Pace Forecast: Even

Pace Note: Hold-up horses tend to be disadvantaged here unless the pace is particularly strong. This likely benefits Emily Love, who races more prominently, over Nothing Hectic, a closer.



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2. Key Contenders & Profiles

KEEP UP (Willie Mullins / P. Townend)

Smartly-bred French recruit, listed bumper fifth on second start after a good debut win at Roscommon.

Yard has won this race multiple times.

Jumps debut but sets the standard on bumper form.

Timeform Top Rating: 126

Strong chance if jumping holds up.


EMILY LOVE (Gordon Elliott / Sam Ewing)

Consistent mare, placed in all four career starts including two maiden hurdle runner-up finishes.

Has race fitness and proven over further.

Timeform Rating: 121

Solid each-way chance in this field.


FORTUNATE LIGHTING (Charles Byrnes / Philip Byrnes)

Galway bumper winner last year.

Pulled up after interference last time when well-backed.

Timeform Rating: 119

Not dismissed with luck in running.


NOTHING HECTIC (Hilary McLoughlin / Phillip Enright)

Fair bumper form; encouraging third on hurdles debut.

Return to this trip should suit.

Timeform Rating: 110

One for the shortlists on profile but may need pace help.


REGARDS TO ROSE (Eoin McCarthy)

Modest but consistent; good third on latest.

Timeform Rating: 108

Each-way squeak if improving again.


MRS MC GO (John McConnell)

Fair bumper form, including two runner-up finishes.

Been off 251 days. Needs a market check.

Trainer currently cold.


IAMYOUARE and RIZEDDA (de Bromhead) are interesting breeding-wise, the latter possibly better for experience now, but still looked green on debut.


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3. Notes & Trends

Trainer Trends:

Willie Mullins has 3 winners in last 10 renewals of this race.

S. Curling (trainer of Shake The Bag) shows strong level-stake profit with single runners in hurdle races.


Sire Stats:

Getaway (sire of Get On Your Jet) has sired 54 winners on their hurdling debut.


Recent Winners’ Ages: Mostly 5-6yo mares have won, aligning with many of the field.



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4. Key Watch Points

Monitor market moves closely on:

Mrs Mc Go, Rizedda, and Keep Up (off 237 days).


Be wary of hold-up horses unless pace unexpectedly picks up.

Note Fortunate Lighting was heavily backed last time before interference.



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5. Runner Ratings (/10)

Horse Rating

Keep Up 8.5
Emily Love 8
Fortunate Lighting 7
Nothing Hectic 6.5
Regards To Rose 6
Mrs Mc Go 6
Rizedda 5.5
Iamyouare 5
Strollaway 4
Liberty Rosey 4
Get On Your Jet 3.5
Winter Orchid 3.5
Bubbly Irene 3
Dorans Mill 2.5
Uno Me I Like My T 2.5
Shake The Bag 2.5
Boston Breeze 2
Vangaway 2



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6. Tissue Estimate (Private Odds)

Keep Up – 9/4

Emily Love – 11/4

Fortunate Lighting – 6/1

Nothing Hectic – 8/1

Regards To Rose / Mrs Mc Go / Rizedda / Iamyouare – 14/1 to 20/1

Others – 33/1+

Here’s a Stats preview for the 5:42 Limerick – RAYN Safety & Security Mares Maiden Hurdle (2m3f, Good, 18 runners), highlighting hot trainers/jockeys and horses showing multiple suitability/top performer tags:


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🔥 Hot Trainers & Jockeys

Willie Mullins / Paul Townend – Dominant Profile

Mullins is elite across every metric:

25% (7-day), 42% at Limerick, 80% trainer/distance, 29% recent type.


Townend: 34–36% strike rate across all recent periods.

63% at Limerick, 57% distance, 42% class, 55% trainer/class.

Their combo strike rate is 37% — clearly the team to beat.



Others of Note:

Gordon Elliott sends out Emily Love; while not red hot statistically today, still a key name in Irish mares’ novice events.

L J Archdeacon has a standout 40% trainer/distance stat — check for signs of intent with Get On Your Jet despite the price.



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🐎 Standout Horses Based on Tags and Profiles

✅ 8. Keep Up (W. P. Mullins / P. Townend)

Storm The Stars x Sageburg mare – excellent across race type, ground, and trainer angles.

Ticks elite suitability tags across trainer, jockey, and breeding.

Class standout based on RapidView profiling – clear one to beat unless green or unlucky.


💡 4. Emily Love (Gordon Elliott / S. Ewing)

Dam Emily Gray has strong ground/class metrics.

Flemensfirth influence supports staying and toughness.

Solid trainer and pedigree angles — best of the rest on paper.


⚠️ 5. Fortunate Lighting (C. Byrnes / P. Byrnes)

Form horse: Top in career/last 5/10 categories.

Dam line gives solid staying indicators. Trainer is shrewd and the horse is fit.

Value player with proven experience if market vibes are positive.


🌱 13. Rizedda (Henry de Bromhead / D. O’Keeffe)

Authorized x Dansili brings a stamina-rich pedigree.

Ticks suitability tags for distance, race type, and ground.

One of the better-bred ones for the conditions — market watch advised.



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🧬 Breeding Highlights

Storm The Stars (Keep Up): 29% class, 20% general sire stat — top-level hurdles profile.

Emily Gray (dam of Emily Love): scores for ground and class (33%).

Leading Counsel (damsire lines in a few) – solid across multiple historical stats: distance (22%), track (17%), TD (22%).



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Summary Key Points:

Keep Up is the class standout — exceptional trainer/jockey stats and matching pedigree.

Emily Love is next best, with a staying influence and a capable yard.

Fortunate Lighting is race-fit and brings solid experience to the table.

Rizedda is bred for this trip and could sneak into the frame if she handles the occasion.

Trainer L J Archdeacon’s 40% distance record makes Get On Your Jet a speculative type at a big price.