Pace Forecast: Insufficient data – most are debutants.

Draw Bias: Not currently flagged as a factor.

Pace Hint: Timeform notes COMMANDER’S INTENT should cope with any pace setup, though that may reflect perceived ability rather than tactical shape.



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Contenders Overview

Leading Contender

MAN OF VISION – Charlie Appleby / Tom Marquand

Bred to be smart (by Dubawi, dam a 2yo/Group performer).

Appleby has won 3 of the last 5 renewals of this race.

Yard in strong early juvenile form. Market likely to reflect confidence.

Timeform Analyst Verdict pick.

Rating: 9/10



Main Dangers

ON THE INLET – Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole / Rossa Ryan

Full brother to Group 2 winner Jumby; strong pedigree for this trip.

Yard has a good strike rate when sending sole runners to Flat meetings.

Interesting newcomer profile.

Rating: 7.5/10


RODEO – John & Thady Gosden / Robert Havlin

Half-brother to a 7f debut winner. Dam a US stakes performer.

Yard has a 22% strike rate at Yarmouth since 2021.

Likely forward enough to feature on debut.

Rating: 7/10



Others to Note

VELOCITY VOW – Archie Watson / Luke Morris

First foal; dam a middle-distance winner, so trip should suit.

Yard can ready one, but often improves with a run.

Rating: 6.5/10


COMMANDER’S INTENT (FR) – George Scott / David Egan

€420k buy. Showed greenness when 11th of 18 on debut at Newbury, not clear run.

Bred to improve with time and distance.

Expected to take a step forward here.

Rating: 6/10 – market watch advised for progress.


BRAVE HUNTER – Ismail Mohammed / Tommie Jakes (5)

Bred to be suited by 7f+ in time, but stable rarely strikes with debutants.

Rating: 5/10




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Key Trainer Stats & Trends

Charlie Appleby has a notably strong record in this race: 3 winners since 2019.

John & Thady Gosden’s juveniles at Yarmouth are worth monitoring.

Watch for confidence behind COMMANDER’S INTENT second time out – expensive yearling with more to offer.



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Market Watch Guidance

COMMANDER’S INTENT is coming off a layoff of 13 days and should be monitored for market strength following an educational debut.

ON THE INLET and VELOCITY VOW are also on debut after long gaps (88 and 79 days respectively) – watch for support or drifts.



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Private Tissue Estimate

This is subjective but derived from profile strength, trainer trends, and Timeform comments:

MAN OF VISION – 7/4

ON THE INLET – 4/1

RODEO – 9/2

VELOCITY VOW – 6/1

COMMANDER’S INTENT – 8/1

BRAVE HUNTER – 20/1

Stats view

2:40 Yarmouth – British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Class 4, 7f, Soft, 2yo, 6 runners), highlighting hot trainers/jockeys, breeding standouts, and suitability tags:


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🔥 Top Trainers & Jockeys

Charlie Appleby

Exceptional form: 56% (7-day), 45% (30-day), 36% (90-day), and 52% strike rate at Yarmouth.

Top-tier across all metrics: distance (29%), class (31%), race type (30%), dam combo (29%).


Tom Marquand

Partnering Appleby here; solid 18% (90-day) and steady at Yarmouth.

Has proven himself on soft ground and in novice events.


John & Thady Gosden + Robert Havlin – consistent at this level; Rodeo represents a capable yard.

Rossa Ryan + Dr R D P Newland – hit 23% together; their On The Inlet has multiple breeding and suitability tags.



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🐎 Contender Breakdown (Suitability, Breeding, Trainer Form)

✅ 3. Man Of Vision (Appleby / Marquand)

By Dubawi out of Summer Romance (Kingman) – elite pedigree for soft ground and 7f.

Sire Dubawi hits:

23% distance, 19% soft going, 21% class, 23% at this track.


Yard is on absolute fire and excels in 2yo events at this stage of the season.

Strongest all-round profile by far — very hard to oppose.


💡 4. On The Inlet (Newland / Rossa Ryan)

By New Bay (solid stamina/soft ground sire) out of Sound of Guns (Acclamation).

New Bay scores:

20% distance, 23% race type, good soft ground record.


Dam and damsire hit multiple suitability tags.

Trainer/jockey combo is statistically effective — clear next best on profiles.


⚠️ 5. Rodeo (Gosden / Havlin)

St Mark’s Basilica x Cape Blanco dam — bred to stay but not obviously suited to soft 7f as juveniles.

Gosden rarely wastes runs, but breeding suggests he may need further or firmer.

Some class profile hints, but softer going a question mark.


🌱 2. Commanders Intent (Scott / D. Egan)

By Victor Ludorum out of a Mastercraftsman mare — soft ground suitability present.

Pedigree suggests improvement with racing and possibly longer trips.

Outside place claims if improving from debut.


🧐 1. Brave Hunter (Ismail Mohammed / Tommie Jakes)

Universal x Aussie View (Australia) — dam stats positive for race type and going.

Yard has limited 2yo strike rate; likely educational, but ticks a few breeding boxes.


🚫 6. Velocity Vow (Watson / L. Morris)

Camelot x Marbella (Invincible Spirit) — slightly mixed signals.

Dam side offers sprint pace, sire wants further. Profile patchy, not favoured on current figures.



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🧬 Breeding Highlights

Dubawi: stands out in every category — soft, 7f, track, class.

New Bay and Acclamation (as damsire) offer a solid fit for conditions.

Australia (damsire of Brave Hunter): 28% soft ground strike rate, long-term staying potential.



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Summary Snapshot:

Man Of Vision is head and shoulders above on trainer, breeding, and statistical profile.

On The Inlet is the best alternative — ticks key suitability tags and represents a quietly effective combo.

Rodeo brings reputation but may be better over further or firmer ground.

Commanders Intent and Brave Hunter both bred to stay but look types for later progress.

Velocity Vow doesn’t score notably across any axis — up against it here.