Pace Forecast: Even
Draw Bias: No significant draw bias over this trip at Ayr
Pace Note: Runners that race prominently are usually favoured here, and with no guaranteed strong pace, horses that sit handy like Pol Roger and Glasses Up may be better positioned than closers like Jujubella.


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Contender Analysis (Timeform Ratings Used)

HOSANNA POWER (TFR 93) – 8/10

Returned to form second up for Tim Easterby with a solid third at Newcastle. Won over this trip for Sir Michael Stoute last year and now looks ready to build again. Handles fast ground and tactically versatile. Could well be peaking now.

GLASSES UP (TFR 90) – 7.5/10

Course specialist with 10 wins at Ayr, including his last two starts (13f and 10f). Made all last time, and repeat tactics over this trip should suit given the lack of pace. Now a 10yo but thriving. Worth respecting again under Jason Hart.

JUJUBELLA (TFR 94) – 7.5/10

Three-time AW winner this year including last time in a tight finish. Turf form yet to match that level, but improving overall and not one to rule out. Slight stamina question on good to firm ground in a potentially tactical race.

SEA LEGEND (TFR 91+) – 7/10

Eye-catching run latest when fourth at Newcastle, denied a clear run late. Form is improving again and now with Jim Goldie, who is in strong form. Could be a player if settling better, though might prefer a stronger gallop.

POL ROGER (TFR 92) – 7/10

Dual C&D winner who ran better than the bare result at Haydock after a break. Cheekpieces back on. Can race handily, and conditions suit. Has gone well second-up before. Live chance if bouncing off that return.

MISTER DAYDREAM (TFR 89) – 6.5/10

Won at Beverley and Hamilton this spring but disappointed last time under a quick turnaround. Stamina suits, as does fast ground, but exposed and others arrive fresher. Johnston team remains in decent form.

SHIMMERING SANDS (TFR 93) – 6/10

Off since December and often slowly away. Capable of good efforts at this level but tends to need things to fall right. Better on synthetic surfaces and ground may be quicker than ideal. Market can guide.

CRIMSON ROAD (TFR ?) – 4/10

Well beaten all three runs since changing yards and looks out of sorts. Back to last winning mark but very hard to fancy on current form. Hood/tongue tie combination persists. Market move would be notable.

SOPHIESTICATE (TFR 87) – 3/10

No show on recent return from a 19-month absence and temperament questions remain. On a very workable mark, but unreliable and others have much stronger claims. Likely outsider again.


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Trainer Trends & Market Watch

Jim Goldie (trainer of Sea Legend and Sophiesticate) is in excellent current form.

Glasses Up is the only previous course winner in this field with Pol Roger also a dual C&D scorer.

Watch the market for Jujubella attempting to transfer AW form to turf.

Shimmering Sands returns from 160 days off – drift or support could speak volumes.

Sophiesticate ran poorly off a long absence last time – caution advised unless there’s sustained support.



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Runner Ratings Summary (Out of 10)

Horse Rating

Hosanna Power 8
Glasses Up 7.5
Jujubella 7.5
Sea Legend 7
Pol Roger 7
Mister Daydream 6.5
Shimmering Sands 6
Crimson Road 4
Sophiesticate 3



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Tissue Price Estimate

Hosanna Power – 7/2

Glasses Up – 9/2

Jujubella – 5/1

Sea Legend – 6/1

Pol Roger – 13/2

Mister Daydream – 10/1

Shimmering Sands – 12/1

Crimson Road – 25/1

Sophiesticate – 40/1



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Conclusion

Hosanna Power is taken to build on his recent Newcastle third and looks well positioned to strike with race fitness now on side. Glasses Up will make another bold bid at his favoured track if allowed to dictate, while Jujubella has the raw ability but needs to prove herself back on turf. Sea Legend and Pol Roger are the value angles against the market principals. Keep an eye on the betting for any moves on long absentees like Shimmering Sands and Sophiesticate.