Angelo Dundee (TFR 102+) – Dermot McLoughlin – Rating: 6.5/10
Punchestown bumper winner last spring and stepped up on his return effort with a fair fourth at this venue behind Ballygunner Castle. Solid back form but the yard is cold, and the 364-day absence is a concern unless there is clear market strength.
Georgie’s Pearl (TFR 99+) – Anthony McCann – Rating: 6/10
Modest early efforts but improved last time when fifth of 14 in a Kilbeggan mares’ bumper. She’s going the right way and may have more to offer, though probably a place prospect rather than a win threat.
Lord Lackendarra (TFR 94) – Patrick Breen – Rating: 5.5/10
Fourth at Tramore in November but looks exposed after seven starts without a win. Hasn’t shown quite the level of improvement of others here.
Unexposed and Unfancied
Installment, Lion of the Desert, Duel Concept – All three were beaten significant distances on debut. There is little in their profiles or pedigrees to suggest immediate improvement.
Rating: 3 to 4.5/10 across this group.
Trends and Trainer Insights
- No repeat winning trainers from the 2021–2024 editions line up.
- The last four winners of this race returned between 7/4 and 11/1.
- W. P. Mullins has dominated this division historically, but he is not represented here.
- Joseph O’Brien has a strong bumper strike rate (27% at this trip), which supports Moon Eclipse.
Ratings Summary (Out of 10)
| Horse | Rating |
|---|---|
| Sunny South West | 8.5 |
| Moon Eclipse | 7.5 |
| Delta Force | 7 |
| Angelo Dundee | 6.5 |
| Georgie’s Pearl | 6 |
| Lord Lackendarra | 5.5 |
| Installment | 4 |
| Lion of the Desert | 3.5 |
| Duel Concept | 3 |
Market Watch Advice
- Delta Force returns from a 289-day absence and should be closely monitored for market support.
- Angelo Dundee also comes off a year’s break and is from a yard currently out of form – a market drift would be concerning.
- Sunny South West, although running just 14 days ago, is now back from Grade 1 level and any strong support would reinforce his status.
Tissue Estimate
| Horse | Estimated Odds |
|---|---|
| Sunny South West | 7/4 |
| Moon Eclipse | 7/2 |
| Delta Force | 4/1 |
| Angelo Dundee | 6/1 |
| Georgie’s Pearl | 10/1 |
| Lord Lackendarra | 20/1 |
| Installment | 33/1 |
| Lion of the Desert | 50/1 |
| Duel Concept | 66/1 |
TimeWise Chronicles 
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