1. Race Conditions & Pace Profile

Class: Handicap | Trip: 5f | Surface: Turf

Going: Good

Field Size: 10 declared

Pace Forecast: Strong

Track Bias/Pace Note: 5f at Tipperary usually favours prominent racers, and although the pace is predicted to be strong, it may not undermine front runners entirely. FAIR TAXES is tactically suited, while BEANO POWER also holds a favourable run style.



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2. Key Contenders, Dangers & Profiles

Leading Contenders:

FAIR TAXES (TFR 91, Ross O’Sullivan)
Consistent filly with solid backform, including a win at Fairyhouse and credible effort at Chester last time when unable to lead. Drop back to 5f here looks a plus with the pace map favouring her style. Can go close.

HARRY’S HILL (TFR 87, M. Hassett)
Runner-up on reappearance behind The Highway Rat in a strong Navan sprint. Holds course form and usually races handily. Likely to be suited by how this sets up and well-handicapped on peak 2024 form.

SARAHMAE (TFR 90, Denis Hogan)
Progressive 3yo with a C&D win to her name. Shaped well at Cork last time when not ideally positioned. Handles quick ground and capable of getting involved if breaking more alertly.

BOLD OPTIMIST (TFR 89, Daniel McLoughlin)
Behind Harry’s Hill and The Highway Rat at Navan, but that was still a respectable run. Has won at this level and could benefit from another strongly-run race.


Main Dangers:

EMERALD HARMONY (TFR 89, J. P. Murtagh)
Had excuses last time at Navan when racing closer to the pace than ideal. Previously won at Bellewstown and ran well behind Cuban Grey. Smart yard in flying form.

BEANO POWER (TFR 90, E. Lynam)
Reliable turf profile. Won at Navan in April and not disgraced since. Races with purpose and benefits from good 5f form. Dangerous if allowed an uncontested position on the front end.

MY GIRL SIOUX (TFR 88)
Continues to run with credit but needs a strong pace collapse to win, which isn’t guaranteed here.



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3. Runner Ratings (out of 10)

No. Horse TFR Notes Score

1 HARRY’S HILL 87 Solid recent return; usually up with pace. 7.5
2 BOLD OPTIMIST 89 Holding form but often finds one or two too strong. 7
3 EMERALD HARMONY 89 Better than bare result last time; consistent profile. 7.5
4 FAIR TAXES 91 Drop back in trip helps; well drawn and form solid. 8.5
5 STURLASSON 82+ On a poor run; needs return to earlier 2024 form. 4.5
6 MARY SHOELACES 90 Out of sorts; previous 5f form respectable. 6.5
7 SARAHMAE 90 Improving 3yo; unlucky latest; C&D winner. 8
8 MY GIRL SIOUX 88 Consistent placer but win record uninspiring. 6.5
9 BEANO POWER 90 Will enjoy pace; remains in good form. 7.5
10 ART OF UNITY 83 Veteran; best days likely behind him. 4



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4. Each-Way Angles

With 10 runners, standard each-way terms (1/5 odds 1–2–3) apply.

Best Each-Way Options:

SARAHMAE – Lightly raced filly with upside and unlucky last time.

FAIR TAXES – Well positioned by the pace; solid place prospects at least.



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5. Tissue Estimate

Horse Estimated Odds

FAIR TAXES 3/1
SARAHMAE 5/1
HARRY’S HILL 6/1
EMERALD HARMONY 7/1
BEANO POWER 8/1
BOLD OPTIMIST 10/1
MY GIRL SIOUX 12/1
MARY SHOELACES 14/1
STURLASSON 16/1
ART OF UNITY 25/1



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Summary

FAIR TAXES looks the most likely winner based on recent form, pace suitability, and track configuration. SARAHMAE and EMERALD HARMONY offer credible each-way alternatives, with HARRY’S HILL rated a solid danger.

RapidView Insights: 7:20 Tipperary – SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap (5f, 3yo+)

This evening’s 5f handicap at Tipperary presents a tight ten-runner sprint on good ground, and the RapidView data offers some telling angles worth factoring into any pre-race shortlist.

Trainer and Jockey Combinations

J.P. Murtagh features prominently across several metrics, including a solid 19% strike rate at the track and consistency over race types and distances. He saddles Emerald Harmony, who has respectable 90-day and going stats (both 33%). The strongest current trainer/jockey combination on display belongs to Daniel McLoughlin and Ben Coen, who boast a 25% strike rate when teaming up. Their runner Bold Optimist is one of the most interesting form profiles in the race, topping class and going stats and boasting a 40% strike rate with today’s jockey.

Horse-Level Standouts

Bold Optimist again features prominently—strong in class, distance, and recent runs, as well as boasting a 50% win rate off similar days off. Harrys Hill has exceptional course and distance stats, including 33% at the track, 35% combined for distance/class, and a noteworthy 17% win rate when favourite.

Art Of Unity is a proven performer in small sample sprints and comes off a 40% strike rate in the last five runs—making him an underestimated outsider at bigger odds if connections are primed. Beano Power and Emerald Harmony both return solid recent figures and could have claims if the pace collapses late.

Breeding Patterns

From a breeding standpoint, Bold Optimist again leads. He’s by Gleneagles out of Katy Spirit, with the dam side showing 25% win rates over today’s class and distance. Sire stats support this too, adding another layer of appeal.

Fair Taxes, trained by Ross O’Sullivan and partnered with Shane Foley, is another to keep in mind. Sired by Exceed And Excel, he’s shown a 33% win rate on the going, and O’Sullivan brings a trainer/DC stat of 18%, indicating his horses often perform in handicaps at this level.

Summary

This looks a race where historical course and distance form, combined with up-to-date trainer and breeding metrics, point to a few clear players:

Bold Optimist – strong on form, class, jockey, and breeding

Harrys Hill – proven over CD and reliable when conditions suit

Emerald Harmony – solid recent form and ideal surface

Art Of Unity – peaking at the right time, potential value at a price


RapidView’s performance filters place Bold Optimist in the top bracket across multiple axes, while Harrys Hill and Emerald Harmony also rate as proven at the conditions. With a strong bias toward previous CD form and sprint breeding, this is one to play with stats in mind.