1. Race Conditions and Pace/Draw

Race Title: Monroe’s Live John & Margaret Monroe Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle

Class: Handicap (0–120 approx) | Distance: 2m 57y

Surface: Turf | Going: Good

Runners: 9

Pace Forecast: Strong

Specific Pace Hint: Strong early pace likely to neutralise the usual bias towards prominent racers. DAME RAPIDE is well placed to benefit from the setup, while ANDYOURBIRDCANSING, usually prominent, may not.



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2. Strongest Contenders, Dangers & Notables (with Timeform adjusted ratings)

Leading Contenders:

MISS GHERKIN (TFR 128)
Much improved when second on stable debut for Eoin Griffin at Clonmel. Travelled strongly and stayed on well. Acts on a range of ground and well-treated off 115. Prominent racer but can settle mid-pack. Can build on that.

FRATAS (TFR 125)
Solid dual-code mare. Close second at Bellewstown latest, backing up a strong Flat run at Sligo. Only 5lb above her latest hurdles mark and versatile tactically. Unexposed and consistent in this sphere.

MAXIOS PRIME (TFR 127)
Unexposed juvenile who shaped well when third in a competitive Cheltenham fillies’ race. Gets 9lb weight-for-age concession and has proven herself over 2m on decent ground. Improving profile and race-fit.


Main Dangers:

DAME RAPIDE (TFR 128)
Returns from 192 days off. Was consistent in similar company last autumn and has since had a chasing spin. Likely to be held up and may be well suited by today’s pace scenario. Shouldn’t be underestimated if ready.

FLIDAIS (TFR 130)
Course and distance winner who ran better than the bare result last time at Kilbeggan. Form line through chase success is respectable. Has form from 2m up to 3¼m and has tactical flexibility.

FIRST DARE (TFR 127)
Not quite seeing her races out beyond the minimum trip, and this might just stretch her. One win in last ten starts but has decent figures and handles this track.



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3. Ratings and Runner Scores (Out of 10)

No. Horse TFR Key Notes Score

1 FIRST DARE 127 Decent form but unproven at this exact trip. 6.5
2 DAME RAPIDE 128 Suited by pace, consistent, solid back form. 7.5
3 FRATAS 125 Well backed up latest runs on Flat and over hurdles. 8
4 MISS GHERKIN 128 Excellent stable debut, open to more. 8.5
5 SHE IS ELECTRIC ? Pulled up after very long layoff; fitness very doubtful. 3.5
6 FLIDAIS 130 Inconsistent but genuine stayer and well suited to track. 7.5
7 ANDYOURBIRDCANSING 131 Capable on best form but may be vulnerable off strong gallop. 6.5
8 MAXIOS PRIME 127 Unexposed 4yo; decent Cheltenham run, gets WFA allowance. 8
9 BRILLIANT QUESTION 126 Well handicapped; Flat form poor; others preferred. 5.5



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4. Each-Way Angles

With 9 runners, each-way terms (1/5 odds 1–2–3) apply.

Each-Way Suggestions:

MISS GHERKIN – Unexposed with strong reappearance effort.

FRATAS – Consistent this spring; tactically flexible.

DAME RAPIDE – Long layoff but will enjoy pace scenario and trip.



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5. Tissue Estimate

Horse Estimated Odds

MISS GHERKIN 10/3
FRATAS 4/1
MAXIOS PRIME 5/1
DAME RAPIDE 6/1
FLIDAIS 7/1
ANDYOURBIRDCANSING 10/1
FIRST DARE 12/1
BRILLIANT QUESTION 16/1
SHE IS ELECTRIC 25/1



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Summary

MISS GHERKIN makes the most appeal following a strong debut for her new yard and should benefit from a true pace. FRATAS and MAXIOS PRIME are next best, both in form and on the upgrade. DAME RAPIDE is respected if ready and may be the value play if there’s early market interest.

RapidView Breakdown: 7:00 Ballinrobe – John & Margaret Monroe Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle (2m½f)

This mares-only handicap hurdle over the minimum trip looks like a tactical affair on good ground, with nine declared runners and a few interesting profiles flagged by HorseRaceBase’s RapidView data.

Trainer & Jockey Trends

Trainer form is patchy heading in, with few standouts. Michael Mulvany’s 33% strike rate at Ballinrobe makes him notable, especially as he teams up with Mr J C Gainford, with whom he shares a 14% win rate. They partner Fratas, who lights up across multiple categories.

John Patrick Ryan (18% win rate over the past 30 days) saddles two: Flidais and Andyourbirdcansing. The latter teams up with Sean O’Keeffe, who holds a 20% win rate when paired with his mounts’ damsire (Flemensfirth), and posts a solid 15% in this race class.

Top jockey across the board is Darragh O’Keeffe, currently riding at 33% over the past 7 days. He’s aboard She Is Electric, who boasts the highest “last 5” strike rate in the field (40%).

Horse-Level Form Highlights

Fratas (Michael Mulvany) stands out for overall career (27%), class (33%), going (33%), and a remarkable 56% win rate off similar breaks. She’s well suited on paper and backed by top trainer stats at the track.

Maxios Prime has a solid form profile too, showing up in recent form (33% last 3), and a reliable strike rate in this race type and on the class stats. Breeding-wise, the sire (Maxios) has a 19% strike rate at this level.

Flidais boasts the most consistent recent figures: 33% from last 3, 20% from last 90 days, and also positive on going and distance stats. Her damline (Toile Dauteuil) and damsire (Discover Dauteuil) both show up well on the breeding front.

Dame Rapide has a 60% win rate in the month of May and a strong “favourite” stat (33%), suggesting she tends to perform when fancied.

First Dare is one of two with a 33% win rate at the trip (shared with Miss Gherkin), and also features in the top tier for class/distance crossover, thanks to decent dam-side stats (Beneficial).


Breeding & Background Angles

Fratas is by Fracas out of Deontas, whose dam stats are strong in class (29%) and going (27%). That boosts confidence in her suitability.

Flidais is by Mount Nelson, with her dam and damsire both contributing strong win rates over today’s trip and conditions.

She Is Electric is by Jeremy, with her dam Keys Hope offering distance and race-type strengths. Her 40% “last 5” win rate is a serious outlier.


Summary

This is a tricky but not uncrackable mares’ contest, where a few profiles bubble to the top:

Fratas – multiple standout metrics including class, going, and layoff record. Strong trainer/tracker combo.

Flidais – solid across form cycles and backed by pedigree.

Maxios Prime – consistent figures and positive race-type stats.

She Is Electric – most progressive on recent form and rider in red-hot form.

Dame Rapide – performs well in similar calendar windows, and could pop up if market support arrives.


On paper, Fratas looks to hold the most complete RapidView profile, with Flidais and Maxios Prime also shaping like real threats. Watch the market for moves on She Is Electric—if she’s backed, her recent profile suggests she could spring a surprise.