Pace Forecast: Strong

Tactical Angle: A solid gallop is likely. That may expose horses with questionable stamina or keenness (notably DE TEMPS EN TEMPS) and should benefit those who settle or stay well, like COULDNTMAKEITUP.



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Leading Contenders

🟩 DE TEMPS EN TEMPS (Gavin Cromwell / Keith Donoghue)

Timeform: 119p

Strong bumper form and eye-catching debut second over hurdles at Listowel.

Flopped when odds-on at Fairyhouse in February, reportedly raced too freely and faded tamely.

Given time since and still retains potential, but needs to settle better in a strongly-run race.

Rating: 8.5/10


🟨 COULDNTMAKEITUP (James Nash / P. T. Smithers)

Timeform: 116

Solid recent second at Kilbeggan and placed on 3 of last 4 hurdle starts.

Stays well and can cope with a proper gallop.

Slightly exposed but dependable.

Rating: 7.5/10


🟨 THE MAN’S ROOM (Colm Murphy / C. Stone-Walsh)

Timeform: 115p

Fair start at Punchestown on hurdles debut (5th of 22, beaten 18½L), open to progress.

Lightly raced, has stamina in pedigree, and shaped as though improvement is coming.

Rating: 7/10



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Interesting Others & Outsiders

OCEAN OF MERCY – Returns after 956 days off. Was second on both hurdles starts back in 2022 and lightly raced overall. Big layoff to overcome, but one to monitor for market strength. (Rating: 6.5/10)

IFALLGOESWELL – Well beaten at Killarney on hurdles debut but has placed form in bumpers. Still early days and from the Byrnes yard. (Rating: 6/10)

STICKMAN – Twice placed in bumpers and on latest hurdle run. From a small yard and has changed stable. Could run on into a minor place. (Rating: 6/10)

SAINT PEREGRINE – Improved effort when second at Sligo, but form not strong. (Rating: 5.5/10)

ELUSIVE OGIE – Modest so far but ran better last time at Killarney. (Rating: 5/10)

COOL MORNING – No rules form; third in a point in April. Trainer rarely runs them unless ready, worth a glance. (Rating: 5/10)

RYAN’S SON – Well held in bumper; watching brief only. (Rating: 4.5/10)

COCOVIC – No promise on debut over hurdles at Fairyhouse. (Rating: 4/10)

HARROWHILL – Soundly beaten on both starts; big outsider. (Rating: 3/10)



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Tissue Estimate (Private Market Odds)

DE TEMPS EN TEMPS – 7/4

COULDNTMAKEITUP – 11/2

THE MAN’S ROOM – 13/2

OCEAN OF MERCY – 7/1

IFALLGOESWELL – 10/1

STICKMAN – 14/1

SAINT PEREGRINE – 14/1

COOL MORNING – 20/1

ELUSIVE OGIE – 20/1

COCOVIC – 33/1

RYAN’S SON – 40/1

HARROWHILL – 100/1



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Key Market Watch Notes

Layoff Risk: OCEAN OF MERCY returns after 956 days – strong past hurdle form but a big absence. Watch closely for support.

Potential Improvers: THE MAN’S ROOM and IFALLGOESWELL look types to improve with racing.

Hold-up Styles: DE TEMPS EN TEMPS raced keenly last time and needs to settle; vulnerable if pace turns into a slog.

5:10 Limerick – Connolly’s RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle, focusing on standout contenders based on hot trainers/jockeys and horses flagged by multiple suitability/top performer tags:


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🔥 Hot Trainers & Jockeys to Watch

Gavin Patrick Cromwell – Dominant profile here:

38% win rate (7-day), 18% track, 12% recent type, 10% distance.

Top trainer/jockey combo with K. M. Donoghue, who himself has a 30% win rate over 7 days.


Margaret Mullins – Solid 30-day/90-day strike rates, sends out Cool Morning, one of few from a yard hitting form.

John Patrick Ryan – 10% distance/class stats; his Saint Peregrine has multiple breeding angles in his favour.

Donoghue, S. W. Flanagan, and P. T. Smithers all feature among top-performing jockeys in current form, and across course and race type stats.



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🐎 Standout Horses – Multiple Suitability/Top Tags

✅ De Temps En Temps

Clear statistical standout: tops career, last 3/5/10, 1-year, distance, and track performance brackets.

Bred by Court Cave out of Poppy Come Running (Definite Article) — dam stats also show positive going indicators.

Top combo of Cromwell/Donoghue and hot yard—everything points to a strong showing.


💡 Ocean Of Mercy

Pedigree by Ask out of Kings Ride mare aligns well with trip and going.

Strong adjusted figures; form may be underestimated given unexposed profile in a staying test.


⚠️ The Mans Room

Bred by Order Of St George, looks the type to improve for hurdles and trip.

Profile hints at longer-term potential, but has several suitability indicators, including race fitness and distance tags.


🌱 Couldntmakeitup

Another Court Cave with Definite Article dam line. P. T. Smithers is riding well at Limerick (19%).

Form not strong yet, but breeding profile and race makeup offer upside.


📉 Cool Morning

Getaway offspring out of Generous mare — solid on ground and trip. Yard is warming up, and this one has a nice base to work from.



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🔬 Notable Breeding Clusters

Affinisea (sire of Harrowhill) shows strong 5-year and course suitability figures — stable not flying, but breeding fits this race.

Ask, Westerner, and Getaway all with strong distance, going and stamina influences — valuable in a 2m1f maiden hurdle at Limerick.



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Summary Points:

De Temps En Temps is the obvious benchmark, backed up by top trainer, jockey, suitability tags, and multiple breeding angles.

Ocean Of Mercy and Couldntmakeitup bring strong profiles through breeding and are linked to capable jockeys and improving yards.

Cool Morning is from a traditionally patient yard but could outrun her price on breeding grounds alone.

Watch for market support for anything from Cromwell or Mullins returning from short layoffs — both yards have shown intent at this meeting in previous years.