Pace Forecast: Weak. There’s no guaranteed front-runner, and a steady gallop is likely. This may disadvantage hold-up runners unless something presses on early.


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1. Contenders, Dangers & Outsiders

Princess Niyla has shaped well on both runs this season, most recently when badly hampered late on over this course and distance. She’s effective at Beverley and looks capable of winning from her current mark if none the worse for her quick return.

Casilli, a five-time course winner, returned to form last time when third here over a shorter trip. She’s reliable at Beverley and another good run looks likely, especially if the pace collapses late.

Mystical Maria was a fair third at Beverley on her reappearance behind a well-treated winner. She’s open to progress and acts on a variety of ground. If sharper for the run, she’s a definite player.

Mighty Quiet ran poorly at Newcastle on his return, folding tamely, but he had shaped well previously when winning at Bath on soft ground. He’s lightly raced and has the profile to improve for a second run back. The Charlton stable remains in form.

Bearwith is interesting returning from a 252-day break following wind surgery. He’s shown a liking for this track and has performed off similar marks. The trainer has a good record with single runners at flat meetings, suggesting a targeted approach.

Whatacracker continues to run consistently in defeat and is likely to be thereabouts again. While hard to win with, he may sneak into the placings.

Dandy’s Angel showed a resurgence at this track two runs ago, when second at 125/1. That may have been a one-off but she retains course form and will be suited by a collapse in pace.

Anjo Bonita has run slightly better than her finishing position suggests in two runs this season but continues to shape as a backmarker who may need further help from the race setup.

Lesrico returns from 170 days off and has shown little in recent starts. He may need the run, and there’s no obvious angle in his profile.


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2. Trends, Timeform Notes, and Trainer Angles

Timeform make a clear case for Princess Niyla being better than her latest result, highlighting her as a potential improver at the track. Casilli has strong local form, and Bearwith’s wind surgery and trainer stats support his claims. Mighty Quiet’s poor return run is noted but may be forgiven, with Harry Charlton boasting a strong early-season strike rate.

There are no prior winners of this race title to highlight, but Beverley course form stands out — particularly for Casilli, Princess Niyla, Bearwith, and Dandy’s Angel.

Lesrico and Bearwith are returning from 90+ days off. Market moves (or notable drifts) on those two are worth watching closely.


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3. Ratings (out of 10)

Princess Niyla – 8.5
Casilli – 8
Mystical Maria – 7.5
Mighty Quiet – 7
Bearwith – 7
Whatacracker – 6.5
Dandy’s Angel – 6
Anjo Bonita – 5.5
Lesrico – 4.5


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4. Each-Way Angles

With 9 runners, each-way betting terms apply. Whatacracker and Bearwith appeal as each-way candidates at fair odds, especially given Bearwith’s trainer stats and Whatacracker’s recent consistency.


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5. Private Tissue Estimate

Princess Niyla – 4/1
Casilli – 5/1
Mystical Maria – 6/1
Mighty Quiet – 13/2
Bearwith – 13/2
Whatacracker – 8/1
Dandy’s Angel – 10/1
Anjo Bonita – 14/1
Lesrico – 20/1

Stats 📊👇

Roger/Harry Charlton:

25% win rate (7 days)

23% win at this distance

21% win at this class

32% win with dam combination

19% win on race type


Harriet Bethell:

17% win (90 days)

15% win (1 year)

20% win at Beverley


J S Wainwright:

27% strike rate with today’s jockey


Miss S J Ender & Mrs L Williamson:

17% win rate (30 days)




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🔹 Jockey Form

Tom Kiely Marshall:

25% strike rate with dam combo

16% at distance

15% at track

12% over past year


Joanna Mason:

10% (7 days)

9% (30 days)


Tom Eaves:

9% (90 days)


Cameron Hardie:

14% with today’s trainer


Archie Young:

17% strike rate at class




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🔹 Horse Performance Stats

Casilli

36% win at Beverley

33% at distance/class

33% trk/class

30% win on going

Strong sire/dam record at course/trip


Mighty Quiet

33% win at this distance

33% win in last 3 runs

20% career

Strong trainer/distance alignment


Dandys Angel

30% win in last 10 runs

38% under current jockey

33% win when favourite

25% win on return timing


Bearwith

33% win at track/distance

40% win in May

33% win after similar layoff


Princess Niyla

33% win at track/trip

Night Of Thunder pedigree: 17% class win rate


Mystical Maria

33% win at ±1f

25% at this class

20% in last 5 runs


Whatacracker

Dam line: 22% win at distance

Sire line: 20% at distance

Dam sire: 33% at track


Anjo Bonita

33% win when favourite

Dam: 17% class strike

Cape Cross line suited to turf 10f


Lesrico

Dam sire: 20% win at distance

DS line (Sea Freedom): 20% at distance