Conditions: Turf, good (good to soft in places). 7 runners. No confirmed draw bias.
Pace forecast: Very weak – a slowly run race is likely. Hold-up types may be inconvenienced unless there is mid-race tempo. Kodigara is noted as adaptable to various pace scenarios.


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1. Contenders, Dangers & Notables

Strongest Contenders:

Storm Force (Richard Fahey / James Doyle) – 230,000 gns 2yo purchase, bred to be sharp (half-brother to two 2yo 5f winners). Makes debut for a yard that has done well historically in this race type. Carries a strong profile and holds a high adjusted rating. Layoff of 90 days noted – monitor market closely.
Rating: 7.5/10

Victor Cee (K. R. Burke / Clifford Lee) – €60k foal from a family featuring Group winners. Burke has won this type of race in the North regularly. One of two Burke debutants – solid adjusted rating and strong pedigree suggest promise.
Rating: 7/10

Azizam (K. R. Burke / Sam James) – £46k yearling; half-brother to a juvenile winner. Another Burke runner, but less expensive and not particularly well-favoured in the market. Has the hot trainer flag.
Rating: 6.5/10


Main Dangers:

Mo Of Cairo (Kevin Ryan / Kevin Stott) – €135k 2yo buy from a winning family. Ryan has a 21% strike rate at Hamilton since 2021 and positive debut stats. Market could speak volumes on intent.
Rating: 6.5/10

Kodigara (Iain Jardine / Andrew Mullen) – Showed marked improvement when second at Musselburgh last time. Early run and experience could be decisive in a weak-pace maiden. Handles a variety of pace shapes.
Rating: 6.5/10


Interesting Outsiders:

G’emmethegreenlite (Adrian Keatley / Jamie Spencer) – Keatley profitable with debutants. Bred for further, but market support could be revealing. Needs respecting if there’s a late move.
Rating: 6/10


Least likely based on current evidence:

Dakota Dawn (J & S Quinn / Connor Beasley) – Only run to date was a moderate fourth; the yard is in form, but she’s the only filly in the field and profile is less compelling at this stage.
Rating: 5/10



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2. Trends and Trainer Notes

Past winners of this race have included well-backed debutants from top yards (Milford, Atomic Force, etc).

Trainers like Karl Burke, Kevin Ryan, and Richard Fahey have a strong record in Northern juvenile maidens.

Fahey and Burke both have historic success with precocious types. Kevin Ryan’s debutants have shown profits to level stakes.

Watch closely for market moves on debutants – especially Storm Force, Victor Cee, and Mo Of Cairo.

Layoff note: Storm Force returns from 90 days off – check for significant support or a drift.

Sprinter reappearance note: No runners are turning around within a week.



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3. Runner Ratings (out of 10)

Horse Trainer Days Off Rating /10

Storm Force Richard Fahey 90 7.5
Victor Cee K. R. Burke 78 7
Azizam K. R. Burke 78 6.5
Mo Of Cairo Kevin Ryan 82 6.5
Kodigara Iain Jardine 26 6.5
G’emmethegreenlite Adrian Keatley 71 6
Dakota Dawn J & S Quinn 32 5



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4. Each-Way Angles

No each-way betting angles – field has 7 runners, so only two places on standard terms.


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5. Private Tissue Estimate

This is a race where market sentiment will likely crystallise late. Based on adjusted ratings, profiles, trainer records and Timeform commentary:

Storm Force – 11/4

Victor Cee – 10/3

Mo Of Cairo – 9/2

Azizam – 6/1

Kodigara – 13/2

G’emmethegreenlite – 10/1

Dakota Dawn – 25/1



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Summary: A well-contested Northern maiden with several expensive newcomers from respected yards. The Richard Fahey-trained Storm Force sets a high standard on profile but returns off a 90-day break. Watch the market closely for signs of readiness. Burke’s pair command respect and Kodigara offers experience in a weak-pace scenario.

Stats 📊👇

K.R. Burke

24% win (7 days)

15–16% win (30/90 days)

17% over past year

20% at this distance

21% race type

17% at this class

25% with dam combination


R.A. Fahey

31% strike rate with today’s jockey

21% race type


Adrian Paul Keatley

29% win rate at Hamilton




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🔹 Jockey Form

James Doyle

22–26% win (30–90 days)

40% strike at Hamilton

25% at distance

20% at class


S.H. James

25% (7 days)


Jamie Spencer

40% with dam combination


Andrew Mullen

24% with trainer




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🔹 Sire/Damline Stats

Havana Grey (sire of Azizam, Mo Of Cairo)

14% 5yr win

16–18% going/class/type

25% trainer/dam combo


Blue Point (sire of Emmethegreenlite)

17% at this trip

16% class


Starspangledbanner (sire of Storm Force)

Dam Southern Belle: 33% at this distance, 22% at class


Kodi Bear (sire of Kodigara)

17% track


Victor Ludorum (Victor Cee): limited data

Dam line stats:

Southern Belle (Storm Force): 33% distance, 22% class

How High The Sky (Mo Of Cairo): 19% going, 17% race type

Alzahra (Victor Cee): Exceed And Excel dam line – 12% at class