1. Pace/Draw Analysis

Redcar over this trip typically favours those on or near the pace, but a forecast very strong gallop here may favour hold-up types for a change. This may count against front-runners like See That Storm and Approval, and bring closers such as Born Ruler or Romieu into play.


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2. Contenders, Dangers & Profiles

Strongest Contenders

SIR LOWRY’S PASS (TFR 106p) – Impressive winner at Goodwood on return; open to more progress. Often starts slowly but travels strongly and sees out the trip well. A standout Timeform figure and potential group horse in a handicap.

SEE THAT STORM (IRE) (TFR 105p) – Completed a four-timer here earlier this month; 3/3 at Redcar over this trip. However, the strong pace forecast may be a challenge to his prominent racing style.

APPROVAL (TFR 104) – From the Haggas yard (24% strike rate over 10f+). Flopped at Newmarket but did too much too soon; still unexposed at this trip. Key market check after a layoff run.


Main Dangers / Each-Way Value

BORN RULER (TFR 103) – Strong traveller who shaped well on seasonal return in a race that’s worked out. Likely suited by a pace collapse.

ROMIEU (TFR 102) – Well-bred ex-Fabre runner who impressed at Redcar and was a close fifth at York. Should improve again.

LIBERTY COACH (TFR 104) – Redcar winner last autumn. Decent reappearance effort at Chester. Has tactical speed and stays.

CRACKING GOLD (TFR 100) – Consistent AW form, but possibly vulnerable in stronger turf company.


Interesting Outsiders

QITAAL (TFR 103) – On a handy mark and capable, but prone to hanging. Fast pace could help if he settles.

PENZANCE (TFR 102) – Capable of better than recent Chester run; worth monitoring for support.

LORD PROTECTOR (TFR 102) – Below par last time but hit the frame previously. Not dismissed.

FAYLAQ (TFR 100) – Non-runner.



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3. Ratings out of 10 (based on ratings, profiles, pace, and form)

Horse Rating (/10) Comments

Sir Lowry’s Pass 9 Classy improver, top-rated on Timeform
See That Storm 8 4-timer bid, but pace setup may hinder
Approval 7.5 Excuses last time; unexposed; watch market
Born Ruler 7.5 Well treated, strong pace suits
Romieu 7.5 Still unexposed; York run encouraging
Liberty Coach 7 Consistent, track form, stays well
Cracking Gold 6.5 Has run solid races, may lack tactical speed
Qitaal 6 Needs to keep straight; place if settling
Penzance 6 Reliable type; strong form at best
Lord Protector 5.5 Hard to catch right these days
Faylaq – Non-runner



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4. Each-Way Angles

With 11 declared, each-way terms apply. Three that look suited by pace, form and profile:

Born Ruler – strong-finishing type

Romieu – upwardly mobile, improving

Liberty Coach – course record and solid reappearance



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5. Tissue Estimate (in line with ratings, trends, and profiles)

Horse Tissue Price

Sir Lowry’s Pass 5/2
See That Storm 4/1
Approval 6/1
Born Ruler 7/1
Romieu 8/1
Liberty Coach 9/1
Cracking Gold 12/1
Penzance 14/1
Qitaal 16/1
Lord Protector 20/1