1. Pace/Dynamics

With several habitual front-runners (notably Tommie Beau, Musique De Fee, and Mostly Sunny), this could develop into a steadily increasing pace but without guaranteed sustained pressure. Hold-up horses may struggle unless they latch onto the leaders turning in, particularly given Cartmel’s tight, uphill finish.


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2. Key Contenders, Dangers & Outsiders

Leading Contenders

Tommie Beau (TFR 147) – Last year’s winner, also has a strong Cartmel record (3-time course winner). Comes in off a solid chase return behind Le Milos and has a leading chance with fitness assured and track bias in favour.

Musique De Fee (TFR 144) – In top form and another who thrives on the speed-favouring nature of Cartmel. Close third here just two days prior shows she holds her condition well. Quick turnaround worth monitoring but respected.

Mostly Sunny (TFR 139) – Improving for Dan Skelton and shapes as though the step back up in trip will suit. The form behind Harbour Lake reads strongly for a race of this depth.


Main Dangers

Oliver’s Travels (TFR 141+) – Runner-up in a pair of chases on his last two outings and now returns to hurdles off a lower mark. A live danger if transferring that chase form back across.

Buy Some Time (TFR 140) – Landed a competitive Punchestown handicap last time (25 runners, 50/1 SP). Still relatively unexposed and appears well suited by a test like this.

Imperial Data (TFR 141) – Holding his form well and looks ready for a return to 3m+. Brian Hughes booked, which adds further interest.


Interesting Outsiders

Wbee (TFR 143) – Twice a winner of this race but returns from 300+ days off with two poor 2024 runs in the book. Market support would be significant.

City Derby (TFR 142) – Quadruple Cartmel winner who shaped okay on return at Carlisle. Could come on for that run, and this looks a long-term target.

Johnson’s Blue (TFR 142) – Absent for over a year, but Mark Walford has a strong one-runner stat in hurdles. High-risk/high-reward proposition.



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3. Runner Ratings (out of 10)

No Horse Trainer TFR Rating (/10) Notes

1 Tommie Beau Seamus Mullins 147 9 Proven over CD, solid prep, pace favours
2 Johnson’s Blue M Walford 142 5 Long layoff, watch market; has past form
3 Dinons B Ellison 142 4 Out of form, older legs
4 Wbee G Hanmer 143 6 Twice a winner of this race, market crucial
5 Up For Parol J Snowden 141 6 Honest type, place possibilities
6 Sea The Clouds J Moffatt 137 5 New yard, quirky, but course winner
7 Curley Finger R Menzies 138 4 Front-runner off form, headgear returns
8 Imperial Data R Menzies 141 7 Will relish the test, jockey booking notable
9 Mostly Sunny D Skelton 139 8 Improving and holds solid recent form
10 Musique De Fee G Nicholls 144 8 In-form, consistent, recent run no issue
11 Oliver’s Travels M Bowen 141+ 8 On a good mark over hurdles, interesting
12 Buy Some Time R Mike Smith 140 7 Punchestown form strong, progressing again
13 City Derby L Quinlan 142 7 Back at his favourite track, lively outsider
14 Our Sam J Moffatt 141 4 Needs revival, hard to recommend


> Note: Watch market for those returning off 90+ days, especially Wbee, Johnson’s Blue, and Sea The Clouds.
Also note: Musique De Fee backs up just two days after a hard race – positive for fitness but monitor signs of regression in paddock.




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4. Each-Way Angles (14 runners)

Good value each-way prospects at the early tissue:

Oliver’s Travels – on a good mark, back to hurdles.

Buy Some Time – unexposed over trip, cracking win last time.

City Derby – back at Cartmel, ran better than it looked on seasonal return.



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5. Tissue Estimate (100% Book)

Horse Tissue Odds

Tommie Beau 5/1
Mostly Sunny 11/2
Musique De Fee 6/1
Oliver’s Travels 13/2
Buy Some Time 7/1
Imperial Data 8/1
City Derby 10/1
Up For Parol 12/1
Wbee 14/1
Sea The Clouds 16/1
Johnson’s Blue 20/1
Curley Finger 25/1
Dinons 33/1
Our Sam 33/1